發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-10 07:21

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè) 競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力 SSA模型 灰色理論　出處：《武漢理工大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,全球經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)已逐步由工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)向服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變,現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展成為現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)的一個(gè)重要特征,其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力直接影響到一個(gè)城市整體經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)在近年來(lái)雖然取得了很大的進(jìn)步,但和全國(guó)其他現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展較快的城市相比仍然存在很多問題,特別是競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力方面。對(duì)武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的研究將有助于了解該城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)特性及其現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的內(nèi)部行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),明確武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的優(yōu)勢(shì)和劣勢(shì),突出現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的重點(diǎn)發(fā)展領(lǐng)域。 本文以武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力為研究對(duì)象,在對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外有關(guān)現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)概念、理論、分類、研究?jī)?nèi)容、研究方法等進(jìn)行歸納總結(jié)基礎(chǔ)上,界定本文對(duì)于現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的定義和分類。首先采用時(shí)間序列法將武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展分為了四個(gè)階段：準(zhǔn)備階段(1978-1989年)、成長(zhǎng)階段(1990-1997年)、快速增長(zhǎng)階段(1998-2003年)、健康發(fā)展階段(2004-2011),并對(duì)武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展進(jìn)行比較分析,結(jié)果表明武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)在現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)率、現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)增加值占GDP比重、現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)從業(yè)人員數(shù)比重都呈上升趨勢(shì),武漢市三產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)在不斷優(yōu)化,現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)成為推動(dòng)武漢市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的動(dòng)力源泉；用SWOT方法分析了武漢發(fā)展現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的優(yōu)勢(shì)、劣勢(shì)、機(jī)會(huì)和威脅；其次,為了能夠?qū)ξ錆h現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力有更好的認(rèn)識(shí),采用GM(1,1)模型對(duì)武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增量預(yù)測(cè),從而從側(cè)面反映武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力發(fā)展空間,預(yù)測(cè)表明武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)在未來(lái)幾年將保持快速增長(zhǎng)的趨勢(shì),預(yù)計(jì)整個(gè)“十二五”期間現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增加值將以13.8%的增長(zhǎng)速度增長(zhǎng),到2015年武漢市現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增加值將達(dá)5159.9398億元,這有利于把握未來(lái)武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展空間和城市投資規(guī)劃;再次,運(yùn)用SSA模型對(duì)武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)行業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行分析,并將武漢放在全國(guó)19個(gè)重點(diǎn)城市(4個(gè)直轄市和15個(gè)副省級(jí)城市)范圍內(nèi)進(jìn)行整體競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力分析,研究結(jié)果表明武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)中朝陽(yáng)的、增長(zhǎng)快的產(chǎn)業(yè)部門比重大,總體的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)能力較強(qiáng),且有上升的趨勢(shì),但武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)行業(yè)特別是高技術(shù)、高信息化產(chǎn)業(yè)所占的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)份額小,應(yīng)對(duì)其內(nèi)部行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行調(diào)整,加大現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)行業(yè)在第三產(chǎn)業(yè)、在整過國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)份額和投資力度。最后提出了提升武漢現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的對(duì)策和建議。
[Abstract]:With the development of social economy, the global economic structure has gradually changed from industrial economy to service economy, and the development of modern service industry has become an important feature of modern economy. Although Wuhan modern service industry has made great progress in recent years, it still has many problems compared with other cities with rapid development of modern service industry in China. The research on the competitiveness of Wuhan's modern service industry will be helpful to understand the economic characteristics of the city and the internal structure of the modern service industry, and to clarify the advantages and disadvantages of the development of Wuhan's modern service industry. Highlight the key areas of development of the modern service industry. This paper takes Wuhan modern service industry competitiveness as the research object, on the basis of summarizing the concept, theory, classification, research content, research method of modern service industry at home and abroad. This paper defines the definition and classification of modern service industry in this paper. Firstly, the development of modern service industry in Wuhan is divided into four stages by using the time series method: preparatory stage 1978-1989, growth stage 1990-1997, rapid growth stage 1998-2003, healthy stage. A comparative analysis of the development of the modern service industry in Wuhan, The results show that the growth rate of modern service industry in Wuhan, the proportion of added value of modern service industry to GDP, the proportion of employees of modern service industry are all on the rise, and the structure of three industries in Wuhan is continuously optimized. The modern service industry has become the motive source to promote the economic development of Wuhan. The advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats of Wuhan's development of modern service industry are analyzed by SWOT method. Secondly, in order to have a better understanding of the competitiveness of Wuhan's modern service industry, This paper forecasts the economic increment of modern service industry in Wuhan by using GMX 1 / 1) model, so as to reflect the development space of competitiveness of modern service industry in Wuhan. The forecast indicates that the modern service industry in Wuhan will maintain the trend of rapid growth in the next few years. It is expected that the economic added value of modern service industry will increase at a rate of 13.8% during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. By 2015, the added value of modern service economy in Wuhan will reach five hundred and fifteen billion nine hundred and ninety-three million nine hundred and eighty thousand yuan. This will help to grasp the future Wuhan modern service industry development space and urban investment planning. Thirdly, using SSA model to analyze the competitiveness of Wuhan modern service industry. And put Wuhan in the scope of 19 key cities (4 municipalities directly under the Central Government and 15 sub-provincial cities) to analyze the overall competitiveness of Wuhan. The results show that the rising and fast growing industrial sectors in the modern service industry of Wuhan have a large proportion. The overall competitive power is strong, and there is an upward trend, but Wuhan's modern service industry, especially high-tech, has a small share of economic growth, and its internal industry structure should be adjusted. This paper increases the share of economic growth and investment of modern service industry in the tertiary industry and the whole national economy. Finally, it puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to enhance the competitiveness of modern service industry in Wuhan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：武漢理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F719

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