本文關(guān)鍵詞： 一帶一路 鋼鐵行業(yè) 產(chǎn)能過剩 出口貿(mào)易　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：“一帶一路”構(gòu)想自2013年提出以來,便得到了國際社會(huì)的廣泛關(guān)注,它是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)入新常態(tài)格局后,推動(dòng)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要?jiǎng)恿蜋C(jī)遇。該戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施對中國以及相關(guān)多個(gè)國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)、文化和政治影響意義深遠(yuǎn)。加強(qiáng)區(qū)域合作和貿(mào)易往來是“一帶一路”構(gòu)想中重點(diǎn)建設(shè)的內(nèi)容,因此其對我國貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì),特別是出口貿(mào)易的影響潛力是巨大的。“一帶一路”構(gòu)想的發(fā)展不僅改善了我國整體經(jīng)濟(jì)情況,同時(shí)也對我國鋼鐵行業(yè)產(chǎn)生了重大影響。近年來我國鋼鐵行業(yè)處于低迷狀況,眾多企業(yè)紛紛面臨破產(chǎn),主要原因便是產(chǎn)能過剩問題,而“一帶一路”為解決該問題創(chuàng)造了一大機(jī)遇。在“一帶一路”相關(guān)國家中,有眾多基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)相對不夠完善而需要大量鋼材建設(shè)的新興發(fā)展中國家和落后國家,也有較為發(fā)達(dá)但鋼鐵行業(yè)不再具有優(yōu)勢的發(fā)達(dá)國家,我國若能加強(qiáng)與這些國家的合作與交流,提高我國鋼材產(chǎn)品的出口,便能抓住機(jī)會(huì)向外化解我國鋼鐵行業(yè)的過剩產(chǎn)能。本文主要通過理論和實(shí)證兩方面來研究“一帶一路”構(gòu)想對我國鋼鐵出口貿(mào)易的影響。理論方面文章闡述了目前我國鋼鐵行業(yè)和“一帶一路”構(gòu)想的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并結(jié)合經(jīng)典理論與文獻(xiàn),分析了我國鋼鐵行業(yè)融入“一帶一路”構(gòu)想的必要性。實(shí)證方面文章首先通過近年來我國部分鋼材產(chǎn)品出口情況統(tǒng)計(jì)和“一帶一路”部分國家的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行了貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)和投資機(jī)會(huì)分析,分析發(fā)現(xiàn)我國鋼材產(chǎn)品確實(shí)向“一帶一路”部分相關(guān)國家的出口高于非“一帶一路”國家,而這些國家的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略也為我國鋼材產(chǎn)品出口創(chuàng)造了很多機(jī)會(huì)。另外文章還選取了2015年我國向美國、日本、韓國、越南等146個(gè)國家和地區(qū)鋼材出口量(SE)的數(shù)據(jù),建立回歸模型,分析是否為“一帶一路”國家或地區(qū)(BR)、一國國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)和從中國進(jìn)口鋼材產(chǎn)品所征收的平均從價(jià)進(jìn)口稅率(TM)對鋼材出口量的影響。回歸分析結(jié)果表示,各國GDP和是否為“一帶一路”國家對我國鋼材出口量影響顯著,而從中國進(jìn)口鋼材產(chǎn)品的平均從價(jià)進(jìn)口稅率影響不顯著。通過理論與實(shí)證兩方面的研究后,本文最終還給出了一些建議,希望能夠?qū)谩耙粠б宦贰睒?gòu)想加強(qiáng)鋼鐵出口來解決我國鋼鐵行業(yè)產(chǎn)能過剩問題有所幫助。
[Abstract]:The concept of "Belt and Road" has been widely concerned by the international community since it was put forward in 2013. It is after China's economic development has entered the new normal pattern. The important driving force and opportunity to promote the economic development of our country. The implementation of this strategy will be beneficial to the economy of China and many other countries concerned. The cultural and political implications are far-reaching. Strengthening regional cooperation and trade exchanges is the focus of construction in Belt and Road's concept, so it has a great impact on China's trade economy. In particular, the impact potential of export trade is enormous. The development of "Belt and Road" has not only improved the overall economic situation of our country, but also had a major impact on our steel industry. In recent years, China's iron and steel industry is in a depressed state. Many enterprises are facing bankruptcy, mainly because of overcapacity, and Belt and Road has created a great opportunity to solve this problem. There are many new developing countries and backward countries whose infrastructure construction is relatively imperfect and requires a large amount of steel construction, and there are also developed countries that are more developed but whose steel industry no longer has advantages. If our country can strengthen cooperation and exchanges with these countries, and increase the export of our steel products, This paper mainly studies the influence of Belt and Road's conception on China's iron and steel export trade through both theoretical and empirical aspects. The current situation of the development of the former China's steel industry and the "Belt and Road" concept, And combined with classical theory and literature, This paper analyzes the necessity of China's iron and steel industry's integration into "Belt and Road". Firstly, the article analyzes the export statistics of some steel products in China in recent years and the development strategy of some countries of "Belt and Road". Trade data and investment opportunities analysis, The analysis found that the export of China's steel products to some of the countries concerned with "Belt and Road" is higher than that of non-" Belt and Road "countries. The development strategies of these countries have also created many opportunities for China's steel products exports. In addition, the article also selected data from China's steel exports to the United States, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and other 146 countries and regions in 2015 to establish a regression model. This paper analyzes the influence of "Belt and Road" countries or regions on the export of steel products, including China's gross domestic product (GDP) and the average ad valorem import duty rate levied on steel products imported from China. The influence of GDP and Belt and Road on China's steel exports is significant, but the average ad valorem import duty rate of steel products imported from China is not significant. Finally, some suggestions are given in this paper, hoping to be helpful to solve the problem of overcapacity in China's steel industry by using Belt and Road's idea to strengthen steel exports.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F426.31;F752.62

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