中國勞動(dòng)工資增長率對出口競爭力的影響分析
本文選題:勞動(dòng)工資增長率 切入點(diǎn):出口競爭力 出處:《廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:隨著國際貿(mào)易的不斷發(fā)展,中國的國際競爭力不斷增強(qiáng)。出口貿(mào)易的快速增長有力地推動(dòng)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長,勞動(dòng)者收入增加。改革開放以來,中國的出口貿(mào)易呈現(xiàn)一種急劇擴(kuò)張的態(tài)勢,但是在出口貿(mào)易和宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長的同時(shí),勞動(dòng)收入的比重卻越來越低。本文結(jié)合前人的研究成果,從動(dòng)態(tài)增速的角度考察勞動(dòng)工資增長率與出口競爭力之間的關(guān)系。本文結(jié)合理論分析和實(shí)證分析研究勞動(dòng)工資增長率對出口貿(mào)易利潤率的影響,實(shí)證模型以15個(gè)制造業(yè)細(xì)分行業(yè)為截面,選取2007年~2012年各行業(yè)的出口貿(mào)易利潤增長率、實(shí)際人均工資增長率、利息支出、人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率指數(shù)、工業(yè)原材料購進(jìn)價(jià)格指數(shù)以及中美人均國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值增長率為指標(biāo),通過面板模型分析各個(gè)因素對出口競爭力的影響。在實(shí)證過程中,首先,本文進(jìn)行描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,檢驗(yàn)并處理變量間的相關(guān)性和多重共線性問題,在此基礎(chǔ)上,利用面板模型普通最小二乘法回歸分析變量的關(guān)系。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明,勞動(dòng)工資增長率與出口貿(mào)易利潤增長率之間存在負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,勞動(dòng)工資增長速度快于出口貿(mào)易利潤增長速度時(shí),貿(mào)易利潤增加值無法覆蓋新增的生產(chǎn)成本,出口競爭力下降。利息支出和人民幣匯率與貿(mào)易利潤增長率也存在負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,但是作用影響并不明顯,而美國人均國內(nèi)市場總值與貿(mào)易利潤增長率之間存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系。結(jié)合實(shí)證模型的結(jié)果,本文提出相應(yīng)的政策建議,在勞動(dòng)工資上漲的同時(shí),各行業(yè)要正確對待勞工標(biāo)準(zhǔn)問題,制定合理的勞動(dòng)工資水平,大力提高勞動(dòng)者的生產(chǎn)效率,加強(qiáng)出口競爭力。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of international trade, the international competitiveness of China increased. The rapid growth of exports Chinese effectively promote sustained economic growth, the income of workers increased. Since the reform and opening up, Chinese exports showed a rapid expansion trend, but in the export trade and economic rapid growth at the same time, the proportion of labor income but more and more low. Based on previous research, study the relationship between labor wage growth and export competitiveness from the angle of dynamic growth. This paper combines the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis of the labor wage growth rate influence on export trade margins, an empirical model with 15 manufacturing industries as the section, from 2007 ~2012 in various industries export trade profit growth rate, per capita wage growth rate and interest payments, the RMB real effective exchange rate index, industrial raw materials Material purchase price index and US GDP per capita growth rate as the index, the panel model to analyze the influence of various factors on the export competitiveness. In the empirical process, first of all, this paper makes a descriptive statistical analysis and test the correlation between variables and multicollinearity problems, on this basis, using ordinary least squares regression model analysis of the relationship of variables. The empirical results show that there is a negative correlation between labor wage growth rate and export trade profit growth rate, labor wages grew faster than export profit growth rate, increase the value of trading profits can not cover the new production costs, declining export competitiveness. Interest payments and RMB exchange rate and trade profit growth rate there is a negative correlation, but the effect is not obvious, while the United States per capita gross domestic market and trade profit growth There is a positive correlation between the rate. Combining with the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations, at the same time the labor wage increases, the industry should correctly deal with the issue of labor standards, develop a reasonable salary level, vigorously improve the labor production efficiency, with strong export competitiveness.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F752.62;F249.24
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