我國國際收支失衡調(diào)節(jié)機制與政策研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-03 12:37
本文關(guān)鍵詞:我國國際收支失衡調(diào)節(jié)機制與政策研究 出處:《吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 國際收支 國際收支失衡 調(diào)節(jié)機制 宏觀經(jīng)濟政策
【摘要】:國際收支失衡是一個關(guān)系到我國經(jīng)濟能否平穩(wěn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要問題。近年來,隨著我國經(jīng)濟的快速增長,我國的國際收支持續(xù)呈現(xiàn)巨額雙順差的狀態(tài)。由于長期的歷史因素、政策導(dǎo)向因素、經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)問題、消費需求等內(nèi)外部經(jīng)濟大環(huán)境的因素,我國國際收支大規(guī)模順差的格局不會迅速消失,并且伴隨外匯儲備的大幅增長,會加劇國際貿(mào)易摩擦和人民幣升值的壓力,不利于加快經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)變。因此,國際收支調(diào)節(jié)已成為實現(xiàn)內(nèi)外部經(jīng)濟均衡發(fā)展的重要環(huán)節(jié)。 本論文首先從國際貨幣體系演變的角度,梳理了國際收支調(diào)節(jié)理論。在此基礎(chǔ)上,分析了28年(1985年-2012年)間,我國國際收支經(jīng)常賬戶與資本賬戶的規(guī)模、結(jié)構(gòu)變動及失衡情況,表明我國國際收支長期表現(xiàn)為一種失衡的狀態(tài),并以雙順差為主。通過深入分析國際收支失衡的原因及影響,本文認(rèn)為,在當(dāng)前國際經(jīng)濟背景下,美元本位主導(dǎo)世界貨幣格局,我國國際收支調(diào)機制的建立目標(biāo)應(yīng)該以政策調(diào)節(jié)為主,,市場調(diào)節(jié)為輔,在結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的陣痛期,將調(diào)節(jié)重點放在擴大內(nèi)需、完善人民幣匯率制度等方面,并基于此,采取相應(yīng)的調(diào)節(jié)政策措施,財政政策、貨幣政策和匯率政策三管齊下,同時,加強國際宏觀經(jīng)濟政策協(xié)調(diào)。
[Abstract]:The balance of payments imbalance is an important issue related to the steady and sustainable development of our economy. In recent years, with the rapid growth of our economy. China's balance of payments continues to show a huge state of double surplus. Due to long-term historical factors, policy guidance factors, economic structure problems, consumer demand and other internal and external economic environment factors. The pattern of large balance of payments surplus will not disappear rapidly, and with the large increase of foreign exchange reserves, it will aggravate the pressure of international trade friction and appreciation of RMB. Therefore, the adjustment of international balance of payments has become an important link to realize the balanced development of internal and external economy. This thesis firstly combs the theory of international balance of payments adjustment from the perspective of the evolution of the international monetary system. On this basis, it analyzes the period of 28 years (1985 to 2012). The scale, structure change and imbalance of China's current account and capital account indicate that China's balance of payments has been in a state of imbalance for a long time. Through in-depth analysis of the causes and effects of the imbalance of international balance of payments, this paper argues that under the current international economic background, the dollar standard dominates the world monetary pattern. In the painful period of structural adjustment, we should focus on expanding domestic demand and perfecting RMB exchange rate system. Based on this, we should take corresponding adjustment policy measures, fiscal policy, monetary policy and exchange rate policy, and strengthen the coordination of international macroeconomic policy at the same time.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.6
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條
1 朱泓瑾;;淺析我國國際收支結(jié)構(gòu)對人民幣國際化的影響[J];時代金融;2013年08期
本文編號:1373927
本文鏈接:http://www.sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/guojijinrong/1373927.html
最近更新
教材專著