本文選題：服務(wù)業(yè)　切入點(diǎn)：乘數(shù)效應(yīng)　出處：《北京郵電大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：上世紀(jì)八十年代,全球產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)入新一輪的大升級,發(fā)達(dá)資本主義國家逐步進(jìn)入貝爾的“后工業(yè)社會”階段,“工業(yè)型經(jīng)濟(jì)”已向“服務(wù)型經(jīng)濟(jì)”轉(zhuǎn)型。服務(wù)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)率穩(wěn)步上升,成為其增長的重要動力,同時吸納了大量的就業(yè)人口,保障了國家的安全穩(wěn)定。而目前我國服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展水平遠(yuǎn)落后于發(fā)達(dá)國家和一些新興發(fā)展國家。 目前,國內(nèi)外學(xué)者對服務(wù)業(yè)的研究主要是根據(jù)實(shí)證展開的研究,對服務(wù)業(yè)的界定和分類尚有不統(tǒng)一,也缺少反映三大產(chǎn)業(yè)本質(zhì)聯(lián)系的理論分析,對于資本、技術(shù)與勞動密集度與就業(yè)的辯證關(guān)系也沒有系統(tǒng)的闡述與實(shí)證。本文正是針對以上問題展開了對服務(wù)業(yè)的研究。 本文首先從服務(wù)業(yè)概念入手,綜合了國內(nèi)外學(xué)者對服務(wù)業(yè)的定義,提出了自己的看法,并針對定義列舉了服務(wù)業(yè)的性質(zhì),由性質(zhì)推界定,再推分類。服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展帶動了經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展并改變了經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu),本文結(jié)合分析貝爾的三階段理論、羅斯托的五階段理論和西蒙·庫茲涅茲的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論,來找到中國目前經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的階段歸屬。并通過實(shí)際數(shù)據(jù)的檢驗(yàn)和分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)了貝爾三階段理論的局限性及各理論的應(yīng)用范圍。服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展與國民經(jīng)濟(jì)相互促進(jìn),作者應(yīng)用乘數(shù)理論建立數(shù)學(xué)模型,分析了農(nóng)、工業(yè)勞動者對服務(wù)業(yè)勞動者收入的促進(jìn)作用；通過建立三產(chǎn)業(yè)乘數(shù)矩陣模型分析了我國整體經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生增加值的過程與機(jī)制,得到的結(jié)論為三產(chǎn)業(yè)勞動者的平均個人收入增加值的提高能帶動整個經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,同時邊際消費(fèi)傾向的大小是影響國民收入變化的關(guān)鍵性因素,邊際消費(fèi)傾向增大,則國民收入增加,采取有效措施拉動人民內(nèi)需提高經(jīng)濟(jì)整體增長是快速發(fā)展我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要手段。本文結(jié)合配第一—克拉克定理及數(shù)學(xué)模型,綜合分析了三次產(chǎn)業(yè)勞動生產(chǎn)率與就業(yè)的關(guān)系,并總結(jié)出服務(wù)業(yè)吸收就業(yè)的特點(diǎn)與服務(wù)業(yè)的增長規(guī)律。本文最后提出了我國服務(wù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中存在的問題、滯后的原因,明確了加快發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的意義,并根據(jù)前文分析歸納出解決服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展滯后的對策并對我國服務(wù)業(yè)進(jìn)行了展望。我國只要繼續(xù)完善第三產(chǎn)業(yè)法律法規(guī),大力推進(jìn)城市化建設(shè),引導(dǎo)全社會轉(zhuǎn)變就業(yè)觀念,推行靈活多樣的就業(yè)形式,大力發(fā)展現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè),加強(qiáng)服務(wù)人才培養(yǎng),就能使中國第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的整體發(fā)展水平邁上一個新臺階。
[Abstract]:In -20s, the global industrial structure entered a new round of large-scale upgrading, Developed capitalist countries have gradually entered the stage of Bell's "post-industrial society", and the "industrial economy" has been transformed into "service-oriented economy". The contribution rate of service industry to economic growth has steadily increased, which has become an important driving force for its growth. At the same time, it absorbs a large number of employed people to ensure the security and stability of our country. At present, the development level of our service industry is far behind that of the developed countries and some new developing countries. At present, domestic and foreign scholars' research on service industry is mainly based on empirical research. The definition and classification of service industry are still not uniform, and the theoretical analysis reflecting the essential relationship between the three industries is also lacking. The dialectical relationship between technology and labor intensity and employment has not been systematically expounded and proved. This paper has carried out the research on the service industry in view of the above problems. This paper begins with the concept of service industry, synthesizes the definition of service industry from domestic and foreign scholars, puts forward its own views, and enumerates the nature of service industry in view of the definition, which is defined by nature. The development of the service industry drives economic development and changes the economic structure. This paper combines Bell's three-stage theory, Rostow's five-stage theory, and Simon Kuznets' industrial structure theory. To find out the stage attribution of China's current economic development. Through the examination and analysis of actual data, we find out the limitations of Bell's three-stage theory and the scope of application of each theory. The development of service industry and the national economy promote each other. The author applies multiplier theory to establish mathematical model, analyzes the promoting effect of agricultural and industrial workers on the income of service workers, analyzes the process and mechanism of adding value to the whole economy of our country by establishing the matrix model of three-industry multiplier. The conclusion is that the increase of the average personal income of the workers in the third industry can promote the development of the whole economy, and the magnitude of marginal consumption tendency is the key factor affecting the change of national income, and the marginal consumption tendency increases. If the national income is increased, it is an important means for the rapid development of our economy to take effective measures to stimulate the people's domestic demand and improve the overall economic growth. This paper combines the first Clark theorem and the mathematical model, This paper comprehensively analyzes the relationship between labor productivity and employment in three industries, and summarizes the characteristics of employment absorption in service industry and the growth law of service industry. Finally, the paper points out the problems existing in the development of service economy in China and the reasons for lagging behind. The significance of speeding up the development of the tertiary industry is clarified, and the countermeasures to solve the lag in the development of the service industry are summed up according to the previous analysis, and the prospects for the service industry in our country are also given. As long as we continue to improve the laws and regulations of the tertiary industry and vigorously promote the construction of urbanization, To guide the whole society to change the concept of employment, to promote flexible and diverse forms of employment, to vigorously develop modern service industries and to strengthen the training of service personnel, the overall development level of China's tertiary industry can be raised to a new level.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京郵電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F224;F719

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