本文關(guān)鍵詞： 貿(mào)易摩擦 “雙反”調(diào)查 貿(mào)易限制效應(yīng) 出口量　出處：《東華大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著中國加入世界貿(mào)易組織，其對外貿(mào)易取得了舉世矚目的成就。對外貨物貿(mào)易總額從1978年的206.4億美元到2013年的41603.1億美元增長了200多倍，一躍成為世界貨物貿(mào)易的第一大國。我國在享受著WTO倡導(dǎo)的貿(mào)易自由化帶來的便利與好處的同時，也遭受著越來越多的貿(mào)易救濟(jì)調(diào)查，在眾成員國中，美國是對華發(fā)起貿(mào)易救濟(jì)調(diào)查最多的國家。并且隨著時代的變遷，其對我國貿(mào)易救濟(jì)調(diào)查手段也隨之進(jìn)行了變化。2006年以前，我國遭遇最多的貿(mào)易救濟(jì)調(diào)查是其對我國出口產(chǎn)品進(jìn)行的反傾銷調(diào)查。2006年隨著美國打破對非市場經(jīng)濟(jì)國家不適用反補(bǔ)貼法的政策，首次對我國的銅版紙進(jìn)行了反補(bǔ)貼調(diào)查，開創(chuàng)了對我國出口產(chǎn)品進(jìn)行反補(bǔ)貼與反傾銷合并調(diào)查的先例后�！半p反”調(diào)查成為美國對我國進(jìn)行貿(mào)易救濟(jì)調(diào)查的新手段，此后美國頻繁的對中國的出口產(chǎn)品進(jìn)行“雙反”調(diào)查，特別是2008年國際金融危機(jī)的爆發(fā)，更是加大了美國對華“雙反”調(diào)查的力度，截止到2014年7月，美國已對華進(jìn)行了44起“雙反”調(diào)查。 美國對華進(jìn)行“雙反”調(diào)查并且征收高額的“雙反”稅率，限制了我國對美國相關(guān)產(chǎn)品的出口，，影響了我國對外經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，對我國國內(nèi)相關(guān)政策的制定與實施產(chǎn)生了影響，同時還影響了中美兩國經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系的健康發(fā)展，因此研究美國對華頻繁進(jìn)行“雙反”調(diào)查的原因，“雙反”調(diào)查對我國的影響以及我國應(yīng)如何應(yīng)對“雙反”調(diào)查等問題并找到答案就顯得及其重要。并且可以為我國經(jīng)濟(jì)和對外貿(mào)易的健康發(fā)展提供理論依據(jù)和政策參考，因此本文也有著非常重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文首先對目前國內(nèi)外學(xué)者對“雙反”的研究進(jìn)行了簡單的綜述，然后從理論上分析了“雙反”調(diào)查產(chǎn)生的四類貿(mào)易效應(yīng)并且建立一個動態(tài)博弈模型，著重分析了貿(mào)易限制效應(yīng)。第三部分首先對美國對華發(fā)起“雙反”調(diào)查的發(fā)展歷程并對截止2014年7月美國對華以及對外所有“雙反”案件進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計，闡述了美國對華“雙反”調(diào)查的現(xiàn)狀并通過對比得出美國對華“雙反”調(diào)查特點最后對美國對華頻繁進(jìn)行“雙反”調(diào)查的原因進(jìn)行了分析。接下來的部分為論文的重點部分，第四部分對美國對華從2006年至2013年進(jìn)行“雙反”調(diào)查的產(chǎn)品的出口額進(jìn)行了描述性統(tǒng)計分析，可以看出遭受“雙反”調(diào)查的產(chǎn)品大部分都產(chǎn)生了貿(mào)易限制效應(yīng)，但是貿(mào)易限制效果的持續(xù)性卻不同。第五部分選取截止2011年美國對華進(jìn)行的30起“雙反”調(diào)查的涉案產(chǎn)品的面板數(shù)據(jù)對美國對華“雙反”調(diào)查的限制效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了實證分析，結(jié)果表明“雙反”調(diào)查不管結(jié)果如何都有一個貿(mào)易調(diào)查效應(yīng)，減少中國產(chǎn)品的出口，“雙反”征收的稅率越多，貿(mào)易限制效應(yīng)越大。最后論文根據(jù)前面的分析分別從企業(yè)和政府兩方面提出了應(yīng)對雙反調(diào)查的措施。
[Abstract]:With China's accession to the World Trade Organization. Its foreign trade has made remarkable achievements. The total volume of foreign trade in goods increased by more than 200 times from US $20.64 billion in 1978 to US $four tillion one hundred and sixty billion three hundred and ten million in 2013. China is enjoying the convenience and benefit of the trade liberalization advocated by WTO, but also suffers more and more trade relief investigations, among the member countries. The United States is the country that initiated the most trade relief survey to China. And with the change of the times, the means of trade relief investigation on our country have also changed. Before 2006. In 2006, the United States broke the policy of not applying countervailing law to non-market economy countries. The countervailing investigation of coated paper in China was carried out for the first time. After creating a precedent of combining countervailing and antidumping investigations into our export products, the "double countervailing" investigation has become a new means for the United States to carry out trade relief investigations against China. Since then, the United States has frequently carried out "double opposition" investigations on China's exports, especially the outbreak of the international financial crisis in 2008, which has increased the strength of the "double opposition" investigation into China by the United States. By July 2014, the United States had conducted 44 double-counter investigations into China. The United States has carried out "double counter" investigation on China and levied a high "double counter" tax rate, which has restricted China's exports of related products to the United States and affected the development of China's foreign economy. At the same time, it also affects the healthy development of Sino-US economic and trade relations. Therefore, it studies the reasons why the United States frequently carries out "double negative" investigation on China. The influence of "double reaction" investigation on our country and how to deal with it. It is very important to investigate and find out the questions, and it can provide the theoretical basis and policy reference for the healthy development of our economy and foreign trade. Therefore, this paper also has very important practical significance. In this paper, the current domestic and foreign scholars' research on "double reaction" is briefly reviewed, and then the four kinds of trade effects caused by "double reaction" investigation are theoretically analyzed and a dynamic game model is established. In the third part, the author analyzes the development course of the "double reaction" investigation initiated by the United States against China and makes statistics on all the "double reaction" cases of the United States against China and foreign countries as of July 2014. This paper expounds the present situation of American "double opposition" investigation into China, and draws the conclusion that the characteristics of American "double opposition" investigation into China are frequently carried out by the United States in the end, "double opposition" to China is frequently carried out by the United States. The reasons for the investigation are analyzed. The next part is the key part of the paper. In the 4th part, the author makes a descriptive statistical analysis of the export value of the products from 2006 to 2013 of the "double counter" survey conducted by the United States of America to China. It can be seen that most of the products subject to the "double reaction" survey have had a trade restriction effect. However, the persistence of trade restrictions is different. 5th selected panel data of 30 cases of "double counter" surveys conducted by the United States against China as of 2011. The limited effect of the investigation is empirically analyzed. The results show that no matter what the results of the "double reaction" survey has a trade survey effect, reduce the export of Chinese products, "double reaction" tax rate is more. Finally, according to the previous analysis, the paper puts forward the measures to deal with the double reverse investigation from the two aspects of enterprises and government respectively.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東華大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F757.12;F752.02

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