中國與俄羅斯貿易的競爭性與互補性問題研究
本文選題:貿易競爭性 + 綜合貿易互補性。 參考:《青島科技大學》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:中國和俄羅斯是重要的貿易伙伴,也是新興工業(yè)國家中最大的兩大經濟體。中俄兩國的相互貿易不斷增長,在出口方面俄羅斯是繼日本之后中國的第四大世界出口對象,同時從進口角度來講,俄羅斯是中國第三大商品進口對象。汪洋副總理在第八屆中俄工商界高峰論壇上指出,預計到2020年,中俄雙方的貿易總額將超過2000億美元。本文對中國和俄羅斯貿易的競爭性和互補性以及中俄的雙方貿易過程中的問題進行了分析。在分析中俄貿易的競爭性和互補性的過程中,本文建立了雙邊貿易狀態(tài)坐標,橫坐標代表兩國貿易的競爭性,其數值判斷以中俄貿易的出口相似度來代表;縱坐標代表中俄兩國的貿易互補性,其數值以綜合性貿易互補性指數代表,綜合性貿易指數是本文在一定假設條件下,根據兩個國家產業(yè)內貿易余額以及產業(yè)內貿易的比重為基礎,測算的一個度量來兩國貿易互補性的數據。雙邊貿易狀態(tài)坐標顯示,中國和俄羅斯的貿易競爭性不斷降低,雙方的貿易競爭性指數從2004年的39.36下降到2013年的30.5。同時,中俄雙方的貿易互補性不斷加強,表現為貿易互補性指數從23.52上升到2013年的51.24,因此總體來看中俄兩國的外貿發(fā)展向著少對抗多互補的方向發(fā)展。在定性分析兩國貿易發(fā)展面臨的具體問題時,本文認為中俄雙方的經濟、政治、文化差異;“灰色清關”的問題,通關手續(xù)復雜;雙邊貿易結構和貿易產品質量問題突出;貿易服務體系配套不健全,雙邊貿易制度契合度低等問題嚴重,制約了中俄兩國雙邊貿易的發(fā)展。針對這些問題論文從以下角度提供了建議。首先,本文認為應該夯實中俄貿易的政治文化基礎,為中俄貿易發(fā)展提供良好的環(huán)境;其次,需要促進雙邊貿易制度的完善和秩序的規(guī)范;第三,應該完善雙邊貿易設施和公共服務;第四,盡力改善雙邊的貿易結構并提高貿易產品的質量。如果這些意見能夠得到落實,中俄的雙邊貿易則會進入到一個新的發(fā)展時期。
[Abstract]:China and Russia are important trading partners and the two largest emerging industrial economies. The mutual trade between China and Russia is growing, Russia is the fourth largest export object of China after Japan, and Russia is the third import object of Chinese goods from the point of view of import. Trade between China and Russia is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2020, Vice Premier Wang Yang said at the eighth China-Russia Business Summit. This paper analyzes the competition and complementarity between China and Russia and the problems in the process of trade between China and Russia. In the process of analyzing the competition and complementarity of Sino-Russian trade, this paper establishes the bilateral trade status coordinate, and the horizontal coordinate represents the competitiveness of the two countries' trade, and its numerical judgment is represented by the export similarity between China and Russia. The vertical coordinate represents the trade complementarity between China and Russia, and its value is represented by the comprehensive trade complementarity index, which is based on certain assumptions in this paper. Based on the balance of intra-industry trade and the proportion of intra-industry trade between the two countries, a measurement of trade complementarity between the two countries is presented. Bilateral trade status coordinates show that trade competitiveness between China and Russia is declining, from 39.36 in 2004 to 30.5 in 2013. At the same time, the trade complementarity between China and Russia has been strengthened, which shows that the index of trade complementarity has increased from 23.52 to 51.24 in 2013, so overall the development of foreign trade between China and Russia is towards the direction of less confrontation and more complementarity. In the qualitative analysis of the specific problems facing the development of trade between the two countries, this paper holds that the economic, political and cultural differences between China and Russia, the problem of "grey customs clearance", the complexity of customs clearance procedures, the outstanding problems of bilateral trade structure and the quality of trade products; The development of bilateral trade between China and Russia is restricted by some problems, such as imperfect trade service system and low compatibility of bilateral trade system. In view of these problems, the paper provides some suggestions from the following angles. First, this paper holds that the political and cultural foundation of Sino-Russian trade should be consolidated to provide a good environment for the development of Sino-Russian trade. Secondly, it is necessary to promote the perfection and order of the bilateral trade system. We should improve bilateral trade facilities and public services. Fourth, we should try our best to improve the bilateral trade structure and improve the quality of trade products. If these views are implemented, bilateral trade between China and Russia will enter a new period of development.
【學位授予單位】:青島科技大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F752.7;F755.12
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