本文選題：保障性住房 + 中低收入群體�。� 參考：《廣西師范學(xué)院》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來(lái)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)有了快速發(fā)展，國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值躍居全球第二，而在這大踏步式的發(fā)展下國(guó)內(nèi)的一些矛盾也在日益加劇。根據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)成為拉動(dòng)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的一大支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)，隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)水平的上升，居民收入水平的差距也在拉大（根據(jù)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局公布的2000—2012年的基尼系數(shù)顯示，中國(guó)居民收入的基尼系數(shù)年均增長(zhǎng)1.3%），對(duì)人們生活起基礎(chǔ)保障作用的住房成了關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。同時(shí)，隨著“十二五”規(guī)劃城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程的加快人們居住需求與土地供給矛盾日益突顯。如何處理好人們居住需求與城市發(fā)展已成為政府首要解決的問(wèn)題。 面對(duì)大量的城市居民住房壓力，政府加大了對(duì)保障房的建設(shè)力度。經(jīng)過(guò)多年的經(jīng)驗(yàn)積累，我國(guó)形成了以經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房、廉租房、政策性住房為主的住房保障體系。在土地、金融、財(cái)政等方面相繼推出了多項(xiàng)政策、法規(guī)，確保保障性住房建設(shè)目標(biāo)能夠順利實(shí)施。本文立足于經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房、廉租房、公共性租賃住房三種保障性住房類型，通過(guò)定性與定量分析相結(jié)合的研究方法構(gòu)建了保障性住房用地規(guī)模測(cè)算的框架體系。論文采用灰色模型GM(1，1)、中值計(jì)算法、住房支付能力計(jì)算方法最終測(cè)算出南寧市的保障性住房用地需求，采用結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型量化了保障性住房的影響因素為對(duì)策建議提供論據(jù)。通過(guò)灰色模型模型預(yù)測(cè)出了2013-2016年各年各類的基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù)，為2005-2016年南寧市保障性住房用地需求測(cè)算墊定了數(shù)據(jù)基礎(chǔ)。中值計(jì)算法得出了南寧市城鎮(zhèn)居民各收入群體各年份的比重，通過(guò)比重可知中低收入群體家庭數(shù)量。采用住房支付能力的計(jì)算方法對(duì)各收入群體購(gòu)買(mǎi)商品房和經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房的住房支付能力測(cè)算，計(jì)算結(jié)果顯示較低收入群體和中間收入群體具備支付經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房能力，低收入、最低收入群體對(duì)商品房、經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房均不具備支付能力因此適宜分配廉租房和公共租賃性住房。文中測(cè)算保障性住房需求量時(shí)考慮了廉租房、公共租賃性住房、經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房的產(chǎn)權(quán)性質(zhì)（公共租賃性住房存在退租因素，而經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房無(wú)需退出），對(duì)住房需求量進(jìn)行了修正以符合實(shí)際情況。已知保障性住房需求類別、需求量便可得保障性住房用地需求規(guī)模。根據(jù)測(cè)算結(jié)果，假定政府各年度均能夠足額提供保障性住房用地，則經(jīng)歷2008-2009年保障性住房用地需求峰值之后，在租賃性住房的退租模式下，廉租房2010-2013年各年度新增住房用地需求均可從退出住房中得到滿足，公共租賃性住房自2008年起，各年度新增住房用地需求均可從退出住房中得到滿足。文章最后進(jìn)行了保障性住房需求的影響因素分析，進(jìn)行影響因素分析一方面是為了驗(yàn)證保障性住房用地需求從經(jīng)濟(jì)角度、住房消費(fèi)角度進(jìn)行分析的可行性，另一方面是為保障性住房用地需求相關(guān)問(wèn)題的解決提供建議做鋪墊。最后根據(jù)對(duì)保障性住房需求及用地需求提出相關(guān)建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the economy of our country has developed rapidly, the GDP has leapt to the second place in the world, and some contradictions in our country are becoming more and more serious under the rapid development. According to the statistical data, the real estate industry has become a pillar industry in driving the development of the national economy. With the rise of the economic level, The gap in income levels is also widening (according to the Gini coefficient, published by the National Bureau of Statistics for the period 2000-2012, Chinese residents' Gini coefficient is growing at an average annual rate of 1.3 per cent, making housing, which provides basic protection for people's lives, the focus of attention. At the same time, with the acceleration of urbanization in the 12th Five-Year Plan, the contradiction between people's housing demand and land supply is becoming increasingly prominent. How to deal with people's housing needs and urban development has become the government's primary problem. In the face of a large number of urban residents housing pressure, the government has stepped up the construction of indemnificatory apartment. After many years of experience accumulation, China has formed a housing security system based on comfortable housing, low-rent housing and policy-oriented housing. In land, finance, finance and other aspects of the introduction of a number of policies, laws and regulations to ensure the smooth implementation of affordable housing construction objectives. Based on comfortable housing, low-rent housing, public rental housing three types of affordable housing, through qualitative and quantitative analysis of the combination of research methods to build a framework for the calculation of the scale of affordable housing land system. In this paper, the grey model GMM1D, the median calculation method and the housing affordability calculation method are used to calculate the demand for affordable housing land in Nanning City, and the structural equation model is used to quantify the influencing factors of the supportable housing to provide arguments for countermeasures and suggestions. All kinds of basic data for 2013-2016 are predicted by grey model, which is the basis for the calculation of the demand for supportable housing land in Nanning from 2005 to 2016. The median calculation method has obtained the proportion of each income group of urban residents in Nanning city, and the number of families of middle and low income groups can be known by the proportion of each income group. The calculation method of housing affordability is used to calculate the housing payment ability of each income group to buy commercial housing and comfortable housing. The results show that the lower income group and the middle income group have the ability to pay comfortable housing and the low income. The lowest income group has no ability to pay for commercial housing, so it is suitable to allocate low-rent housing and public rental housing. In this paper, the demand for affordable housing is calculated with the consideration of low-rent housing, public rental housing, and the property rights of comfortable housing. Comfortable housing does not need to withdraw, housing demand has been revised to meet the actual situation. Given the type of housing demand, the demand for affordable housing land demand can be obtained. According to the calculation results, assuming that the government can provide the full amount of affordable housing land in each year, after experiencing the peak demand for affordable housing land in 2008-2009, under the rental housing rentals model, The demand for new housing land for each year of low-rent housing 2010-2013 can be met from the exit housing, public rental housing since 2008, each year new housing land demand can be met from the exit housing. Finally, the paper analyzes the influencing factors of the demand for affordable housing. On the one hand, the purpose of the analysis is to verify the feasibility of the analysis of the demand for affordable housing land from the angle of economy and housing consumption. On the other hand, it provides suggestions for solving the problems related to the demand for affordable housing land. Finally, according to the demand for affordable housing and land demand put forward relevant recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西師范學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23

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