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我國對外直接投資的變動(dòng)趨勢及影響因素分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-06 05:41

  本文選題:對外直接投資 切入點(diǎn):變動(dòng)趨勢 出處:《內(nèi)蒙古農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:跟隨著改革開放的步伐,我國對外直接投資走過了30多年的風(fēng)雨歷程,其中有2000年的低谷,也有2008年的飛速增長,截至2012年底,我國對外直接投資流量高達(dá)878億美元,投資遍布全球179個(gè)國家和地區(qū),位居全球第三位,取得可喜成就。目前,國內(nèi)、外環(huán)境也在悄然發(fā)生改變,“十八大”政府工作報(bào)告給予了對外投資高度關(guān)注,提出了新構(gòu)思;2008年國際金融危機(jī)后,各國經(jīng)濟(jì)處于復(fù)蘇階段,其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長需要大量資金投入,總體來看,國內(nèi)、外環(huán)境穩(wěn)步增長,探究穩(wěn)定環(huán)境下,我國對外直接投資的影響因素具有必要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文采用規(guī)范分析和實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方法,在規(guī)范分析部分,對對外直接投資的現(xiàn)狀和特征進(jìn)行了定性分析,并結(jié)合影響因素實(shí)證分析的研究,提出促進(jìn)我國對外直接投資的有關(guān)對策。在實(shí)證部分,參考國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),基于前期理論,構(gòu)建合理模型,選取具有代表性的樣本進(jìn)行研究。運(yùn)用計(jì)量分析軟件Eviews7.0,使用面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行回歸分析,以2003-2012年為樣本期,精選我國對36個(gè)東道國的直接投資。將樣本期劃分為兩個(gè)時(shí)期:2003-2010年為變動(dòng)期間,2011和2012年為穩(wěn)定期間。通過兩個(gè)時(shí)期的對比分析,揭露出在政策、國內(nèi)環(huán)境穩(wěn)定的情況下,可量化的宏觀因素:東道國市場規(guī)模、東道國工資水平、中國對東道國的出口,與我國對東道國直接投資的顯著性。得出主要結(jié)論:東道國市場規(guī)模對中國對其直接投資存在負(fù)顯著性,而東道國工資水平和中國對東道國的出口存在正顯著性。
[Abstract]:Following the pace of reform and opening up, China's foreign direct investment has gone through more than 30 years of wind and rain, including the low point in 2000 and the rapid growth in 2008. By the end of 2012, the flow of foreign direct investment of our country has reached 87.8 billion US dollars.Investment in 179 countries and regions, ranked third in the world, has achieved gratifying results.At present, the domestic and foreign environment is also quietly changing. The report on the work of the 18th National Congress of the National people's Congress pays great attention to foreign investment and puts forward new ideas. After the 2008 international financial crisis, the economies of all countries are in the stage of recovery.Its economic growth needs a large amount of capital investment. In general, the domestic and external environment is growing steadily. It is necessary to explore the influencing factors of China's foreign direct investment (FDI) under the stable environment.In the part of normative analysis, this paper makes a qualitative analysis of the current situation and characteristics of foreign direct investment (FDI), and combines the empirical analysis of influencing factors with the method of combining normative analysis with empirical analysis.This paper puts forward some countermeasures to promote China's foreign direct investment.In the empirical part, referring to the relevant literature at home and abroad, based on the previous theory, build a reasonable model, select representative samples for research.By using the econometric analysis software Eviews7.0 and panel data for regression analysis, taking 2003-2012 as the sample period, the direct investment of our country in 36 host countries is selected.The sample period is divided into two periods: the period from 2003 to 2010 is the period of change, and the period of 2011 and 2012 is stable.Through a comparative analysis of the two periods, it is revealed that, under the conditions of stable policy and domestic environment, quantifiable macro factors are: the size of the host country market, the host country's wage level, China's exports to the host country,And China's direct investment in the host country is significant.The main conclusions are as follows: the market size of the host country has negative significance to China's direct investment, while the wage level of the host country and the export of China to the host country are positively significant.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:內(nèi)蒙古農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.6

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