【摘要】：對外直接投資是指企業(yè)以跨國經(jīng)營的方式所形成的國際間資本流動，其動機包括：獲取原材料、尋求知識、降低成本、學習技術和規(guī)避貿(mào)易壁壘等。對外直接投資在促進經(jīng)濟增長、貿(mào)易增加、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結構和帶動就業(yè)等方面都起到了積極的推動作用。作為世界第二大經(jīng)濟強國的日本，其對外直接投資始于20世紀80年代中期，此后快速發(fā)展，步入對外直接投資大國的行列。匯率是一國貨幣兌換另一國貨幣的比率，匯率的變動對一國的進出口額、物價水平和資本流動都有重要影響，既能調(diào)節(jié)一國的國際收支，又能作為宏觀調(diào)控的重要手段。1985年廣場協(xié)議之后，日元大幅度升值，而后90年代的泡沫危機、亞洲金融危機和近年來的國際金融危機都使得日元匯率頻繁波動。 匯率波動與OFDI之間的關系一直是國內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟學家爭論的焦點，至今也沒有形成系統(tǒng)的理論體系。本文首先梳理國內(nèi)外學者的研究文獻，進行總結和評述；然后回顧廣場協(xié)議之后日元匯率波動歷史和對外直接投資的情況，從宏觀整體上簡單分析；接下來闡述對外直接投資動因理論和匯率決定理論，在此基礎上分析匯率波動對OFDI影響的傳導機制。最后一部分是實證檢驗，先建立實證模型，然后分別回歸日元匯率波動對美國和中國投資的影響的方程，進行實證結果分析，提出現(xiàn)階段中國如何引入外資的政策建議。 在實證檢驗部分，我們得出日本對中國的投資類型兼具出口導向型和市場導向型的結論。面對日本量化寬松貨幣政策和人民幣貶值以及中國勞動力成本上升的現(xiàn)狀，中國需要從引入外資政策調(diào)整、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構優(yōu)化和穩(wěn)定國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟環(huán)境等方面加以變化，來吸引外資流入，，帶動經(jīng)濟發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (OFDI) refers to the international capital flow formed by enterprises in the form of transnational operation. Its motivation includes acquiring raw materials, seeking knowledge, reducing costs, learning technology and circumventing barriers to trade. FDI plays a positive role in promoting economic growth, increasing trade, optimizing industrial structure and promoting employment. As the world's second largest economic power, Japan's foreign direct investment (FDI) began in the mid-1980s, and has developed rapidly since then, stepping into the ranks of large countries of foreign direct investment (FDI). The exchange rate is the ratio of one country's currency to another's currency. Changes in the exchange rate have an important impact on a country's imports and exports, price levels and capital flows, which can regulate a country's balance of payments. After the Plaza Accord in 1985, the yen appreciated by a large margin, then the bubble crisis in the 1990s, the Asian financial crisis and the international financial crisis in recent years made the yen exchange rate fluctuate frequently. The relationship between exchange rate fluctuation and OFDI has always been the focus of debate among economists at home and abroad, and no systematic theoretical system has been formed up to now. Firstly, this paper reviews the research literature of domestic and foreign scholars, then reviews the history of yen exchange rate fluctuation and foreign direct investment after the Plaza Accord, and analyzes the whole situation of foreign direct investment. Secondly, the theory of FDI motivation and exchange rate determination is expounded, and the transmission mechanism of exchange rate fluctuation on OFDI is analyzed. The last part is the empirical test. First, the empirical model is established, then the equation of the impact of yen exchange rate fluctuations on the investment of the United States and China is regressed, and the empirical results are analyzed, and the policy suggestions on how to introduce foreign capital into China at the present stage are put forward. In the part of empirical test, we draw the conclusion that Japan's investment type in China is both export-oriented and market-oriented. In the face of Japan's quantitative easing monetary policy, the devaluation of the RMB and the rising labor costs in China, China needs to make changes in terms of introducing foreign investment policy adjustment, optimizing the industrial structure, and stabilizing the domestic economic environment. To attract foreign capital inflows, drive economic development.
【學位授予單位】：遼寧大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F833.13

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