匯率變化與房價波動——來自中國房地產(chǎn)市場的證據(jù)
發(fā)布時間:2018-11-23 10:58
【摘要】:本文通過構(gòu)造MVGARCH-BEKK模型和變參數(shù)模型,實證檢驗了我國匯率變化與房價波動的相互關(guān)系,結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):在房價上漲期間,匯率對房價增速的影響遠(yuǎn)超過利率和M2對房價增速的影響,這可能間接說明了國外資本或國內(nèi)準(zhǔn)備投資國外的資本對國內(nèi)房價增長產(chǎn)生了"助推劑"作用。
[Abstract]:By constructing MVGARCH-BEKK model and variable parameter model, this paper empirically tests the relationship between exchange rate change and house price fluctuation in China. The results show that: during the period of house price rising, The influence of exchange rate on house price growth is far greater than that of interest rate and M2, which may indirectly indicate that foreign capital or domestic capital prepared to invest abroad has a "booster" effect on domestic house price growth.
【作者單位】: 中國人民銀行重慶營業(yè)管理部;
【分類號】:F832.6;F299.23
[Abstract]:By constructing MVGARCH-BEKK model and variable parameter model, this paper empirically tests the relationship between exchange rate change and house price fluctuation in China. The results show that: during the period of house price rising, The influence of exchange rate on house price growth is far greater than that of interest rate and M2, which may indirectly indicate that foreign capital or domestic capital prepared to invest abroad has a "booster" effect on domestic house price growth.
【作者單位】: 中國人民銀行重慶營業(yè)管理部;
【分類號】:F832.6;F299.23
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前6條
1 朱孟楠;劉林;;短期國際資本流動、匯率與資產(chǎn)價格——基于匯改后數(shù)據(jù)的實證研究[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年05期
2 劉旺霞;;波蘭和泰國匯率制度改革經(jīng)驗與啟示[J];改革與戰(zhàn)略;2011年01期
3 王愛儉;沈慶R,
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