本文關(guān)鍵詞：風(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析及評(píng)價(jià)　出處：《華北電力大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 風(fēng)力發(fā)電 項(xiàng)目投資 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避

【摘要】：近些年,中國(guó)風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)取得長(zhǎng)足的進(jìn)步。但是由于缺乏相應(yīng)的系統(tǒng)的戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃以及管理水平,中國(guó)風(fēng)電企業(yè)在風(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目的投資選擇上面臨著許多挑戰(zhàn)。因此,中國(guó)風(fēng)電企業(yè)如何正確認(rèn)識(shí)風(fēng)電市場(chǎng),正確識(shí)別風(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目投資時(shí)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),并進(jìn)行及時(shí)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避,是中國(guó)風(fēng)電企業(yè)的主要課題。 本文通過(guò)簡(jiǎn)要分析全球風(fēng)資源的分布及其潛力,從大型風(fēng)電技術(shù)、海上風(fēng)電技術(shù)和風(fēng)電設(shè)備廠商等幾個(gè)方面進(jìn)行了風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)未來(lái)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)分析,從國(guó)家政策波動(dòng)和發(fā)電成本過(guò)高等方面分析了全球風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的問(wèn)題和國(guó)內(nèi)風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)國(guó)際化發(fā)展所面臨的問(wèn)題。利用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析理論模型,如PEST模型、波特五力模型、SWOT模型、層次分析模型等,對(duì)風(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目投資進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析,在以上理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了風(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的主要因素包括政策風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、技術(shù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等。在綜合比較各種評(píng)價(jià)方法的基礎(chǔ)上,綜合各因素建立了風(fēng)力發(fā)電投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)體系,結(jié)合實(shí)例,應(yīng)用ANP法對(duì)各要素賦權(quán),用PROMETHEE法對(duì)備選方案排序,選出最佳方案。結(jié)合龍?jiān)措娏瘓F(tuán)的情況,對(duì)龍?jiān)达L(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)實(shí)證分析。最后,從加強(qiáng)了解專(zhuān)項(xiàng)法律政策、積極開(kāi)展投資并購(gòu)活動(dòng)、全面拓展海外融資渠道、主動(dòng)提升人力資源管理、緊密聯(lián)合國(guó)內(nèi)設(shè)備廠商、重點(diǎn)聚焦北美風(fēng)電市場(chǎng)、傾力打造清潔環(huán)保品牌、適度采用本土經(jīng)營(yíng)戰(zhàn)略、完善運(yùn)營(yíng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理機(jī)制、有效降低企業(yè)運(yùn)營(yíng)成本等方面提出了風(fēng)力發(fā)電項(xiàng)目投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避措施。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's wind power industry has made considerable progress, but due to the lack of a corresponding system of strategic planning and management level. Chinese wind power enterprises face many challenges in the investment choice of wind power generation projects. Therefore, how to correctly understand the wind power market and identify the risks of wind power projects investment in Chinese wind power enterprises. And timely risk-aversion, is the main topic of wind power enterprises in China. By analyzing the distribution and potential of global wind resources, this paper analyzes the future development trend of wind power industry from several aspects, such as large-scale wind power technology, offshore wind power technology and wind power equipment manufacturers. This paper analyzes the problems in the development of global wind power industry and the international development of domestic wind power industry from the aspects of the fluctuation of national policy and the high cost of power generation, and makes use of the theoretical model of risk analysis. For example, PEST model, Porter five-force model SWOT model, analytic hierarchy process model and so on, the investment of wind power project is analyzed in detail, on the basis of the above theoretical analysis. Put forward the main factors of investment risk of wind power project, including policy risk, technical risk, economic risk, etc. On the basis of comprehensive comparison of various evaluation methods. The risk index system of wind power investment is established by synthesizing various factors. Combined with an example, the ANP method is applied to the weighting of each element, and the PROMETHEE method is used to rank the alternatives. According to the situation of Longyuan Electric Power Group, the investment risk of Longyuan Wind Power Project is analyzed empirically. Finally, we should strengthen the understanding of special laws and policies, and actively carry out investment mergers and acquisitions activities. Fully expand overseas financing channels, actively enhance human resources management, closely associated with domestic equipment manufacturers, focus on the North American wind power market, efforts to create clean and environmental protection brand, appropriate use of local business strategy. The measures to avoid the investment risk of wind power project are put forward in the aspects of perfecting the operational risk management mechanism and effectively reducing the operating cost of the enterprise.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F426.61;F283

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