本文選題：外商直接投資 + 廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式��； 參考：《中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：長(zhǎng)久以來(lái)，，外商直接投資對(duì)東道國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響效應(yīng)問(wèn)題是學(xué)術(shù)研究的一大焦點(diǎn)。然而相關(guān)研究大多是針對(duì)外商直接投資單個(gè)或若干方面的影響效應(yīng)，如生產(chǎn)率溢出效應(yīng)、技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)、出口溢出效應(yīng)、對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的直接影響等，而對(duì)于外商直接投資是否會(huì)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的轉(zhuǎn)變起到貢獻(xiàn)作用，則缺乏深入與系統(tǒng)的研究。如今在我國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)資本供給已由短缺轉(zhuǎn)為過(guò)剩、生產(chǎn)要素價(jià)格也不斷上升的背景下，研究外商直接投資對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式轉(zhuǎn)變的影響效應(yīng)問(wèn)題則顯得尤為必要，可以為當(dāng)下外資利用相關(guān)爭(zhēng)論的解決提供參考依據(jù)。 廣東省是我國(guó)最早引進(jìn)外資的省份，自改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，其在引進(jìn)及利用外資方面一直取得了令人矚目的成就。近二十年來(lái)，其實(shí)際利用外商直接投資額占其實(shí)際利用外資金額的比重一直處于80%的水平以上，2008年以來(lái)甚至達(dá)到了90%以上。截至2012年底，其實(shí)際利用外商直接投資金額累計(jì)達(dá)到2988.01億美元，從1979年的0.31億美元增長(zhǎng)到2012年的235.49億美元，成為推動(dòng)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的一大動(dòng)力。雖然多年來(lái)的招商引資的確帶動(dòng)了其經(jīng)濟(jì)飛速增長(zhǎng)，但諸多問(wèn)題也在此過(guò)程中日益呈現(xiàn)�；诖�，有必要研究其外資利用的質(zhì)量水平以及外商直接投資是否為其經(jīng)濟(jì)從過(guò)度依靠資本、勞動(dòng)等要素投入的粗放型增長(zhǎng)向以技術(shù)改進(jìn)、生產(chǎn)效率提升等為驅(qū)動(dòng)的集約型增長(zhǎng)轉(zhuǎn)變起到了帶動(dòng)作用，這將是關(guān)乎廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要問(wèn)題，同時(shí)對(duì)研究我國(guó)其他正在招商引資的地區(qū)的外資利用問(wèn)題以及政策引導(dǎo)方向也具有重要的理論與現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文首先結(jié)合相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)與圖表對(duì)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與外資利用的現(xiàn)狀及特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行分析，從中探尋外商直接投資對(duì)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的總體效應(yīng)；再基于索洛剩余法的思想，對(duì)廣東省的全要素生產(chǎn)率進(jìn)行了測(cè)算；又根據(jù)“全要素生產(chǎn)率對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率”這一指標(biāo)是否隨時(shí)間推移呈上升趨勢(shì)來(lái)衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式是否出現(xiàn)了由“要素積累型”向“TFP增進(jìn)型”的轉(zhuǎn)變，進(jìn)而通過(guò)建立計(jì)量模型從實(shí)證的角度分析了外商直接投資對(duì)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的影響效應(yīng)。 本文的實(shí)證研究成果與結(jié)論如下： （1）廣東省全要素生產(chǎn)率的變化率與全社會(huì)固定資產(chǎn)投資中內(nèi)資比重的變化率走勢(shì)差異巨大甚至幾近相反，而與全社會(huì)固定資產(chǎn)投資中的外資比重變化率具有相對(duì)一致的變化趨勢(shì)，可見(jiàn)并非所有的資本投入都會(huì)對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率的變化產(chǎn)生負(fù)面影響。 （2）廣東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式在上世紀(jì)90年代具有明顯的“要素積累型”特征，而進(jìn)入本世紀(jì)之后，其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)開(kāi)始逐步向“TFP增進(jìn)型”增長(zhǎng)方式轉(zhuǎn)變，但近幾年由于其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率有所下降而同時(shí)資本投入速率仍持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)，全要素生產(chǎn)率對(duì)其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的“增進(jìn)”作用有所減弱，而要素積累的作用有所增加。所以，在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)出現(xiàn)下行趨勢(shì)的情況下，若仍維持較高的資本投入增長(zhǎng)速度，將不利于廣東省實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式從“要素積累型”向“TFP增進(jìn)型”轉(zhuǎn)變。 （3）若總投資中外商直接投資的比重隨時(shí)間推移呈上升趨勢(shì)，則將有利于廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式從“要素積累型”向“TFP增進(jìn)型”轉(zhuǎn)變，可見(jiàn)總體而言外商直接投資對(duì)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的優(yōu)化轉(zhuǎn)型具有一定的正面影響。 （4）若來(lái)自非港澳臺(tái)地區(qū)的外商直接投資相對(duì)于港澳臺(tái)直接投資具有更快的增長(zhǎng)速度，從而使得二者在總投資中的比重分配更趨平衡，則廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式將更趨向于朝“TFP增進(jìn)型”靠攏；反之，當(dāng)港澳臺(tái)直接投資具有更快的增長(zhǎng)速度，使得兩者在總投資中的比重差距更為擴(kuò)大時(shí)，則不利于廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的優(yōu)化轉(zhuǎn)型�？梢�(jiàn)從促進(jìn)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式轉(zhuǎn)變的角度來(lái)說(shuō)，來(lái)自非港澳臺(tái)地區(qū)的外商直接投資要比港澳臺(tái)直接投資來(lái)得“優(yōu)質(zhì)”。 （5）自主創(chuàng)新能力的提高對(duì)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的優(yōu)化轉(zhuǎn)型具有極為顯著的促進(jìn)作用，而貿(mào)易開(kāi)放度對(duì)廣東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的影響則較為不顯著，甚至開(kāi)放度越大，反而越不利于其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的優(yōu)化轉(zhuǎn)型。 針對(duì)廣東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀以及利用外資過(guò)程中顯現(xiàn)的一些問(wèn)題，結(jié)合本文實(shí)證研究所得結(jié)論，本文最后就廣東省如何更好地利用外資與實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式的優(yōu)化轉(zhuǎn)型提出了若干政策建議。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the impact of FDI on the host country's economy is a major focus of academic research. However, most of the related studies are aimed at the single or certain effects of FDI, such as productivity spillover effect, technology spillover effect, export spillover effect, direct impact on economic growth and so on. Whether the direct investment of commercial direct investment will contribute to the transformation of the mode of economic growth, it lacks in-depth and systematic research. In the context of China's domestic capital supply from shortage to surplus and the rising price of production factors, the study of the effect of foreign direct investment on the transformation of economic growth mode is particularly important. It is necessary to provide reference for resolving the current dispute about foreign capital utilization.
