【摘要】：針對考慮風險傳導情形的供應風險評估問題,提出了一種基于貝葉斯網(wǎng)絡的供應風險評估方法。該方法中,通過識別引起供應鏈中各節(jié)點企業(yè)供應風險的關鍵風險因素,構建一個貝葉斯網(wǎng)絡,并依據(jù)貝葉斯公式計算考慮風險傳導情形下供應風險的發(fā)生概率,在此基礎上,對考慮風險傳導的供應風險進行評估。最后,通過一個算例說明了該方法的可行性和有效性。
[Abstract]:In this paper, a Bayesian network-based supply risk assessment method is proposed for the supply risk assessment problem considering the risk transmission case. In this method, a Bayesian network is constructed by identifying the key risk factors that cause the supply risk of each node in the supply chain, and the probability of supply risk in the case of risk transmission is calculated according to Bayesian formula, and then the probability of supply risk in the case of risk transmission is calculated on the basis of the Bayesian network. Evaluate the supply risk that takes into account risk transmission. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.
【作者單位】： 東北大學工商管理學院;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金資助項目(71271051) 遼寧省教育廳人文社會科學重點研究基地專項項目(ZJ2014020)
【分類號】：F274;F224

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前8條

1 程國平;劉勤;;供應鏈風險傳導路徑變化研究[J];價值工程;2009年04期

2 馬麗;張光明;李平;;供應鏈風險的傳遞機制與傳遞路徑研究[J];科技情報開發(fā)與經(jīng)濟;2007年31期

3 夏U，

本文編號：2465842