中國城市收縮的背景、識別與特征分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-15 19:49
本文選題:城市收縮 切入點:人口流失 出處:《東南大學學報(哲學社會科學版)》2016年04期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:城市增長和城市收縮是一枚銀幣的兩面,以人口流失為核心特征的城市收縮現(xiàn)象在中國普遍存在。本文利用兩次人口普查數(shù)據(jù),從地級及以上行政單元和縣市(區(qū))兩種空間尺度,識別中國的城市收縮格局,分別從人口結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)和社會狀況三個維度考察收縮縣市(區(qū))的發(fā)展狀態(tài)。兩次普查年間頻繁的區(qū)劃調(diào)整將對本文的識別結(jié)果產(chǎn)生重大影響,利用鄉(xiāng)、鎮(zhèn)、街道數(shù)據(jù),對2865個縣市(區(qū))中涉及到行政區(qū)劃變動的樣本進行調(diào)整。結(jié)論顯示,中國26.71%地級及以上行政單元、37.16%縣市(區(qū))發(fā)生收縮,以中國東北地區(qū)和長江經(jīng)濟帶的收縮最為嚴重,且集中出現(xiàn)了"市區(qū)—市轄區(qū)"雙收縮的現(xiàn)象。通過分析,與非收縮縣市(區(qū))相比,收縮縣市(區(qū))經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展水平較低,集中體現(xiàn)為:較高的人口撫養(yǎng)比、單一的行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、較低的城市化率,以及較低的人力資本存量。
[Abstract]:Urban growth and urban contraction are two sides of a silver coin. The phenomenon of urban contraction, characterized by population loss, is common in China. From the two spatial scales of administrative units at and above the prefectural level and counties and cities (districts), the pattern of urban contraction in China is identified, respectively, from the population structure. The three dimensions of economic structure and social condition are to investigate the development state of shrinking counties (districts). The frequent regionalization adjustment during the two census years will have a significant impact on the identification results of this paper, using township, town and street data, The sample of 2865 counties (districts) involved in the change of administrative divisions was adjusted. The conclusion shows that 37.16% of the administrative units of 26.71% prefectures and above in China have contracted, especially in Northeast China and the Yangtze River economic belt. Through analysis, compared with non-contractile counties (districts), the level of economic and social development of contractile counties (districts) is relatively low, which is reflected in: higher population dependency ratio. Single industry structure, low urbanization rate, and low stock of human capital.
【作者單位】: 上海財經(jīng)大學財經(jīng)研究所;上海財經(jīng)大學國際工商管理學院;
【基金】:國家社科基金重大項目“新型城鎮(zhèn)化背景下城市邊界調(diào)整與城市綜合承載力提升路徑研究”(14ZDB138) 國家自然科學基金項目(71473160) 上海財經(jīng)大學研究生創(chuàng)新計劃項目科研創(chuàng)新基金(CXJJ-2015-341)與上海財經(jīng)大學創(chuàng)新團隊支持計劃階段性成果
【分類號】:F299.2
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本文編號:1616552
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