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重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-18 09:32

  本文選題:生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè) + 集聚 ; 參考:《重慶工商大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)展現(xiàn)服務(wù)型經(jīng)濟(jì)逐步代替工業(yè)型經(jīng)濟(jì)的趨勢(shì),為維持經(jīng)濟(jì)在一個(gè)快速增長(zhǎng)的水平上,傳統(tǒng)的工業(yè)制造業(yè)等行業(yè)已經(jīng)很難維持我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的要求,向服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型并以生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)來(lái)帶動(dòng)和保持經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是一個(gè)必然的發(fā)展趨勢(shì)。服務(wù)業(yè)作為現(xiàn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)情況下拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)最主要的力量,作為服務(wù)業(yè)中最重要的組成部分之一,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展已經(jīng)成為帶動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵之處。重慶市作為西部中心、長(zhǎng)江上游經(jīng)濟(jì)中心,加快產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),大力發(fā)展生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)集聚區(qū)規(guī)模是關(guān)鍵之處。盡管直轄之后重慶市服務(wù)業(yè)取得較好的成績(jī),發(fā)展勢(shì)頭強(qiáng)勁,但無(wú)論是與國(guó)內(nèi)發(fā)達(dá)的大城市相比還是國(guó)外其他的都市相比仍然存在不小的差距。在相關(guān)研究方面,學(xué)術(shù)對(duì)于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的研究還落后于其發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀,尤其在集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)會(huì)產(chǎn)生怎么的影響方面更是缺乏。根據(jù)已有的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)來(lái)看,各學(xué)者對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的分析大多數(shù)還集中于在理論部分的分析,通過(guò)理論推理來(lái)預(yù)測(cè)其集聚會(huì)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生怎樣影響。而在建模分析集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)帶動(dòng)作用也比較少見(jiàn),常用的方法就是應(yīng)用多元線性回歸分析,將自己假設(shè)的解釋變量融入到模型當(dāng)中,分析變量對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響。本文首先在理論部分根據(jù)已往的研究文獻(xiàn)分別對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚、生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚以及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的方式的主要研究進(jìn)展和結(jié)論總結(jié)并結(jié)合個(gè)人觀點(diǎn)進(jìn)行綜述,基于已有關(guān)于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的理論研究結(jié)合重慶市自身狀況基于投入產(chǎn)出表對(duì)重慶市的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)進(jìn)行分類(lèi);然后分別從其增加值和就業(yè)人數(shù)兩個(gè)角度入手分別分析總結(jié)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并基于國(guó)內(nèi)外理論研究的基礎(chǔ)上,歸納總結(jié)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的三條路徑:集聚的規(guī)模、專(zhuān)業(yè)化程度和多樣化水平,分別對(duì)作用機(jī)理進(jìn)行闡述,提出了文章的三個(gè)假說(shuō)。最后以重慶市主城九區(qū)為例,在C-D生產(chǎn)模型與VAR模型基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)行擴(kuò)展應(yīng)用于本文實(shí)證分析,實(shí)證結(jié)果表明在重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚規(guī)模和多樣化水平與重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展呈正相關(guān),即集聚規(guī)模擴(kuò)大與集聚多樣化水平提高會(huì)帶動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,而集聚專(zhuān)業(yè)化程度的加劇對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響有一定的負(fù)面作用。以此結(jié)果為依據(jù),為重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展提供政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the global economic situation, the service economy is gradually replacing the industrial economy. In order to maintain the economy at a level of rapid growth, it is difficult for traditional industries such as industrial manufacturing to maintain the requirements of economic growth in China. It is an inevitable trend to transform to service economy and to promote and maintain economic growth with producer service industry. As one of the most important components of the service industry, the development of producer services has become the key to promote the economic growth of industrial transformation. As the western center of Chongqing and the economic center of the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, the key points are to accelerate the industrial transformation and upgrade and to develop the scale of the productive service agglomeration area. Although the service industry of Chongqing has made good achievements and the development momentum is strong, there is still not a small gap between Chongqing and other developed cities in China or other cities abroad. In related research, the academic research on producer services lags behind its development, especially in how agglomeration will have an impact on the economy. According to the existing relevant literature, most of the scholars' analysis of producer services is also focused on the theoretical part of the analysis, through theoretical reasoning to predict its concentration on the economic impact. However, it is rare to analyze the effect of agglomeration on the economy. The commonly used method is to apply multivariate linear regression analysis to analyze the influence of variables on the economy by integrating the explanatory variables assumed by themselves into the model. First of all, this paper summarizes the main research progress and conclusion of industrial agglomeration, producer service industry agglomeration and its influence on economy according to the previous research literature, and combines with personal viewpoint to sum up the main research progress and conclusion. Based on the existing theoretical research on producer services combined with Chongqing's own situation based on the input-output table to classify the producer services in Chongqing; Then it analyzes and summarizes the present situation of producer service industry in Chongqing from the two angles of added value and employment, and based on the theoretical research at home and abroad. This paper sums up three paths of producer services agglomeration to promote economic growth: the scale of agglomeration, the degree of specialization and the level of diversification, expounds the mechanism of action, and puts forward three hypotheses of this paper. Finally, based on the C-D production model and the VAR model, the paper takes the nine districts of Chongqing main city as an example, and applies it to the empirical analysis of this paper. The empirical results show that the agglomeration scale and diversification level of producer services in Chongqing are positively correlated with the economic development of Chongqing, that is, the expansion of agglomeration scale and the improvement of agglomeration diversification level will promote economic development. And the agglomeration specialization intensifies the influence to the economy has certain negative effect. Based on the results, policy suggestions are provided for the development of producer services in Chongqing.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:重慶工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F719;F127

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