勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率提升效應(yīng)與上海經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)——基于制造業(yè)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的非參數(shù)生產(chǎn)前沿動(dòng)態(tài)分析
本文選題:勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率 + 資本深化; 參考:《上海經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》2015年01期
【摘要】:當(dāng)前,上海面臨著既要保持合理經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度,又要實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的雙重艱巨任務(wù),而勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率則是完成這兩大任務(wù)的關(guān)鍵因素。一方面,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)本質(zhì)上是勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率提升與勞動(dòng)力增長(zhǎng)共同作用的結(jié)果,在當(dāng)前上海人口紅利趨于減弱的形勢(shì)下,繼續(xù)提升勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率是保持經(jīng)濟(jì)合理增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵環(huán)節(jié);另一方面,經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型又要求轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式,由主要依賴物質(zhì)消耗轉(zhuǎn)為主要依賴廣義的技術(shù)進(jìn)步。而資本深化、技術(shù)進(jìn)步和技術(shù)效率提升又是推動(dòng)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的三個(gè)要素。該文利用非參數(shù)生產(chǎn)前沿動(dòng)態(tài)分析模型,對(duì)"十五"時(shí)期以來(lái)上海制造業(yè)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)要素進(jìn)行拆解分析。結(jié)果顯示,近年來(lái)雖然上海制造業(yè)增加值與勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率呈現(xiàn)同步回落走勢(shì),但技術(shù)進(jìn)步與技術(shù)效率提升對(duì)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)逐步增強(qiáng),表明上海經(jīng)濟(jì)已初步顯現(xiàn)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的特征。由此,在上海經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的關(guān)鍵時(shí)期,更加需要關(guān)注技術(shù)、管理與制度創(chuàng)新,并且適度兼顧資本深化的作用,力求在推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的同時(shí),保持經(jīng)濟(jì)的合理增速。
[Abstract]:At present, Shanghai is faced with the dual arduous task of maintaining the reasonable economic growth rate and realizing the economic transformation and development, and the labor productivity is the key factor to complete these two tasks. On the one hand, the economic growth is essentially the result of the combination of labor productivity improvement and labor force growth. In the current situation where the demographic dividend in Shanghai tends to weaken, continuing to enhance labor productivity is the key link to maintain reasonable economic growth. On the other hand, economic transformation calls for changing the mode of economic growth from mainly relying on material consumption to relying mainly on the broad sense of technological progress. Capital deepening, technological progress and technical efficiency are the three factors to promote the sustained growth of labor productivity. In this paper, the nonparametric production frontier dynamic analysis model is used to disassemble and analyze the factors of labor productivity growth in Shanghai manufacturing industry since the 10th Five-Year Plan period. The results show that in recent years, although the value added of manufacturing industry in Shanghai has been declining in step with the labor productivity, the contribution of technological progress and technological efficiency to the growth of labor productivity has gradually increased. Shanghai economy has shown the characteristics of transformation and upgrading. Therefore, in the critical period of Shanghai's economic transformation and upgrading, it is necessary to pay more attention to technology, management and institutional innovation, and give due consideration to the role of capital deepening, and strive to maintain a reasonable economic growth rate while promoting economic transformation and upgrading.
【作者單位】: 上海市統(tǒng)計(jì)局國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算處;
【基金】:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目《中國(guó)企業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)戰(zhàn)略及其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)研究》(71332007) 教育部哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)重大課題攻關(guān)項(xiàng)目《提升我國(guó)產(chǎn)品海外形象研究》(13JZD017)
【分類號(hào)】:F249.27;F127;F224
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