最終需求對工業(yè)行業(yè)發(fā)展影響的實證研究
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本文關(guān)鍵詞: 最終需求 生產(chǎn)誘發(fā)系數(shù) 依存度系數(shù) 出處:《經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理研究》2015年03期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:基于中國1990—2010年的投入產(chǎn)出表數(shù)據(jù),本文通過計算各項最終需求對工業(yè)行業(yè)的生產(chǎn)誘發(fā)系數(shù)和工業(yè)行業(yè)對最終需求的依存度系數(shù)等指標(biāo),研究發(fā)現(xiàn)投資需求對工業(yè)行業(yè)的拉動作用明顯,工業(yè)行業(yè)對投資的依賴程度逐年上升,消費需求對工業(yè)行業(yè)的拉動作用較差,工業(yè)行業(yè)對消費的依賴程度趨于下降,出口對工業(yè)行業(yè)的作用受國際經(jīng)濟(jì)波動影響顯著,各項最終需求對不同工業(yè)行業(yè)的影響差異明顯,應(yīng)在采取長短結(jié)合的政策中區(qū)別對待。
[Abstract]:Based on the input-output table data from 1990 to 2010 in China, this paper calculates the production inducement coefficient of each final demand to the industrial industry and the dependency coefficient of the industrial industry on the final demand. It is found that the investment demand plays an important role in the industrial industry, the degree of industrial dependence on investment increases year by year, the consumption demand plays a poor role in the industrial industry, and the degree of industrial industry dependence on consumption tends to decline. The effect of export on industrial industry is obviously affected by international economic fluctuation, and the influence of final demand on different industrial industries is obvious, so it should be treated differently in the policy of combination of long and short.
【作者單位】: 南京航空航天大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【分類號】:F424
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