本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中的序貫增長機(jī)制　出處：《暨南大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 序貫增長 城鎮(zhèn)化 城市發(fā)展 最優(yōu)城市規(guī)模

【摘要】：改革開放以來,中國的城市發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略經(jīng)歷了從“偏向中小城市”到“城市自由競爭”再回歸到“偏向中小城市”的振蕩調(diào)整,有關(guān)城市發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的效率問題一直是學(xué)界關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。本文首先梳理了有關(guān)城市增長問題的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),回顧改革開放以來中國城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展歷程;之后結(jié)合中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的特征,通過構(gòu)建理論模型刻畫了城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中城市序貫增長的“接力賽”機(jī)制,揭示了城市發(fā)展優(yōu)勢隨著城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程從最大城市不斷向規(guī)模次之的城市序貫轉(zhuǎn)移的過程;在此基礎(chǔ)上,利用中國2003-2013年“城市自由競爭”時(shí)期的城市數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)城市序貫增長的假說進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn);進(jìn)一步地,通過測算城市最優(yōu)規(guī)模的演變以及增長最快城市的平均排序,為城市序貫增長理論提供經(jīng)驗(yàn)性證據(jù);最后,根據(jù)得出的結(jié)論提出我國城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展路徑的政策建議。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明:隨著樣本的后推,城鎮(zhèn)化效率與城市規(guī)模的關(guān)系從早期左低右高的“U型”結(jié)構(gòu)不斷扁平化,并且向“倒U型”結(jié)構(gòu)反轉(zhuǎn);特大城市的城鎮(zhèn)化優(yōu)勢正在不斷向大城市甚至中大型城市轉(zhuǎn)移。就效率的角度而言,當(dāng)前新型城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展方向應(yīng)該定位于城市人口250萬-700萬的中大型城市與大城市,以避免特大城市與小城市過度發(fā)展帶來的效率損失。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's urban development strategy has experienced an oscillatory adjustment from "favouring small and medium-sized cities" to "urban free competition" and then returning to "favoring small and medium-sized cities". The efficiency of urban development strategy has always been the focus of academic attention. Firstly, this paper reviews the related literature on urban growth, and reviews the development of urbanization in China since the reform and opening up. Then combining with the characteristics of China's economic development, this paper describes the "relay race" mechanism of urban sequential growth in the process of urbanization by constructing a theoretical model. It reveals the process of urban development advantage shifting from the largest city to the second largest city with the process of urbanization. On this basis, the hypothesis of sequential urban growth is tested by using the urban data of China's "urban free competition" period from 2003 to 2013. Furthermore, the empirical evidence is provided for the theory of urban sequential growth by measuring the evolution of the optimal scale of cities and the average ranking of the fastest growing cities. Finally, according to the conclusions of the policy recommendations on the path of urbanization development in China. The empirical results show that: with the back of the sample. The relationship between urbanization efficiency and urban scale is flattened from the early "U-shaped" structure of left, low and right high, and reversed to "inverted U-shaped" structure. The advantages of urbanization of megacities are being transferred to large cities and even to medium and large cities. In terms of efficiency. In order to avoid the loss of efficiency caused by excessive development of megacities and small cities, the development direction of new urbanization should be focused on the large and medium-sized cities with a population of 2.5 million to 7 million.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：暨南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F299.2

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