本文關(guān)鍵詞：外商直接投資流入對(duì)金磚國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響　出處：《山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：外商直接投資(FDI)作為一種重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象已經(jīng)在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的舞臺(tái)上扮演著越來(lái)越重要的角色。外商直接投資的存在和發(fā)展對(duì)東道國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生了重要的影響，成為推動(dòng)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主要力量。進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)后，發(fā)展中國(guó)家逐漸占據(jù)引進(jìn)外資的半壁江山�！敖鸫u五國(guó)”是發(fā)展中國(guó)家和轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)體中引進(jìn)外資的主要新興力量。本研究分別以金磚五國(guó)(巴西、俄羅斯、印度、中國(guó)、南非)為研究對(duì)象，研究引進(jìn)外商直接投資對(duì)東道國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的具體影響。 本研究選取金磚五國(guó)1995-2012年的國(guó)家層面宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)流入金磚國(guó)家的外商直接投資對(duì)東道國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易、國(guó)內(nèi)投資的影響進(jìn)行研究分析。通過(guò)理論分析發(fā)現(xiàn)，外商直接投資、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、進(jìn)口貿(mào)易、出口貿(mào)易和國(guó)內(nèi)投資之間有著復(fù)雜的相互影響關(guān)系，Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果亦顯示在外商直接投資、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、進(jìn)口貿(mào)易、出口貿(mào)易和國(guó)內(nèi)投資之間有復(fù)雜的互為因果的關(guān)系，基于上述分析結(jié)果，建立包含5個(gè)方程、5個(gè)內(nèi)生變量和5個(gè)外生變量的聯(lián)立方程組計(jì)量模型運(yùn)用二階段最小二乘法(2SLS)實(shí)證分析外商直接投資對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、進(jìn)出口、國(guó)內(nèi)投資的影響。建立聯(lián)立方程組是因?yàn)�，與單個(gè)方程相比，聯(lián)立方程組的估計(jì)能考慮到更為全面的反映經(jīng)濟(jì)各變量的信息，從而更合理地解釋復(fù)雜的經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)中各變量的相互影響。研究結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)，流入中國(guó)的外商直接投資顯著地促進(jìn)了國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、國(guó)內(nèi)資本形成和出口貿(mào)易，進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易同樣影響了外資的流入；流入巴西的外商直接投資抑制了國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)，促進(jìn)了進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的發(fā)展，，進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易同樣影響了外資的流入；流入印度的外資促進(jìn)了國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、國(guó)內(nèi)投資和進(jìn)口貿(mào)易；流入俄羅斯的外資對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和出口貿(mào)易產(chǎn)生促進(jìn)作用，對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)投資形成產(chǎn)生抑制作用，進(jìn)口貿(mào)易同樣影響了外資的流入；流入南非的外資促進(jìn)了國(guó)內(nèi)資本形成。最后，根據(jù)研究結(jié)果，提出了切合實(shí)際的吸引外商直接投資的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (FDI). As an important economic phenomenon, it has played a more and more important role in the stage of global economic integration. The existence and development of foreign direct investment (FDI) has had an important impact on the host country's economy. To become a major driver of global economic development. After 21th century. The developing countries are gradually occupying half of the foreign capital. The BRICS countries are the main emerging forces in the developing countries and the transition economies. In this study, the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia) are selected. India, China, South Africa) as the object of study, to study the specific impact of foreign direct investment on the economic development of host countries. In this study, the national macroeconomic data of BRICS countries from 1995 to 2012 were selected to study the impact of FDI on the economic growth, import and export trade of BRICS countries. Through theoretical analysis, it is found that there are complex interrelation among FDI, economic growth, import trade, export trade and domestic investment. Granger causality test results also show that there are complex causal relationships between FDI, economic growth, import trade, export trade and domestic investment, based on the above results. The econometric model of simultaneous equations including five equations, five endogenous variables and five exogenous variables was established to analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth, import and export by using the two-stage least square method (2SLS). The effect of domestic investment. The simultaneous equations are established because, compared with individual equations, the estimation of simultaneous equations takes into account more comprehensive information that reflects the various variables of the economy. The results show that foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into China significantly promotes domestic economic growth, domestic capital formation and export trade. Import and export trade also affects the inflow of foreign capital; Foreign direct investment (FDI) flowing into Brazil inhibits the growth of domestic economy and promotes the development of import trade, which also affects the inflow of foreign capital. The inflow of foreign capital into India contributed to domestic economic growth, domestic investment and import trade; The inflow of foreign capital into Russia promotes economic growth and export trade and inhibits the formation of domestic investment. Import trade also affects the inflow of foreign capital. The foreign capital flowing into South Africa promotes the formation of domestic capital. Finally, according to the research results, the paper puts forward some practical policy recommendations to attract foreign direct investment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F113;F831.6

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