中國對美國直接投資的影響因素分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-21 10:34
本文選題:中國對美國直接投資 切入點:影響因素 出處:《天津師范大學》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:自改革開放以來,中國開始了外資引進的熱潮,為經濟增長注入了新的活力。其中,最主要的外資來源地就是美國。隨著我國經濟的不斷發(fā)展,中國對美直接投資也開始有了一定的發(fā)展。在2008年美國次貸危機之后,許多發(fā)達國家受到波及出現了金融危機,全球經濟增長速度放緩,發(fā)達國家包括美國在內開始積極采取措施吸引外來投資。在此機遇下,中國對美直接投資開始快速增長,但仍然存在著起步晚、規(guī)模小、發(fā)展不平衡等問題。美國作為世界頭號發(fā)達國家,擁有著領先世界的科學技術和先進的管理水平,如果中國能夠增加對美的投資比重,則會在未來的海外經營以及全球戰(zhàn)略中獲得長足的發(fā)展。 本文的主要研究內容是中國對美國直接投資的影響因素。第一章導論部分首先提出了文章的選題背景、理論以及現實意義,并對國內外關于對外直接投資以及中國對美國直接投資的相關文獻進行了整理和總結,總體上確立了文章的基本思路。第二章是對外直接投資的相關理論綜述,從概念入手對直接投資的相關理論進行了梳理。本文的第三章首先結合我國0FDI發(fā)展的階段性特征分析了我國不同時期對外直接投資的總體特征的變化,之后分別考察中國對美國直接投資的投資規(guī)模、投資主體、投資行業(yè)及投資方式所表現出的特點以及差異。第四章和第五章是本文的核心部分,首先第四章從政治和經濟兩個角度對中國對美國直接投資的主要影響因素進行了歸類分析,討論政策、市場、貿易等因素是如何影響我國的對外直接投資的。第五章是論文的實證部分,通過建立時間序列模型,選取人均國民收入、匯率等可量化的影響因素作為變量進行研究,來判斷我國對美國直接投資的主要影響因素的影響大小及影響方式,利用各變量的時間序列數據,建立多元線性回歸模型,并進行相關性檢驗、平穩(wěn)性檢驗、協整檢驗和格蘭杰因果檢驗,最終實證分析結論顯示,人均國民收入、基礎設施建設以及進出口貿易與我國對美國直接投資具有較為顯著地正向關系,人民幣匯率水平與我國對美國直接投資具有負向影響。最后,本文第六章總結了實證研究結果,并據此從政府的宏觀層面和企業(yè)的微觀角度兩個方面提出了相關的政策建議,主要包括建立完善的政策制度,提高行政效率,同時,加強國際間的交流與合作,提高企業(yè)的主觀能動性以及核心競爭力等方式,以幫助企業(yè)更好地進行海外投資活動。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China has begun the upsurge of introducing foreign capital, which has injected new vitality into economic growth. Among them, the most important source of foreign investment is the United States. With the continuous development of our economy, China's direct investment in the United States has also begun to develop. In 2008, after the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, many developed countries were affected by the financial crisis and the global economic growth rate slowed down. Developed countries, including the United States, have begun to take active measures to attract foreign investment. Under this opportunity, China's direct investment to the United States has begun to grow rapidly, but there is still a late start and a small scale. The United States, as the world's number one developed country, has the leading world in science and technology and advanced management. If China can increase its share of investment in the United States, Will in the future overseas operation and the global strategy obtains the considerable development. The main research content of this paper is the influence factors of China's direct investment in the United States. The first chapter introduces the background, theory and practical significance of the article. It also summarizes the relevant literature on foreign direct investment and China's direct investment in the United States, and establishes the basic ideas of the article. Chapter two is a theoretical review of foreign direct investment. The third chapter firstly analyzes the changes of the overall characteristics of China's FDI in different periods in combination with the stage characteristics of China's 0FDI development. After that, the paper examines the characteristics and differences of Chinese direct investment in the United States. Chapter 4th and Chapter 5th are the core parts of this paper. First of all, Chapter 4th classifies and analyzes the main factors affecting China's direct investment in the United States from the political and economic perspectives, and discusses policies and markets. Chapter 5th is the empirical part of this paper. Through the establishment of time series model, we choose quantifiable factors such as per capita national income and exchange rate as variables to study. To judge the influence of the main factors of China's direct investment in the United States and the influence way, using the time series data of various variables, to establish a multivariate linear regression model, and to carry out correlation test and stability test. Cointegration test and Granger causality test, the final empirical analysis results show that the per capita national income, infrastructure construction, import and export trade and China's direct investment in the United States has a relatively significant positive relationship. RMB exchange rate level and China's direct investment in the United States have a negative impact. Finally, chapter 6th summarizes the results of empirical research, and puts forward relevant policy recommendations from the macro level of government and the micro perspective of enterprises. It mainly includes establishing perfect policy system, improving administrative efficiency, at the same time, strengthening international exchanges and cooperation, enhancing subjective initiative and core competitiveness of enterprises, and so on, in order to help enterprises better carry out overseas investment activities.
【學位授予單位】:天津師范大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.6
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