本文關(guān)鍵詞：“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略背景下中國與中東歐貿(mào)易合作研究　出處：《北京第二外國語學(xué)院》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：中東歐國家是中國重要的貿(mào)易伙伴,更是歐亞國家與中國貿(mào)易的聯(lián)系通道,自古就承擔(dān)著“絲綢之路經(jīng)濟帶”過境地區(qū)的重要角色,是中國從陸路通往歐亞的必經(jīng)地區(qū)。在中國實施的“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略中,中東歐國家在經(jīng)濟和政治上都具有重要地位。中東歐國家正經(jīng)歷歐債危機后深刻的經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,其大力推進的“向東開放”政策與中國“一帶一路”愿景不謀而合,雙方發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略契合度高,合作潛力巨大。本文基于聯(lián)合國UN COMTRADE數(shù)據(jù)庫的最新統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),從三個層面展開研究:一是從中東歐國家的主要出口目標(biāo)市場、出口商品結(jié)構(gòu),以及與中國雙邊貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)等角度對中東歐國家的對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進行國別分析;二是測算中國與中東歐16國分別在不同目標(biāo)市場上基于HS4位編碼的出口相似度指數(shù),以及中東歐16國與不同貿(mào)易伙伴的貿(mào)易結(jié)合度指數(shù),從細(xì)分產(chǎn)品角度分析中國與中東歐國家的貿(mào)易互補性和競爭性;三是測算中國與中東歐16國按HS章別分類產(chǎn)品的全球價值鏈分工地位指數(shù),從產(chǎn)品全球價值鏈分工地位角度,分析中國與中東歐國家的產(chǎn)業(yè)互補性和貿(mào)易潛力。本文研究結(jié)果表明:中國與中東歐主要國家在德國、俄羅斯、美國、世界市場上出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)雖然存在一定競爭性,但更多體現(xiàn)的是較強的互補性。中東歐大多數(shù)國家與德國、俄羅斯貿(mào)易聯(lián)系緊密,但貿(mào)易聯(lián)系緊密程度呈下降趨勢。從中國與中東歐國家HS章別分類產(chǎn)品的全球價值鏈分工地位的比較來看,中國與中東歐主要國家在農(nóng)產(chǎn)品、植物產(chǎn)品、動植物油脂產(chǎn)品、礦產(chǎn)品類初級產(chǎn)品;木及木制品,家具、玩具及雜項制品類勞動密集型產(chǎn)品;塑料、橡膠產(chǎn)品,纖維素漿及紙張產(chǎn)品原料類資本密集型產(chǎn)品;機電產(chǎn)品,運輸設(shè)備,光學(xué)、鐘表、醫(yī)療設(shè)備高技術(shù)含量資本密集型產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈上的互補性較強。最后本文從增加對中東歐的進口,改善雙邊貿(mào)易不平衡狀況;推進中國與中東歐自貿(mào)區(qū)建設(shè),擴大貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應(yīng);擴大對中東歐的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資,促進中國商品出口多元化;推進與中東歐的產(chǎn)能合作,帶動雙方對外貿(mào)易的增長等角度提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Central and Eastern European countries are China's important trading partners, but also the Eurasian countries and China's trade links, since ancient times has assumed an important role in the "Silk Road Economic Belt" transit areas. Is China's road to Europe and Asia by road through the region. In China's implementation of the "Belt and Road" strategy. Central and Eastern European countries play an important role in both economy and politics. The central and eastern European countries are undergoing profound economic restructuring after the European debt crisis. The policy of "opening to the east", which it vigorously promoted, coincided with the vision of "Belt and Road" of China, and the development strategy of both sides coincided with each other in a high degree. There is great potential for cooperation. Based on the latest statistics of UN COMTRADE database, this paper studies from three aspects: first, the main export target markets of Central and Eastern European countries. From the perspective of export commodity structure and bilateral trade structure with China, this paper analyzes the current situation of foreign trade development in Central and Eastern European countries. The second is to measure the export similarity index based on HS4 bit coding in different target markets between China and 16 countries of Central and Eastern Europe, and the trade combination index of 16 countries in Central and Eastern Europe with different trading partners. The trade complementarity and competition between China and Central and Eastern European countries are analyzed from the perspective of subdivision products. The third is to measure the global value chain division status index between China and 16 countries in Central and Eastern Europe according to HS Chapter, from the perspective of product global value chain division position. This paper analyzes the industrial complementarity and trade potential between China and CEE countries. The results show that China and CEE countries are in Germany, Russia and the United States. Although the structure of export commodities in the world market is competitive, it is more complementary. Most of the countries in Central and Eastern Europe have close trade ties with Germany and Russia. From the comparison of the global value chain division of products between China and Central and Eastern European countries, China and the major countries of Central and Eastern Europe are in the agricultural products, plant products. Animal and vegetable oil products, mineral products of primary products; Wood and wood products, furniture, toys and miscellaneous products such as labor-intensive products; Plastic, rubber products, cellulose pulp and paper products raw materials of capital-intensive products; Mechanical and electrical products, transportation equipment, optics, watches and clocks, medical equipment are highly complementary in the industrial chain of capital-intensive products with high technology content. Finally, this paper improves bilateral trade imbalance by increasing imports to Central and Eastern Europe; Promoting the construction of free trade zone between China and Central and Eastern Europe and expanding the effect of trade creation; Expanding infrastructure investment in Central and Eastern Europe to promote diversification of China's merchandise exports; To promote capacity cooperation with Central and Eastern Europe and promote the growth of foreign trade between the two sides, and put forward corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京第二外國語學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.7

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