博茨瓦納作為一個發(fā)展中國家為實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)多樣化做出了一些努力。博茨瓦納采用了諸多經(jīng)濟(jì)多元化驅(qū)動（EDD）、2016年愿景、2036年愿景、NDP 10和NDP 11等發(fā)展政策和戰(zhàn)略,以使其實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)多樣化,不再依賴初級商品。該國已簽署了若干雙邊和多邊自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定,以優(yōu)惠其商品和服務(wù)的市場準(zhǔn)入,其重點是消除貿(mào)易壁壘,以便于在博茨瓦納與其貿(mào)易國家之間進(jìn)行貨物運輸。鑒于此,本文研究出口多樣化對博茨瓦納經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,并選擇出口多樣化、外商直接投資、人口、制造業(yè)和一般政府凈消費等五個自變量,選取1995-2017年的時間序列數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析,選取實際人均國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值（GDP）作為代表來確定這兩個概念之間的關(guān)系。為了獲得出口多樣化對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的一致和有效估計,本文使用了普通最小二乘法（OLS）,實證結(jié)果與該模型相吻合。在索洛增長模型中,實際人均GDP增長與出口多樣化之間的相互作用非常顯著,并為解釋博茨瓦納增長率的變化做出了重要貢獻(xiàn),實證模型表明,出口多樣化以外的變量也在解釋博茨瓦納的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方面發(fā)揮作用。外商直接投資不顯著,但與出口增長和出口多樣化呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系,這說明一個經(jīng)濟(jì)體的多元化程度越高,就越有可... 

【文章來源】：江西財經(jīng)大學(xué)江西省

【文章頁數(shù)】：68 頁

【學(xué)位級別】：碩士

【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the Study
    1.2 Literature Review
    1.3 Objectives of the study
    1.4 Significance of Study
    1.5 Contribution and Limitations of Study
    1.6 Structure of the Thesis
2 OVERVIEW OF BOTSWANA’S ECONOMY
    2.1 Botswana?s Economic Development Status
    2.2 Botswana?s Export Structure
    2.3 Botswana?s imports& export trading countries（regions）
    2.4 Botswana?s Trade Policy
    2.5 Botswana?s Trade Regime
    2.6 Botswana?s Current Development strategies and Policies
3 BASIC GROWTH THEORIES AND ITS APPLICATION IN BOTSWANA
    3.1 Theoretical Framework
        3.1.1 Classical Theories
        3.1.2 Neoclassical Growth Theories
    3.2 Theoretical Analysis of Export Diversification on Botswana's Economic Growth
4 EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BOTSWANA
    4.1 Data and Description
    4.2 Description of Variables
    4.3 Model Specification and Estimation
    4.4 Data analysis
    4.5 OLS model specification
    4.6 Diagnostic tests
    4.7 Results and Discussion
5 CASE STUDIES OF RESOURCE RICH COUNTRIES ON EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
    Introduction
    5.1 The Case study of Chile
    5.2 Case Study of Mauritius
    5.3 Case study of UAE
    5.4 Experiences and Lessons for Botswana
6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Policy Recommendations
REFERENCES



本文編號：3057530