我國東部地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展與資源環(huán)境關系的統(tǒng)計研究
本文選題:東部地區(qū) 切入點:經濟發(fā)展 出處:《杭州電子科技大學》2016年碩士論文
【摘要】:近年來,國內外的專家學者就經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境污染、資源消費之間關系的研究有很多。根據發(fā)展經濟學理論可知,環(huán)境污染會隨著經濟發(fā)展水平的上升出現先惡化后緩和的規(guī)律,經濟增長會隨著資源消費投入量的增加而增加。與此同時,在資源有限的限制條件下,經濟發(fā)展也會受其影響。本文選取我國東部地區(qū)十個省市,選用1997年到2013年國內生產總值(GDP)衡量經濟發(fā)展指標,衡量環(huán)境污染的指標中以工業(yè)廢水、廢氣和固體廢棄物的排放量最具有代表性。用煤炭消費量、人均用水量、電力消費量三個指標衡量資源消費,以此為基礎研究我國東部地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境污染之間的關系,同時以此來判斷目前我國東部地區(qū)二者之間的進展階段;研究我國東部地區(qū)經濟增長與資源消費之間的計量關系,為制定我國東部地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境污染、資源消費同步健康發(fā)展提供理論依據。通過經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境污染指標的散點圖軌跡可以看出,我國東部地區(qū)環(huán)境污染排放量隨經濟發(fā)展表現為先上升后下降的態(tài)勢,符合環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線;我國東部地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展隨資源消費量指標的增加而增加,大致呈一元線性回歸關系。然后使用熵值賦權法將工業(yè)廢水排放量、工業(yè)廢氣排放量、工業(yè)廢物排放量三個可觀測指標整合為一個衡量環(huán)境污染的綜合指標,將煤炭消費量、人均用水量、電力消費量三個可觀測指標整合為一個衡量資源消費的綜合指標。以此為基礎構建我國東部地區(qū)十個省(市)從1997年至2013年間經濟發(fā)展(GDP)、環(huán)境污染綜合指標(Pollution)、資源消費綜合指標(Resource)的面板數據,用以研究東部地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境污染的關系,經濟發(fā)展與資源消費量之間的關系。本文通過使用個體固定效應回歸模型與時點固定效應回歸模型分別對經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境污染之間的關系、經濟發(fā)展與資源消費之間的關系展開實證研究,結果表明:我國東部地區(qū)各省(市)環(huán)境污染與經濟發(fā)展之間的關系呈倒“U”型曲線,不同省(市)之間非經濟因素對環(huán)境污染產生的影響差異性非常大,非經濟因素自2002年起對環(huán)境污染排放量的抑制作用越來越明顯;經濟發(fā)展與資源消費之間呈一元線性回歸關系,且各個省(市)經濟發(fā)展與資源消費呈正相關關系,不同省(市)之間非資源消費因素對經濟發(fā)展的影響差異性非常大,從1997年至2013年非資源消費因素對經濟發(fā)展的促進作用逐漸增加。
[Abstract]:In recent years, experts and scholars at home and abroad have studied the relationship between economic development, environmental pollution and resource consumption.According to the theory of development economics, environmental pollution will deteriorate first and then ease with the increase of economic development level, and economic growth will increase with the increase of resource consumption input.At the same time, under the condition of limited resources, economic development will also be affected by it.In this paper, ten provinces and cities in the eastern part of China are selected to measure the economic development index of GDP from 1997 to 2013. Among the indicators of environmental pollution, the discharge of industrial wastewater, waste gas and solid waste is the most representative.Based on the three indexes of coal consumption, per capita water consumption and electricity consumption, the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution in eastern China is studied.At the same time, to judge the progress stage between the two in the eastern region of China, to study the metrological relationship between economic growth and resource consumption in the eastern region of China, in order to formulate the economic development and environmental pollution in the eastern region of China.The resource consumption synchronizes the healthy development to provide the theory basis.According to the track of scattered plot of economic development and environmental pollution index, it can be seen that the emission of environmental pollution in the eastern region of China rises first and then decreases with the economic development, which accords with the environmental Kuznets curve.The economic development in eastern China increases with the increase of resource consumption index, which is approximately a linear regression relationship.Then the entropy weighting method is used to integrate the three observable indexes of industrial wastewater discharge, industrial waste gas discharge and industrial waste discharge into a comprehensive index to measure environmental pollution, and coal consumption, per capita water consumption,The three observable indicators of electricity consumption are integrated into a comprehensive index to measure the consumption of resources.On this basis, the panel data of ten provinces (cities) in eastern China from 1997 to 2013 are constructed to study the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution.The relationship between economic development and resource consumption.By using the individual fixed effect regression model and the time point fixed effect regression model, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution, and between economic development and resource consumption.The results show that the relationship between environmental pollution and economic development in the eastern regions of China is an inverted "U" curve, and the influence of non-economic factors on environmental pollution is very different among different provinces (cities).Since 2002, non-economic factors have been more and more obvious in restraining environmental pollution emissions, and there is a linear regression relationship between economic development and resource consumption, and there is a positive correlation between economic development and resource consumption in various provinces (cities).The influence of non-resource consumption factors on economic development is very different among different provinces (cities). From 1997 to 2013, non-resource consumption factors gradually increase the role of promoting economic development.
【學位授予單位】:杭州電子科技大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2016
【分類號】:F127;F205
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