【摘要】：該文運用投入產(chǎn)出分析方法，對1987年－2007年間我國現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的投入結(jié)構(gòu)、產(chǎn)出結(jié)構(gòu)、產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)和產(chǎn)業(yè)波及效應(yīng)進行了深入分析。結(jié)果表明現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)中的多數(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的中間投入率和中間需求率變動趨勢不一，內(nèi)部各產(chǎn)業(yè)部門對制造業(yè)及其自身的直接消耗較大，現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)波及能力逐步上升，多數(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的感應(yīng)度系數(shù)和影響力系數(shù)穩(wěn)步上升。確定了金融保險業(yè)、物流業(yè)和租賃和商務(wù)服務(wù)業(yè)是拉動現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的“三駕馬車”。在此基礎(chǔ)上，，運用SDA分析方法，得出消費、投資對現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的影響最明顯，而進口對其發(fā)展則有明顯的消極阻礙作用。 最后，從投入產(chǎn)出的角度，總結(jié)了我國現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展特點、存在的問題并提出了相應(yīng)的對策建議。認為當前我國現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展具有勞動密集型特性緩慢減弱、具有較強的中間投入品特性、金融保險業(yè)、物流業(yè)和租賃和商務(wù)服務(wù)業(yè)是現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的“三駕馬車”、自我拉動能力強、消費和投資是其發(fā)展的最重要因素、對我國國民經(jīng)濟的正向促進作用不斷加大、國內(nèi)外影響力逐漸提升這七大特點。存在支撐輔助效用不夠、粗放型發(fā)展模式降低了發(fā)展速度、科學(xué)技術(shù)進步的促進作用尚未完全發(fā)揮、居民終端消費市場開發(fā)程度低、部分產(chǎn)業(yè)部門市場競爭水平偏低等問題。并從強化產(chǎn)業(yè)部門內(nèi)部合作、提高服務(wù)輔助效用、逐步轉(zhuǎn)變現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展模式、合理配置現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)資源、鼓勵支持現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)科技創(chuàng)新、增強內(nèi)部消費市場開發(fā)和外部招商引資力度、強化市場競爭機制、完善成本約束機制等八個方面提出了解決對策。
[Abstract]:By using the input-output analysis method, this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the input structure, output structure, industrial association and industrial ripple effect of modern service industry in China from 1987 to 2007. The results show that the change trend of intermediate input rate and intermediate demand rate of most industrial sectors in modern service industry is different. The direct consumption of manufacturing industry and its own by internal industry departments is larger, and the sweep capacity of modern service industry is gradually rising. The sensitivity coefficient and influence coefficient of most industry department rise steadily. Finance and insurance, logistics and leasing and business services are the troika driving the development of modern service industry. On this basis, using SDA analysis method, it is concluded that consumption and investment have the most obvious influence on the development of modern service industry, while imports have obvious negative hindrance to the development of modern service industry. Finally, from the angle of input-output, this paper summarizes the development characteristics and problems of modern service industry in China, and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions. It is considered that the development of modern service industry in China is characterized by a slow weakening of labor-intensive characteristics and strong intermediate input characteristics. The financial and insurance industry, logistics industry and leasing and business service industry are the "troika" for the development of modern service industry. Self-pulling ability is strong, consumption and investment are the most important factors of its development, the positive promotion to our national economy is increasing, and the influence at home and abroad is gradually improving these seven characteristics. There are some problems, such as insufficient supporting auxiliary utility, extensive development mode, low speed of development, promotion of scientific and technological progress, low level of development of residential terminal consumer market, low level of market competition in some industrial sectors, and so on. And from strengthening the cooperation within the industrial sector, improving the auxiliary utility of the service, gradually changing the development mode of the modern service industry, rationally allocating the resources of the modern service industry, encouraging and supporting the scientific and technological innovation of the modern service industry, The countermeasures are put forward in eight aspects, such as strengthening the development of internal consumption market and attracting foreign investment, strengthening the market competition mechanism and perfecting the cost restraint mechanism.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F719;F224

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