CAFTA貿(mào)易效應及貿(mào)易趨勢研究
本文選題:中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū) + 貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應 ; 參考:《沈陽工業(yè)大學》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:CAFTA作為目前世界上最大的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)對東盟、中國及世界經(jīng)濟和世界人民的生活都產(chǎn)生巨大影響。然而,中國與東盟成員國不僅獲得發(fā)展的機遇,同樣面對不可避免的阻礙和挑戰(zhàn)。目前,中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)經(jīng)歷了“黃金十年”,將步入更高層次、更高要求、更高水平的“鉆石十年”。所以,深化研究CAFTA所產(chǎn)生的貿(mào)易效應及發(fā)展趨勢是十分必要的,這對于中國和東盟的經(jīng)貿(mào)發(fā)展來說至關重要。 論文以關稅同盟、自由貿(mào)易區(qū)理論為基礎,分析CAFTA的貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應和貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應,運用引力模型對效應的產(chǎn)生進行實證檢驗。第三章簡單介紹中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀。第四章通過理論分析與實證檢驗得到:一、中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)存在貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應和貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應;二、貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應大于貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應;三、CAFTA的正的貿(mào)易效應并不大,,雙邊需要積極發(fā)揮中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的作用。 對論文研究結(jié)果進行分析,尋求目前中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建設和發(fā)展中面對的困難和挑戰(zhàn)。分析結(jié)果表明:目前,中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的發(fā)展存在不可避免的阻礙,包括東盟國家經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的差異性、CAFTA成員的政治關系緊張性及制度的不完善等阻礙。第五章對于改善并解決阻礙因素提出了一些合理的建議:首要任務是增強彼此的信任,消除東盟成員國的疑慮;中國援助東盟落后國家基礎設施建設,可以幫助縮小東盟國家之間的經(jīng)濟水平差距;盡快解決爭端機制的弊端,為雙邊企業(yè)提供公平公正,可靠可信的貿(mào)易爭端解決辦法;促進貿(mào)易自由化,繼續(xù)減少非關稅壁壘,中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的未來的貿(mào)易將會有更大的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:CAFTA, as the largest free trade area in the world at present, has a great impact on ASEAN, China, world economy and the life of people all over the world. However, China and ASEAN members not only get opportunities for development, but also face inevitable obstacles and challenges. At present, China-ASEAN Free Trade area has gone through a golden decade, will enter a higher level, higher requirements, a higher level of "Diamond decade." Therefore, it is necessary to deepen the research on the trade effect and development trend of CAFTA, which is very important for the economic and trade development between China and ASEAN. Based on the theory of customs union and free trade area, this paper analyzes the trade creation effect and trade transfer effect of CAFTA, and makes an empirical test on the generation of the effect by using the gravity model. The third chapter briefly introduces the current situation of trade of China-ASEAN Free Trade area. The fourth chapter through theoretical analysis and empirical test: first, there are trade creation effect and trade transfer effect in China-ASEAN Free Trade area; second, trade creation effect is larger than trade transfer effect; third, the positive trade effect of CAFTA is not great. The two sides need to give full play to the role of China-ASEAN Free Trade area. This paper analyzes the research results and seeks the difficulties and challenges in the construction and development of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area. The results show that: at present, the development of China-ASEAN Free Trade area has inevitable obstacles, including the differences in the level of economic development of ASEAN countries and the political tension of CAFTA members and the imperfections of the system. The fifth chapter puts forward some reasonable suggestions to improve and solve the obstacles: the first task is to enhance mutual trust and remove the doubts of ASEAN member countries, and China will assist the infrastructure construction of the backward ASEAN countries. It could help to narrow the gap in economic levels among ASEAN countries; resolve the drawbacks of dispute mechanisms as soon as possible; provide fair, just and credible solutions to trade disputes for bilateral enterprises; promote trade liberalization and continue to reduce non-tariff barriers, The future trade of China-ASEAN Free Trade area will have greater development.
【學位授予單位】:沈陽工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F752.7
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