本文選題：多智能體模型　切入點：規(guī)劃支持系統(tǒng)　出處：《現(xiàn)代城市研究》2016年11期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：面向城市問題的復雜性和動態(tài)性,大量模擬仿真、定量分析等手段被廣泛應用于城鄉(xiāng)規(guī)劃方案的預測與評價中,而其相應的預測評價結(jié)果也往往被認為有助于規(guī)劃方案的調(diào)整與決策。在此過程中,仿真模型的構(gòu)建逐漸從宏觀向微觀方向發(fā)展,對研究對象的分析也逐漸體現(xiàn)出從群體性描述向個體行為特征、機理的刻畫轉(zhuǎn)變。但是這其中卻鮮有學者探討基于微觀個體行為的仿真模擬究竟在規(guī)劃方案的生成與決策過程中發(fā)揮怎樣的作用,對規(guī)劃師的知識構(gòu)建是否能夠有效地達到規(guī)劃決策支持的目的。本研究從這一科學問題出發(fā),基于一個面向養(yǎng)老日護理中心空間分布模擬的多智能體模型(Agent-Based Model,ABM)的構(gòu)建與應用,探討多智能體模擬仿真在空間規(guī)劃實踐中的應用可能及其構(gòu)建機制。研究結(jié)果表明,多智能體模擬用于規(guī)劃實踐首先必須具有可信的、完整的數(shù)據(jù)支持;要達到輔助規(guī)劃師建立對規(guī)劃問題的科學認識,模型構(gòu)建則應該在規(guī)劃工作的最初開始介入,并讓規(guī)劃師參與其中;同時,多智能體模型的構(gòu)建必須基于面向規(guī)劃問題的現(xiàn)實決策過程�？傮w而言,多智能體模型可用于規(guī)劃決策支持,但是模擬結(jié)果卻不能代替規(guī)劃方案。
[Abstract]:Facing the complexity and dynamics of urban problems, a large number of simulation, quantitative analysis and other means are widely used in the prediction and evaluation of urban and rural planning plans. The corresponding prediction and evaluation results are often considered to be helpful to the adjustment and decision of the planning scheme. In this process, the construction of simulation model gradually develops from macro to micro direction. The analysis of the object of study gradually reflects the characteristics of individual behavior from group description to individual behavior. However, few scholars have discussed how simulation based on micro-individual behavior plays a role in the process of planning scheme generation and decision-making. Whether the knowledge construction of planners can effectively achieve the purpose of planning decision support, this study based on the construction and application of Agent-Based Modeler (ABM), a multi-agent model for spatial distribution simulation of care centers for the aged, is carried out in this paper. The application of multi-agent simulation in spatial planning practice and its construction mechanism are discussed. The results show that multi-agent simulation for planning practice must first have credible and complete data support. To assist planners in building a scientific understanding of planning issues, model building should begin at the very beginning of the planning process and involve the planners; at the same time, In general, the multi-agent model can be used for planning decision support, but the simulation results can not replace the planning scheme.
【作者單位】： 日本金澤大學;福州大學建筑學院;
【分類號】：TU984.113

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