本文選題：實(shí)際有效匯率　切入點(diǎn)：FDI　出處：《西安科技大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：中國共產(chǎn)黨十八屆三中全會(huì)在《中共中央關(guān)于全面深化改革若干問題的決定》中明確提出：完善人民幣匯率市場(chǎng)化形成機(jī)制，推動(dòng)資本市場(chǎng)雙向開放，放寬投資準(zhǔn)入，推進(jìn)服務(wù)業(yè)領(lǐng)域有序開放，放開服務(wù)業(yè)領(lǐng)域外資準(zhǔn)入限制。繼續(xù)推進(jìn)人民幣匯率市場(chǎng)化形成機(jī)制，更為重要的是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)以側(cè)重GDP為主轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)閮?nèi)涵式發(fā)展、擴(kuò)大外商投資領(lǐng)域、有力推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)戰(zhàn)略性調(diào)整。在這樣的背景下，人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率對(duì)我國FDI流入將產(chǎn)生什么樣的影響，對(duì)不同產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)FDI流入的影響是否相同，研究這些問題對(duì)我國合理利用外資促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展以及優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)具有重大的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 論文在總結(jié)國內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)人民幣匯率、FDI及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行了研究和總結(jié)；運(yùn)用宏觀、微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論、計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)以及統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)方法，基于資源配置的視角，以勞動(dòng)力及資本要素在產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)和要素市場(chǎng)的流動(dòng)為切入點(diǎn)，分別構(gòu)建“匯率-FDI”傳導(dǎo)和“匯率-FDI-產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)”傳導(dǎo)兩個(gè)理論模型。應(yīng)用相關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)軟件，采用單位根檢驗(yàn)、ADF檢驗(yàn)、Johansen協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)方法，就人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率對(duì)我國FDI流入從宏觀主體和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)兩個(gè)角度進(jìn)行定量分析，，最終確定了實(shí)際匯率與FDI流入的相互關(guān)系，以及實(shí)際匯率對(duì)不同產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)FDI流入的影響。最后，在理論與實(shí)證研究的基礎(chǔ)上，進(jìn)行全面系統(tǒng)的分析，提出相關(guān)對(duì)策建議，促使人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率的變動(dòng)能更好的提升FDI規(guī)模，并借此手段優(yōu)化我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)。
[Abstract]:The third Plenary session of the 18th CPC Central Committee clearly stated in the "decision of the CPC Central Committee on comprehensively deepening the Reform" that: to perfect the mechanism for the marketization of the RMB exchange rate, to promote the two-way opening of the capital market, and to relax the access to investment.We will open up the service sector in an orderly manner and liberalize restrictions on access to foreign capital in the service sector.What is more important is that the economic growth should focus on GDP and be transformed into connotative development expand the field of foreign investment and push forward the strategic adjustment of economic structure.Against this background, what kind of impact will the real effective exchange rate of RMB have on the inflow of FDI in China, and whether the impact on the inflow of FDI in different industrial structures will be the same or not?The study of these problems is of great practical significance to the rational use of foreign capital to promote economic development and optimize the industrial structure.On the basis of summarizing the current situation of domestic and foreign research, this paper studies and summarizes the relevant theories of RMB exchange rate FDI and industrial structure, and applies macroeconomics, microeconomics, econometrics and statistical methods.Based on the perspective of resource allocation, two theoretical models of "exchange-FDI" transmission and "exchange-FDI- industrial structure" transmission are constructed by starting from the flow of labor and capital elements in the product market and factor market.By using the relevant statistical software, using the unit root test and Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the actual effective exchange rate of RMB on the inflow of FDI in China from two angles of macro subject and industrial structure.Finally, the relationship between the real exchange rate and the inflow of FDI and the influence of the real exchange rate on the inflow of FDI in different industrial structures are determined.Finally, on the basis of theoretical and empirical research, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic analysis, and puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions to promote the change of the real effective exchange rate of RMB to better enhance the scale of FDI, and to optimize the industrial structure of our country by this means.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6

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本文編號(hào)：1703651