中國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的決定因素和經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-25 10:06
本文選題:服務(wù)業(yè)FDI + 決定因素; 參考:《河南師范大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:自從20世紀(jì)70年代以來(lái),世界經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入“服務(wù)經(jīng)濟(jì)”時(shí)代,與此同時(shí)服務(wù)業(yè)也成為全球外商投資的主流,服務(wù)業(yè)利用的外商直接投資(FDI)已超過(guò)制造業(yè)利用外資的水平。由于我國(guó)一直對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展重視不足,對(duì)外資進(jìn)入服務(wù)業(yè)設(shè)置較高的門(mén)檻,使得目前我國(guó)外商直接投資的重要領(lǐng)域依然是制造業(yè),服務(wù)業(yè)利用的FDI還處于較低的水平,這對(duì)于我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式的轉(zhuǎn)變,特別是服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化,都將是一大制約因素。在這樣的大背景下,通過(guò)對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI的影響因素和經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行深入分析,并針對(duì)存在的問(wèn)題提出建設(shè)性的政策措施,這是本文的研究目的所在。 本文以服務(wù)業(yè)外商直接投資的理論為依據(jù),,對(duì)中國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的決定因素和經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行定性分析,然后在對(duì)全球服務(wù)業(yè)利用外資的特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行分析的基礎(chǔ)上,引出我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)利用外資的階段演變,接著從總量、行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)兩個(gè)方面對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI的特點(diǎn)和存在的問(wèn)題進(jìn)行研究。通過(guò)對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI決定因素的定量分析,本文得出我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)吸收的FDI與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的潛力、制造業(yè)FDI、服務(wù)貿(mào)易國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力和市場(chǎng)化水平之間存在顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,不過(guò)與經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模和城鎮(zhèn)化水平存在負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,同時(shí)與勞動(dòng)力成本正相關(guān)。在對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)的實(shí)證分析中,本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn),我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI存在顯著的增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)和出口效應(yīng),不過(guò)其全行業(yè)的就業(yè)效應(yīng)較小,同時(shí)對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)國(guó)內(nèi)資本的形成不具有顯著的擠出效應(yīng),而擠入效應(yīng)也不明顯。本文以此為基礎(chǔ),提出改善我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的相關(guān)政策和建議。 本文的創(chuàng)新之處主要基于以下三點(diǎn):首先,更為細(xì)致的對(duì)全球服務(wù)業(yè)外商直接投資的特點(diǎn)和我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI的特征進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析,從而對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的現(xiàn)狀有更客觀的認(rèn)識(shí);其次,依據(jù)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI的實(shí)際額,借助單位根檢驗(yàn)、因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)和協(xié)整分析對(duì)影響我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI的因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,所用方法具有一定的改進(jìn);最后,結(jié)合不同模型分別從增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)、就業(yè)效應(yīng)、出口效應(yīng)和資本效應(yīng)五個(gè)方面對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)展開(kāi)研究,從而在深層次、廣角度上加深我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)FDI的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)的認(rèn)識(shí)。
[Abstract]:Since the 1970s, the world economy has entered the era of "service economy". At the same time, the service industry has also become the mainstream of the global foreign investment. The foreign direct investment (FDI) in the service industry has exceeded the level of the foreign investment utilized by the manufacturing industry. Since our country has been paying less attention to the development of service industry and set a high threshold for foreign capital to enter the service industry, the important field of foreign direct investment in our country is still the manufacturing industry, and the FDI used by the service industry is still at a low level. This will be a restrictive factor for the transformation of our country's economic development mode, especially the optimization of the industrial structure of the service industry. Under this background, this paper analyzes the influence factors and economic effects of FDI utilization in China's service industry, and puts forward constructive policies and measures in view of the existing problems, which is the purpose of this paper. Based on the theory of foreign direct investment in service industry, this paper makes a qualitative analysis of the determinants and economic effects of China's service industry FDI, and then analyzes the characteristics of the utilization of foreign capital in the global service industry. This paper introduces the evolution of foreign capital utilization in China's service industry, and then studies the characteristics and existing problems of the utilization of FDI in China's service industry from two aspects: the total amount and the structure of the industry. Based on the quantitative analysis of the determinants of FDI in China's service industry, this paper draws a conclusion that there is a significant positive correlation between the FDI absorbed by our service industry and economic growth, the manufacturing industry, the international competitiveness of service trade and the level of marketization. However, there is a negative correlation with economic scale and urbanization level, and a positive correlation with labor cost. In the empirical analysis of the economic effects of China's service industry FDI, this paper finds that there are significant growth effects, industrial correlation effects and export effects in China's service industry FDI, but the employment effect of the whole industry is relatively small. At the same time, there is no significant crowding effect on the formation of domestic capital in the service industry, and the crowding effect is not obvious. Based on this, this paper puts forward some policies and suggestions to improve the service industry FDI in China. The innovation of this paper is mainly based on the following three points: firstly, a more detailed comparative analysis of the characteristics of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the global service industry and the use of FDI in China's service industry. Therefore, we have a more objective understanding of the current situation of FDI in our service industry. Secondly, according to the actual amount of FDI used by our service industry, we can make use of the unit root test. The causality test and cointegration analysis are used to analyze the factors that affect the utilization of FDI in China's service industry, and the method is improved. Finally, combining with the different models, the growth effect, the industrial correlation effect and the employment effect are respectively analyzed. This paper studies the economic effect of China's service industry FDI from five aspects: export effect and capital effect, so as to deepen the understanding of the economic effect of China's service industry FDI from a deep level and a wide perspective.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:河南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F719;F832.6;F224
【引證文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條
1 蘇咨文;中國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)研究[D];大連海事大學(xué);2013年
本文編號(hào):1933033
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