湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響研究
本文選題:湖南省 切入點(diǎn):城鎮(zhèn)化 出處:《湖南師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:一個(gè)國家或地區(qū)的城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程是實(shí)現(xiàn)人口集聚、財(cái)富集聚、技術(shù)集聚和服務(wù)集聚的過程,同時(shí)也是人類生活方式、生產(chǎn)方式和組織方式不斷轉(zhuǎn)變的過程。發(fā)達(dá)國家的城鎮(zhèn)化歷史經(jīng)驗(yàn)表明,城鎮(zhèn)化對一個(gè)國家或地區(qū)的社會(huì)和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展具有積極的促進(jìn)作用,城鎮(zhèn)化不僅是實(shí)現(xiàn)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)向一元經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變的根本途徑,也是有效解決需求不足的重要措施,能夠推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)快速發(fā)展。 城鎮(zhèn)化的核心是“人的城鎮(zhèn)化”,是要讓城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展成果更多地惠及農(nóng)村居民,帶動(dòng)新農(nóng)村建設(shè)。湖南省地處我國中部,城鎮(zhèn)化水平不高,農(nóng)村居民人口占總?cè)丝诘囊话胍陨?居民消費(fèi)水平尤其是農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)水平長期偏低。目前已有的相關(guān)研究成果大多沒有將城鄉(xiāng)居民分開來進(jìn)行分析,而由于城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)的存在且城鎮(zhèn)居民和農(nóng)村居民作為不同的消費(fèi)主體,城鎮(zhèn)化對城鎮(zhèn)居民和農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響顯然是不同的,由于篇幅有限,因此本文僅選取占我省人口多數(shù)的農(nóng)村居民作為研究對象,希望通過我省城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展來推動(dòng)農(nóng)村居民的消費(fèi),進(jìn)而實(shí)現(xiàn)擴(kuò)大我省內(nèi)需的目的。 在借鑒國內(nèi)外己有研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,本文分別從理論和實(shí)證兩個(gè)方面研究湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響,理論方面主要從城鎮(zhèn)化對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響機(jī)理方面展開;實(shí)證方面根據(jù)歷年湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化率和農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)支出和消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)經(jīng)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù),在構(gòu)建向量自回歸模型(VAR模型)的基礎(chǔ)上,運(yùn)用脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)和方差分解方法分析湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響。最后在理論分析和實(shí)證研究的基礎(chǔ)上,提出加快城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程促進(jìn)農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的具體政策建議:1、加快推進(jìn)新型城鎮(zhèn)化模式,引領(lǐng)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)增長;2、徹底改革戶籍制度,從根本上消除城鄉(xiāng)分割的制度壁壘;3、發(fā)揮城鎮(zhèn)區(qū)位優(yōu)勢,加大政府財(cái)政支農(nóng)力度;4、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),大力發(fā)展城鎮(zhèn)服務(wù)業(yè);5、完善土地流轉(zhuǎn)制度,保障農(nóng)民土地利益;6、重視提高農(nóng)村居民的消費(fèi)知識(shí)和消費(fèi)技能。
[Abstract]:The process of urbanization in a country or region is the process of realizing population agglomeration, wealth agglomeration, technology agglomeration and service agglomeration, as well as the human way of life. The historical experience of urbanization in developed countries shows that urbanization plays a positive role in promoting the social and economic development of a country or region. Urbanization is not only the fundamental way to realize the transformation from dual economy to monolithic economy, but also an important measure to effectively solve the shortage of demand, which can promote the sustained and rapid development of economy. The core of urbanization is "human urbanization", which aims to make the development of urbanization more beneficial to rural residents and promote the construction of new rural areas. Hunan Province is located in the central part of our country, and the level of urbanization is not high. The rural population accounts for more than half of the total population, and the consumption level of the residents, especially the rural residents, has been on the low side for a long time. At present, most of the relevant research results have not separated the urban and rural residents for analysis. However, due to the existence of urban-rural dual structure and the fact that urban residents and rural residents are different consumers, the impact of urbanization on the consumption of urban residents and rural residents is obviously different. Therefore, this paper only selects the rural residents who account for the majority of the population of our province as the research object, hoping to promote the consumption of the rural residents through the development of urbanization in our province, and then realize the purpose of expanding the domestic demand of our province. Based on the domestic and foreign research results, this paper studies the impact of urbanization in Hunan Province on rural residents' consumption from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In theory, it mainly starts from the influence mechanism of urbanization on rural residents' consumption. The empirical analysis is based on the experience data of urbanization rate and consumption structure of rural residents in Hunan Province over the years. On the basis of constructing vector autoregressive model (VAR), this paper uses impulse response function and variance decomposition method to analyze the impact of urbanization on rural residents' consumption in Hunan Province. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research. Specific policy recommendations on accelerating the process of urbanization and promoting rural residents' consumption are put forward: 1, accelerate the promotion of a new type of urbanization model, lead rural consumption growth, and thoroughly reform the household registration system. We should fundamentally eliminate the institutional barriers to the division of urban and rural areas, give full play to the regional advantages of cities and towns, increase government financial support for agriculture, optimize the industrial structure, vigorously develop urban service industries, and improve the land circulation system. To protect farmers' land interests and to improve the consumption knowledge and skills of rural residents.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F299.21;F323.8
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