發(fā)布時間：2018-01-15 23:27

  本文關鍵詞：北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展的互動關系研究　出處：《首都經濟貿易大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 北京市 文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè) 區(qū)域經濟 互動 向量自回歸

【摘要】：當今時代知識經濟迅猛發(fā)展,以創(chuàng)意為核心,融合了科技、知識、智慧、文化在內的文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)的發(fā)展成就令人矚目。目前,文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)作為經濟增長的新動力,增長態(tài)勢蓬勃,影響范疇日益深遠,很多發(fā)達國家和地區(qū)已將其作為主導產業(yè)。文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)的異軍突起,得到了政府與學者的廣泛關注。在文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)對區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展的貢獻得到重視的同時,很多人忽視了其發(fā)展背后的區(qū)域經濟環(huán)境因素及二者存在的相互作用關系。北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)的發(fā)展在全國范圍內首屈一指,厘清文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展之間的互動關系及互動機理非常必要。通過機理研究可知,文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)對區(qū)域經濟的貢獻表現(xiàn)在促進經濟增長、為區(qū)域經濟提供新的動力、緩解就業(yè)壓力、優(yōu)化產業(yè)結構;區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展通過文化環(huán)境、人力資本、法制環(huán)境、需求結構等方面對文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)做出影響。在理論基礎之上,對北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與北京市經濟增長進行實證分析。通過對北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)產值與北京市人均GDP的動態(tài)計量分析,測度二者之間的貢獻度,驗證二者相輔相成的互動關系。通過協(xié)整檢驗得出北京市文創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與其經濟增長之間的關系存在長期性,由協(xié)整方程式可知,北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)增加1個單位能夠推動經濟增長0.52個單位,北京市經濟增長1個單位能夠推動文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)增長1.9個單位。由該結果可知,北京市經濟增長對當地文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)的推動作用比其文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)對北京市經濟增長的貢獻更加明顯;通過格蘭杰檢驗得出北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與其經濟增長至少在2年時間內互為因果;通過建立VAR模型,借助脈沖響應函數與方差分解可知北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與其經濟增長互相影響的路徑與影響程度。通過脈沖響應函數可以看出,北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)對北京市經濟增長的影響有一定波動性,但從長期來看具有正向推動作用;北京市經濟增長對文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)的影響由負到正,從長期來看正向推動作用強烈。由方差分解可以看出,北京市經濟增長對文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)的發(fā)展影響隨著時間推移不斷強烈,經濟增長對文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)變動的貢獻率能達到60%以上,遠高于文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)對自身的影響。通過理論與實證研究,根據理論基礎、作用機理以及實證分析的結果對如何推動北京市文化創(chuàng)意產業(yè)與區(qū)域經濟進行良好互動提出發(fā)展策略。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, the rapid development of knowledge economy, with creativity as the core, the integration of science and technology, knowledge, wisdom, culture and other cultural creative industry development achievements are remarkable. As a new driving force of economic growth, cultural creative industry is booming, and the scope of influence is increasingly far-reaching. Many developed countries and regions have taken it as the leading industry. At the same time, the contribution of cultural and creative industries to regional economic development has been paid attention to. Many people ignore the regional economic and environmental factors behind their development and the interaction between the two. The development of Beijing's cultural and creative industries is second to none in the whole country. It is necessary to clarify the interaction and mechanism between cultural and creative industries and regional economic development. Through the mechanism study, we can see that the contribution of cultural and creative industries to regional economy is reflected in the promotion of economic growth. To provide new impetus for regional economy, relieve employment pressure and optimize industrial structure; Regional economic development through the cultural environment, human capital, legal environment, demand structure and other aspects of cultural and creative industries to make an impact on the theoretical basis. Through the dynamic econometric analysis of Beijing's cultural and creative industry output value and Beijing's per capita GDP, this paper measures the contribution between the two. Through the cointegration test, we can conclude that there is a long-term relationship between the creative industry and its economic growth in Beijing, which can be seen from the co-integration equation. The increase of 1 unit in cultural and creative industries in Beijing can promote economic growth of 0.52 units, and 1 unit in economic growth in Beijing can promote the growth of cultural and creative industries by 1.9 units. The contribution of Beijing's economic growth to the local cultural and creative industries is more obvious than that of its cultural and creative industries. Through Granger test, it is concluded that the cultural and creative industries and their economic growth in Beijing are causality and causality in at least two years. Through the establishment of VAR model, with the help of impulse response function and variance decomposition, we can know the path and influence degree of the interaction between Beijing cultural and creative industries and their economic growth, which can be seen by pulse response function. The impact of Beijing's cultural and creative industries on Beijing's economic growth is fluctuating, but in the long run it has a positive impact on Beijing's economic growth. The impact of Beijing's economic growth on the cultural and creative industries is from negative to positive, and in the long run, the positive promotion is strong, which can be seen from the decomposition of variance. Beijing's economic growth has a strong impact on the development of cultural and creative industries with the passage of time, and the contribution rate of economic growth to the changes of cultural and creative industries can reach more than 60%. Far higher than the cultural and creative industries on their own impact. Through theoretical and empirical research, according to the theoretical basis. The mechanism and the results of empirical analysis on how to promote the good interaction between Beijing's cultural and creative industries and regional economy put forward development strategies.
【學位授予單位】：首都經濟貿易大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：G124;F127

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