發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-22 09:00

【摘要】：消費(fèi)者價(jià)格指數(shù)是一個(gè)主要的統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo),反映一個(gè)國(guó)家或地區(qū)的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì),是指針對(duì)商品和服務(wù)的價(jià)格消費(fèi)的居民反應(yīng)一定時(shí)間內(nèi)的變化。它可以反映不同時(shí)期的生活成本的變化,而且也反映通貨膨脹的程度。這一指標(biāo)影響著政府、企業(yè)各自根據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)采取的政策,也直接影響了人們的生活水平。為了更好的研究我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展對(duì)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)變化的影響,選取不同的因素進(jìn)行不同層次的分析。利用1990-2014年我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)數(shù)據(jù),首先對(duì)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)的波動(dòng)進(jìn)行趨勢(shì)分析,可以看出我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)逐年上升。其次結(jié)合回歸模型對(duì)影響我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)的單因素國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值、財(cái)政收支差額、貨幣供應(yīng)量、資本形成及最終消費(fèi)進(jìn)行分析。通過對(duì)單因素的分析,可以看出各個(gè)因素對(duì)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)的影響程度。選取不同的因素進(jìn)行不同層次的分析。我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)與財(cái)政收支差額、貨幣供應(yīng)量及資本形成有比較顯著的線性關(guān)系。運(yùn)用不同的方法對(duì)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行分析可以更加真實(shí)反映出實(shí)際影響情況。通過多種方法對(duì)影響我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)進(jìn)行多反面的分析,利用主成分分析根據(jù)分析模型內(nèi)容識(shí)別出對(duì)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)變動(dòng)的深一步變化影響,其中資本形成因素影響最大。論文目的是為了分析各種因素所帶來對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,根據(jù)相應(yīng)的影響來給予國(guó)家、政府及企業(yè)意見及建議。
[Abstract]:Consumer price index is a main statistical index, which reflects the macroeconomic situation of a country or region, and refers to the change of the consumption of goods and services within a certain period of time. It can reflect changes in the cost of living over time and also the extent of inflation. This indicator affects the government, enterprises according to the economic situation adopted policies, also directly affect people's living standards. In order to better study the impact of China's economic development on the change of consumer price index, different factors are selected for different levels of analysis. Based on the data of China's consumer price index from 1990 to 2014, the trend of the fluctuation of Chinese residents' consumption is analyzed firstly, and it can be seen that the consumer price index of our country is rising year by year. Secondly, combined with regression model, this paper analyzes the single factor GDP, fiscal balance, money supply, capital formation and final consumption which affect the consumer price index of our country. By analyzing the single factor, we can see the influence degree of each factor on the consumer price index of our country. Select different factors for different levels of analysis. There is a significant linear relationship between consumer price index and fiscal balance, money supply and capital formation. Using different methods to analyze the indicators can reflect the actual situation more truthfully. This paper analyzes the influence of consumer price index on the residents of our country by various methods, and uses principal component analysis to identify the influence of the change of consumer price index on the change of consumer price index in our country, according to the content of the analysis model. Among them, capital formation factor has the most influence. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the influence of various factors on the economy and to give suggestions and suggestions to the country, government and enterprises according to the corresponding influence.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F726
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本文編號(hào)：2196623