發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-05 10:37

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的影響研究　出處：《東華大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 服務(wù)貿(mào)易 服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí) 引力模型

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的發(fā)展及全球產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重心逐漸由農(nóng)業(yè)、工業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)向服務(wù)業(yè),服務(wù)貿(mào)易也迅速發(fā)展,服務(wù)貿(mào)易逐漸成為推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要力量。而在開(kāi)放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下,服務(wù)貿(mào)易壁壘的大小一定會(huì)影響服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展程度,進(jìn)而影響服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展,因此,進(jìn)一步開(kāi)放服務(wù)貿(mào)易即服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化會(huì)對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)生影響。那么,服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化是通過(guò)怎樣的機(jī)制作用于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)?服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的影響程度如何?對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家和發(fā)展中國(guó)家的影響是否相同?發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家和發(fā)展中國(guó)家的服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化程度有何不同?本文立足于以上問(wèn)題,從理論和實(shí)證兩方面分析了服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的影響。理論方面,本文分析了服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并從服務(wù)貿(mào)易的物質(zhì)資本要素積累效應(yīng)、人力資本要素積累效應(yīng)、技術(shù)進(jìn)步效應(yīng)等方面分析了服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的作用機(jī)制,研究表明:服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化可以通過(guò)物質(zhì)資本積累、人力資本積累和技術(shù)進(jìn)步等效應(yīng)促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級(jí)。實(shí)證方面,本文選取了聯(lián)合國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)中103個(gè)國(guó)家2000年—2014年共15年雙邊國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù),通過(guò)構(gòu)建引力模型,求得各個(gè)國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易壁壘的關(guān)稅等值,并采用基于穩(wěn)健標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差的OLS回歸分析了服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家和發(fā)展中國(guó)家產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的影響,研究表明:發(fā)展中國(guó)家比發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家有更大的服務(wù)貿(mào)易壁壘即開(kāi)放程度更低,無(wú)論是對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家還是對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家,減小服務(wù)貿(mào)易壁壘即服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化都有助于促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí),但對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的影響比對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家的影響要大。原因可能是現(xiàn)有的國(guó)際貿(mào)易體制在服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化利益分配上存在不平等和歧視,發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家相對(duì)于發(fā)展中國(guó)家從服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化中得到了更多的利益,而發(fā)展中國(guó)家往往處于被動(dòng)地位。最后,本文基于對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易自由化和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的研究和分析,對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展提出了政策建議:一、我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易開(kāi)放程度依然較低,我國(guó)應(yīng)進(jìn)一步開(kāi)放服務(wù)業(yè);二、應(yīng)不斷完善人才培養(yǎng)機(jī)制,大力培養(yǎng)全能型、國(guó)際性的服務(wù)人才;三、協(xié)調(diào)服務(wù)貿(mào)易與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的發(fā)展;四、進(jìn)一步完善國(guó)內(nèi)法律體系。
[Abstract]:With the development of economic globalization and the adjustment of global industrial structure, the focus of economic development is gradually shifting from agriculture, industry to service, and trade in services is also developing rapidly. Trade in services has gradually become the main force to promote economic growth, and under the conditions of open economy, the size of barriers to trade in services will definitely affect the development of service trade, and then affect the development of services, so. Further liberalization of service trade, that is, liberalization of trade in services, will have an impact on the industrial structure. Then, what mechanism does liberalization of trade in services play on the changes of industrial structure? What is the impact of the liberalization of trade in services on the changes in industrial structure? Will the impact on developed and developing countries be the same? What is the difference in the degree of liberalization of trade in services between developed and developing countries? Based on the above problems, this paper analyzes the impact of service trade liberalization on the changes of industrial structure from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In theory, this paper analyzes the current situation of service trade liberalization and industrial structure development. The paper also analyzes the mechanism of service trade liberalization on the upgrading of industrial structure from the aspects of material capital factor accumulation effect, human capital factor accumulation effect and technology progress effect of service trade. The research shows that the liberalization of service trade can promote the upgrading of industrial structure through the effects of material capital accumulation, human capital accumulation and technological progress. This paper selects 103 countries' services trade data from 2000 to 2014 in the United Nations statistical database of trade in services, and constructs a gravity model by using the data of bilateral countries' trade in services from 2000 to 2014. The tariff equivalence of service trade barriers in each country is obtained, and the impact of service trade liberalization on industrial structure changes in developed and developing countries is analyzed by OLS regression analysis based on robust standard deviation. Research shows that developing countries have greater barriers to trade in services than developed countries, that is, lower degree of openness, both to developed countries and to developing countries. Reducing the barriers to trade in services, that is, liberalization of trade in services, will help to promote the upgrading of industrial structure. However, the impact on developed countries is greater than that on developing countries. This may be due to inequality and discrimination in the distribution of benefits from liberalization of trade in services in the existing international trading system. Developed countries have benefited more from the liberalization of trade in services than developing countries, while developing countries are often in a passive position. Finally. Based on the research and analysis of the liberalization of service trade and the change of industrial structure, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for the development of our service industry: first, the opening degree of our service trade is still relatively low. China should further open the service industry; Second, we should constantly improve the personnel training mechanism, vigorously cultivate all-powerful, international service personnel; Third, coordinate the development of service trade and industrial structure; Fourth, further improve the domestic legal system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東華大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F752.68;F121.3

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