Guangdong province is the first province to introduce foreign capital in China. Since the reform and opening up, it has made remarkable achievements in the introduction and utilization of foreign capital. In the past twenty years, the proportion of its actual use of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the actual amount of foreign capital has been above the level of 80%, and it has even reached over 90% since 2008. By the end of 2012, its actual use of foreign direct investment reached $298 billion 801 million, rising from $31 million in 1979 to $23 billion 549 million in 2012. It has become a major driving force for economic growth in Guangdong province. Although investment and investment have indeed led to rapid economic growth over the years, many problems are also in the process. Based on this, it is necessary to study the quality level of the utilization of foreign capital and whether the foreign direct investment is driven by the intensive growth of its economy from overrelying on capital, labor and other factors to the intensive growth of technological improvement and production efficiency, which will be related to the economic sustainability of Guangdong Province. It also has important theoretical and practical significance to study the problem of the utilization of foreign investment and the direction of policy guidance in other areas which are attracting investment and investment in China.
This paper first analyzes the current situation and characteristics of economic growth and foreign capital utilization in Guangdong province with relevant data and charts, and explores the overall effect of foreign direct investment on the economic development of Guangdong Province, and then calculates the total factor productivity of Guangdong Province Based on the thought of Solow surplus method; and according to the "total factor productivity" Whether the contribution rate of economic growth "is on the rise with time to measure whether the mode of economic growth has changed from" factor accumulation "to" TFP enhancement ", and then through the establishment of a quantitative model, the effect of FDI on the economic growth mode of Guangdong province is analyzed.
The results and conclusions of this paper are as follows:
(1) the change rate of total factor productivity in Guangdong province and the change rate of the proportion of domestic capital in the investment of the whole society are quite different or even opposite, but the change rate of the proportion of foreign capital in the investment of the whole society is relatively consistent, so it is not obvious that all the capital input will change to the total factor productivity. There is a negative impact.
(2) the economic growth mode of Guangdong province has a distinct "factor accumulation" feature in the 90s of last century, and after this century, its economic growth began to change gradually to the "TFP enhancement" growth mode, but in recent years, the rate of economic growth has declined and the capital input rate continues to increase, and the total factor productivity is in the last few years. The role of "enhancement" to its economic growth has been weakened, and the role of factor accumulation has increased. Therefore, if the downward trend of economic growth is in the downward trend, it is not conducive to the transformation of Guangdong's economic growth mode from "factor accumulation" to "TFP enhancement" if the growth rate of capital investment is still maintained.
(3) if the proportion of FDI in total investment increases with time, it will be beneficial to the transformation of Guangdong's economic growth mode from "factor accumulation" to "TFP enhancement". In general, foreign direct investment has a positive effect on the optimization transformation of the economic growth mode of Guangdong province.
(4) if FDI from non Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan areas has a faster growth rate than the direct investment of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, the proportion of the proportion of the two in the total investment will be more balanced, then the mode of economic growth in Guangdong will tend to closer to the "TFP enhancement"; on the other hand, the direct investment of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan will increase faster. Speed, which makes the difference in the proportion of the total investment more expanded, is not conducive to the optimization transformation of the mode of economic growth in Guangdong province. From the angle of promoting the transformation of the economic growth mode of Guangdong Province, foreign direct investment from the non Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan areas is more "better" than the direct investment of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan.
(5) the improvement of independent innovation ability has a very significant promoting effect on the optimization transformation of the economic growth mode of Guangdong Province, while the influence of trade openness on the economic growth mode of Guangdong is not significant, even the greater the openness, the more unfavorable to the optimization transformation of its economic growth formula.
In view of the current situation of economic development in Guangdong province and some problems appearing in the process of utilizing foreign capital, combined with the conclusions of this empirical study, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to make better use of foreign capital and to realize the optimization transformation of economic growth mode in Guangdong province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F832.6;F124.1

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