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公租房項目社會風(fēng)險的前攝性定量評價研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-04-25 19:12

  本文選題:公租房 + 社會風(fēng)險; 參考:《東南大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文


【摘要】:2010年以來,公租房被我國政府確定為保障房的主體,這使得公租房項目在全國各地快速涌現(xiàn)。雖然公租房項目在一定程度上緩解了中低收入群體的住房困難問題,但是卻衍生出項目配套設(shè)施跟不上、租金定價不合理、人員構(gòu)成復(fù)雜等社會問題,存在項目貧民窟化、社會沖突增加、仇富心理加劇等社會風(fēng)險。因此,本文嘗試提出公租房項目的社會風(fēng)險評價指標(biāo)體系以及公租房項目社會風(fēng)險前攝性定量評價方法,以便政府根據(jù)指標(biāo)體系完善公租房項目的前期規(guī)劃、優(yōu)化建設(shè)運營方案,提前規(guī)避各種社會風(fēng)險問題。概括而言,本文主要研究內(nèi)容如下:(1)提出本文的選題背景、現(xiàn)實及理論意義,從公租房項目、社會風(fēng)險和風(fēng)險評價三個方面總結(jié)目前國內(nèi)外的研究現(xiàn)狀,并對現(xiàn)有研究進行評析。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),目前國內(nèi)外對公租房社會風(fēng)險主要集中于定性和理論研究,定量評價較少。(2)定義社會風(fēng)險和公租房項目社會風(fēng)險的概念,分析了公租房項目社會風(fēng)險的形成機理,包括發(fā)生的必要條件和形成過程。其中,社會風(fēng)險發(fā)生的必要條件包括包括社會風(fēng)險的制造主體、影響因素、制造主體的申訴渠道和社會風(fēng)險事件。(3)利用文獻分析法和社會網(wǎng)絡(luò)理論識別出公租房項目的核心利益相關(guān)者,在此基礎(chǔ)上通過文獻分析法和對核心利益相關(guān)者進行問卷調(diào)查的方法構(gòu)建出公租房項目社會風(fēng)險前攝性定量評價的指標(biāo)體系。(4)綜合考慮社會風(fēng)險評價的一般步驟和常用方法的優(yōu)缺點,選取物元可拓法作為本文對公租房項目社會風(fēng)險進行前攝性定量評價的方法,并構(gòu)建出物元可拓評價模型。之后利用專家評分法和ANP確定出社會風(fēng)險評價指標(biāo)和特征值的權(quán)重。最后基于物元可拓中的菱形思維法從理論上初步提出公租房項目社會風(fēng)險防控策略。(5)以南京市岱山保障房項目中的公租房項目為實證研究對象,利用上文提出的指標(biāo)體系和評價方法對項目進行前攝性和投入使用后的社會風(fēng)險定量評價。通過兩次評價結(jié)果的對比分析,驗證本文提出的評價方法的可行性。最后根據(jù)評價結(jié)果提出相應(yīng)的社會風(fēng)險防控策略。
[Abstract]:Since 2010, public rental housing has been identified as the main body of indemnificatory apartment by the Chinese government, which makes public rental housing projects emerge rapidly throughout the country. Although the public rental housing project to some extent alleviates the housing difficulties of the low- and middle-income groups, it has resulted in social problems such as the lack of matching facilities for the projects, unreasonable rent pricing, complex personnel composition, and the existence of slum projects. Social conflicts increase, hatred of rich psychology intensifies and other social risks. Therefore, this paper tries to put forward the social risk evaluation index system of public rental housing project and the proactive quantitative evaluation method of social risk of public rental housing project, so that the government can improve the pre-planning of public housing project according to the index system. Optimize the construction and operation plan to avoid all kinds of social risks ahead of time. To sum up, the main research contents of this paper are as follows: (1) the background, reality and theoretical significance of this paper are proposed, and the current research situation at home and abroad is summarized from three aspects: public rental housing project, social risk and risk evaluation. And the existing research is reviewed. The results show that, at present, the social risk of public rental housing is mainly focused on qualitative and theoretical research at home and abroad, and the quantitative evaluation is less. It defines the concept of social risk and social risk of public rental housing project, and analyzes the forming mechanism of social risk of public rental housing project. Including the necessary conditions for occurrence and formation process. Among them, the necessary conditions for the occurrence of social risk include the manufacturing subject of social risk, the influencing factors, Using literature analysis and social network theory to identify the core stakeholders of the public rental housing project. On this basis, through the method of literature analysis and questionnaire survey to core stakeholders, the index system of proactive quantitative evaluation of social risk of public housing project is constructed. 4) the general steps of comprehensive consideration of social risk assessment are given. And the advantages and disadvantages of common methods, The matter-element extension method is selected as the proactive quantitative evaluation method for the social risk of the public housing project, and the matter-element extension evaluation model is constructed. Then the weight of social risk evaluation index and characteristic value is determined by expert scoring method and ANP. Finally, based on the rhombus thinking method of matter-element extension, the paper puts forward the social risk prevention and control strategy of public rental housing project. It takes the public rental housing project of indemnificatory apartment project in Daishan of Nanjing as the empirical research object. The index system and evaluation method are used to quantitatively evaluate the social risk of the project after it has been put into use. The feasibility of the proposed evaluation method is verified by the comparative analysis of the two evaluation results. Finally, according to the evaluation results, the corresponding social risk prevention and control strategy is put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2016
【分類號】:F299.23

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