發(fā)布時間：2018-03-20 01:23

  本文選題：商業(yè)銀行　切入點：順周期性　出處：《南昌大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：在2008年國際金融危機爆發(fā)之前,全球經(jīng)濟看似正處于上行區(qū)間的良好運行態(tài)勢實則是危機暗涌,金融體系內(nèi)存在著嚴重的流動性過剩,不斷擴張的銀行信貸規(guī)模,過度和無序使用的金融衍生產(chǎn)品等最終致使了本次金融危機的爆發(fā)和迅速蔓延。在這次金融危機過后,在世界范圍內(nèi)廣泛討論了金融體系的順周期性以及金融監(jiān)管的乏力問題�！栋腿麪枀f(xié)議III》和我國銀監(jiān)會發(fā)布的《商業(yè)銀行資本管理辦法》都提出需要緩解順周期性和加強逆周期監(jiān)管。在監(jiān)管改革新背景下,研究我國商業(yè)銀行資本充足率的順周期性與逆周期監(jiān)管策略有著現(xiàn)實意義。本文在闡述順周期性相關理論的基礎上,分析了資本充足率的順周期性產(chǎn)生的原因以及影響。然后,介紹了我國商業(yè)銀行資本充足率的現(xiàn)狀并選用我國12家商業(yè)銀行2005年—2014年的面板數(shù)據(jù)利用固定效應回歸方法分析我國商業(yè)銀行資本充足率的順周期性。實證結果表明,我國商業(yè)銀行資本充足率同經(jīng)濟增長率之間有著逆向波動關系,資本充足率會隨經(jīng)濟增長率的提高而下降,會隨著經(jīng)濟增長的減緩而提升。接著本文還介紹了西班牙和英國對資本充足率實施逆周期監(jiān)管的實踐。最后建議相關監(jiān)管機構從逆周期監(jiān)管策略如緩解最低資本要求順周期性的波動、建立資本緩沖、計提動態(tài)撥備以及監(jiān)管杠桿率來緩解資本充足率有著順周期性的問題。
[Abstract]:Before the outbreak of the international financial crisis in 2008, the good operating situation of the global economy, which appeared to be in an upward range, was actually a crisis surges, a serious excess of liquidity in the financial system, and an ever-expanding scale of bank credit. Excessive and disorderly use of financial derivatives eventually led to the outbreak and rapid spread of the financial crisis. After this financial crisis, In this paper, the problems of the procyclicality of the financial system and the weakness of financial supervision are extensively discussed in the world. The Basel Accord III and the Capital Management measures of Commercial Banks issued by the Banking Regulatory Commission of China both put forward the need to alleviate the procyclicality. And strengthening countercyclical regulation. In the new context of regulatory reform, It is of practical significance to study the pro-cyclical and counter-cyclical supervision strategies of the capital adequacy ratio of commercial banks in China. Based on the exposition of the theory of pro-cyclicality, this paper analyzes the causes and effects of the procyclicality of the capital adequacy ratio. This paper introduces the present situation of the capital adequacy ratio of commercial banks in China and uses the panel data of 12 commercial banks from 2005 to 2014 to analyze the procyclicality of the capital adequacy ratio of commercial banks in China by using the fixed effect regression method. There is a reverse fluctuation relationship between the capital adequacy ratio and the economic growth rate of commercial banks in China, and the capital adequacy ratio will decrease with the increase of the economic growth rate. This article also introduces the practice of countercyclical regulation of capital adequacy ratio in Spain and Britain. Finally, it suggests that relevant regulators should start from countercyclical regulatory strategies such as mitigating minimum capital. Requiring pro-cyclical fluctuations, Establishing capital buffers, making dynamic provisions, and regulating leverage are pro-cyclical problems.
【學位授予單位】：南昌大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F832.33;F830.42

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 王海軍;;商業(yè)銀行不良貸款的內(nèi)生機制與周期性研究——基于政府、銀行與國有企業(yè)博弈的視角[J];當代財經(jīng);2017年01期

2 張瑞穩(wěn);何娜娜;;上市商業(yè)銀行資本充足率影響因素實證分析[J];北京航空航天大學學報(社會科學版);2016年05期

3 潘敏;康巧靈;朱迪星;;地方政府股權會影響城市商業(yè)銀行信貸投放的周期性特征嗎?[J];經(jīng)濟評論;2016年04期

4 趙琴波;李虹含;孔濤;;中國商業(yè)銀行資本充足率與風險的現(xiàn)狀探微——基于上市銀行2003—2014年數(shù)據(jù)的分析[J];海南金融;2016年04期

5 許坤;蘇揚;;逆周期資本監(jiān)管、監(jiān)管壓力與銀行信貸研究[J];統(tǒng)計研究;2016年03期

6 張金梅;劉雅瓊;同世隆;;巴塞爾協(xié)議Ⅲ對公允價值順周期性影響的實證檢驗——基于中國商業(yè)銀行數(shù)據(jù)[J];財會月刊;2015年17期

7 吳國平;;中國商業(yè)銀行杠桿率的順周期性分析[J];金融論壇;2015年06期

8 鄢夢華;劉家誠;;我國上市商業(yè)銀行效率與資本充足率的相關性分析[J];金融經(jīng)濟;2015年06期

9 戴林;鄭東文;;逆周期宏觀審慎監(jiān)管的理論、框架及其局限性研究[J];金融監(jiān)管研究;2015年02期

10 周曄;張萍;高賽;;商業(yè)銀行貸款損失準備具有順周期性嗎?[J];經(jīng)濟與管理研究;2015年01期

，

本文編號：1636887