本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國雙重經(jīng)濟(jì)以及現(xiàn)代化工業(yè)環(huán)境下的持續(xù)變化的勞動(dòng)力遷移現(xiàn)狀　出處：《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 中國經(jīng)濟(jì) 無限制勞動(dòng)力供給 Lewis模式 Nurkse模式 格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn) Lewisian模式轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn) 農(nóng)民工

【摘要】：本篇論文主要闡述了自中國經(jīng)濟(jì)體質(zhì)改革以來,農(nóng)村地區(qū)在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過程中所起的作用。事實(shí)上中國經(jīng)濟(jì)體質(zhì)改革在農(nóng)村地區(qū)也已實(shí)施多年了,這足以使其在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過程中發(fā)揮了重要的作用。然而自從中國經(jīng)濟(jì)體質(zhì)改革以來,城市地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)所占比重增加,而相對(duì)低估了農(nóng)村地區(qū)所發(fā)揮的經(jīng)濟(jì)作用。此篇論文意在研究討論中國農(nóng)村地區(qū)和城市地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)作用可以用基本經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模式：Nurke模式和Lewis模式進(jìn)行分類。與此同時(shí),此論文還利用了勞動(dòng)力無限供給模型來分析了潛在的失業(yè)人員從農(nóng)村地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)向城市地區(qū)的原因以及其對(duì)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)所造成的影響。顯而易見,自從中國經(jīng)濟(jì)體質(zhì)強(qiáng)制性實(shí)施以來,大量的失業(yè)人員從農(nóng)村遷移到城市。格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)意在用于呈現(xiàn)城鄉(xiāng)地區(qū)消費(fèi)額之間的相互關(guān)系。利用這一檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果來表明農(nóng)村地區(qū)對(duì)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)所起的推動(dòng)作用到底是由于大量失業(yè)人員從鄉(xiāng)到城的遷移從來提高了勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率,還是由于農(nóng)村地區(qū)人民的收入整體被提高了。研究結(jié)果表明城市地區(qū)消費(fèi)額的提高直接帶動(dòng)了農(nóng)村地區(qū)的消費(fèi)額。因此,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)模式和Lewis的增長(zhǎng)模式完全一致。從論文研究結(jié)果來看,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)模式曾在1997年達(dá)到了Lewis模式的轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn)并在此期間的增長(zhǎng)走勢(shì)和Lewis模式保持一致。我們不容忽視中國政府在農(nóng)村地區(qū)農(nóng)民工戶口制度政策上進(jìn)行過多次改革。此外研究還表明中國至今仍未達(dá)到Lewis模式的第二轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn),這就表明中國的農(nóng)村地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)狀態(tài)仍處于生產(chǎn)力低效率狀態(tài),競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力也相當(dāng)匱乏。中國中央政府應(yīng)當(dāng)引起重視,提高農(nóng)村的生產(chǎn)力和質(zhì)量來以此改變現(xiàn)狀。因此,本篇論文提供了一些建議,能夠讓我們更加認(rèn)清中國現(xiàn)今經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)狀。同時(shí)也讓我們對(duì)中國無限制勞動(dòng)力供給環(huán)境下的工業(yè)化進(jìn)程有了完整的詮釋,并了解了勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)的真實(shí)現(xiàn)狀以及大量農(nóng)村人口鄉(xiāng)轉(zhuǎn)城而造成的戶口制度問題。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly expounds the role of rural areas in the process of China's economic growth since the reform of China's economic physique. In fact, China's economic physique reform has been implemented in rural areas for many years. This is enough to make it play an important role in China's economic growth. However, since the reform of China's economic constitution, the proportion of economic construction in urban areas has increased. The purpose of this paper is to study the economic role of rural and urban areas in China by using the basic economic growth model:. Nurke pattern and Lewis schema are classified. At the same time. This paper also uses the labor force infinite supply model to analyze the potential unemployed people from the rural areas to the urban areas and its impact on the Chinese economy. Since the compulsory implementation of China's economic constitution. The Granger causality test is intended to show the interrelationship between urban and rural consumption. The results are used to show how rural areas are pushing the Chinese economy. This is because the migration of large numbers of unemployed people from the countryside to the city has never raised labour productivity. As a result of the overall increase in the income of the people in rural areas, the results show that the increase in consumption in urban areas directly contributes to the consumption in rural areas. The growth model of Chinese economy is completely consistent with that of Lewis. In 1997, the Chinese economic model reached a turning point in the Lewis model, and during this period the growth trend was consistent with the Lewis model. We should not ignore the hukou of the Chinese government migrant workers in rural areas. The institutional policy has been reformed many times. In addition, the study shows that China has not yet reached the second turning point of Lewis model. This indicates that China's rural economy is still in a state of low productivity and low competitiveness, and the central government of China should pay attention to it. To improve rural productivity and quality to change the status quo. Therefore, this paper provides some suggestions. It can make us more aware of the current economic situation in China. At the same time, it also gives us a complete interpretation of the industrialization process under the environment of unlimited labor supply. We also understand the real situation of labor market and the problems of hukou system caused by a large number of rural population.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F249.2;F224

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