本文選題：服務(wù)業(yè)FDI + 溢出效應(yīng)　； 參考：《湘潭大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自20世紀(jì)八九十年代以來,伴隨著全球產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,服務(wù)業(yè)得到了快速發(fā)展,服務(wù)業(yè)貿(mào)易進(jìn)程也不斷加速,該行業(yè)已經(jīng)成為各國對外直接投資的主要領(lǐng)域。2011年,我國服務(wù)業(yè)實(shí)際利用外資數(shù)量首次超過了制造業(yè)。這說明服務(wù)業(yè)在我國吸收外資的地位日益凸顯。然而,大部分關(guān)于FDI溢出效應(yīng)的研究依然是圍繞著制造業(yè)方面,因此增加對服務(wù)業(yè)領(lǐng)域溢出效應(yīng)的研究顯得十分必要。首先,文章對我國服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了圖表描述與分析,表明當(dāng)前的服務(wù)業(yè)FDI增長速度明顯快于制造業(yè)FDI。隨后,對服務(wù)業(yè)FDI溢出效應(yīng)的機(jī)理并篩選了其影響因素進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析。然后,在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)之上,通過選取2005至2014年,23個省(市、自治區(qū))的服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),利用stata12.0統(tǒng)計分析軟件進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,以此來鞏固理論部分分析。在建立的計量模型中,采用索洛余值法估算全要素生產(chǎn)率,以此來衡量FDI的溢出效應(yīng),并將其作為因變量,用FDI與各因素的交互項(xiàng)作為自變量來考察FDI溢出效應(yīng)的影響因素。在實(shí)證過程中,為了保證回歸結(jié)果的可靠性,利用單位根檢驗(yàn)進(jìn)行了數(shù)據(jù)平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)。隨后又進(jìn)行了Hausman檢驗(yàn),其結(jié)果表明應(yīng)該選擇建立固定效應(yīng)模型,因此利用固定效應(yīng)對我國服務(wù)業(yè)FDI溢出效應(yīng)的影響因素進(jìn)行了面板回歸。其回歸結(jié)果中除法治水平結(jié)果不顯著外,其他影響因素的結(jié)果都較為顯著,且與理論分析的猜想吻合。結(jié)合理論分析與實(shí)證的結(jié)果可以得出結(jié)論:人力資本、金融市場率、市場開放度、服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展水平、資本密集度對FDI溢出效應(yīng)有正向積極的作用。最后,為了我國能更好的利用服務(wù)業(yè)FDI,吸收更多的溢出效應(yīng)提出了一些政策建議,希望能夠?yàn)槲覈⻊?wù)業(yè)的健康發(fā)展和產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的制定提供些許幫助。以往FDI溢出效應(yīng)研究主要圍繞制造業(yè)展開,本文則從服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的角度出發(fā),研究其溢出效應(yīng)的影響因素。在借鑒制造業(yè)FDI溢出效應(yīng)的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合服務(wù)業(yè)的特性,分析了服務(wù)業(yè)FDI溢出效應(yīng)傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,并選用最新數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。
[Abstract]:Since the 1980s and 1990s, with the adjustment of the global industrial structure, the service industry has been developing rapidly and the process of trade in the service industry has been accelerating. This industry has become the main field of foreign direct investment of all countries. In 2011, For the first time, the amount of foreign capital actually utilized in China's service industry exceeded that of manufacturing industry. This shows that the service industry in China to absorb foreign capital status is increasingly prominent. However, most of the researches on FDI spillover effect are still focused on the manufacturing sector, so it is necessary to increase the research on the spillover effect in the field of service industry. First of all, the paper describes and analyzes the current situation of FDI in China's service industry, which shows that the growth rate of FDI in service industry is obviously faster than that of FDI in manufacturing industry. Then, the mechanism of FDI spillover effect in service industry is analyzed in detail. Then, on the basis of theoretical analysis, through selecting the relevant data of service industry FDI in 23 provinces (cities and autonomous regions) from 2005 to 2014, we use the stata12.0 statistical analysis software to carry out empirical analysis, so as to consolidate the theoretical part of the analysis. In the established econometric model, the total factor productivity (TFP) is estimated by using Solow residual value method to measure the spillover effect of FDI, which is regarded as the dependent variable and the interaction between FDI and various factors as the independent variable to investigate the influencing factors of FDI spillover effect. In order to ensure the reliability of regression results, the unit root test is used to test the data smoothness. Then Hausman test is carried out. The results show that fixed effect model should be established, so the factors influencing FDI spillover effect of service industry in China are analyzed by panel regression. In the regression results, except the level of rule of law results are not significant, the results of other influencing factors are more significant, and agree with the theoretical analysis of the conjecture. Combined with the theoretical analysis and empirical results, we can draw a conclusion: human capital, financial market rate, market openness, service industry development level, capital intensity has a positive effect on FDI spillover effect. Finally, in order to make better use of FDI in service industry and absorb more spillover effects, some policy suggestions are put forward, hoping to provide some help for the healthy development of our service industry and the formulation of industrial policy. In the past, the research of FDI spillover effect mainly focused on manufacturing industry, and this paper studied the influencing factors of FDI spillover effect from the point of view of service FDI. Based on the spillover effects of manufacturing FDI and the characteristics of the service industry, this paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of FDI spillover effects in the service industry, and selects the latest data for empirical analysis.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湘潭大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F832.6;F719

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本文編號：2081607