土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控的指數(shù)驗證分析
本文選題:宏觀調(diào)控 + 土地政策 ; 參考:《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:2003年我國政府開始強調(diào)土地政策在經(jīng)濟(jì)過程中的重要作用,學(xué)術(shù)界也開始進(jìn)行土地政策與財政政策、貨幣政策同時發(fā)揮作用的理論研究活動。運用土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控尤其是運用土地政策進(jìn)行房地產(chǎn)市場方面的調(diào)控成為我國社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的理論與實踐創(chuàng)新,并且在實踐過程中取得了一定的成效,尤其在幾次經(jīng)濟(jì)波動之中發(fā)揮了經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定器的重要作用。但是土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控仍然存在實踐先于理論,調(diào)控目標(biāo)不明確,調(diào)控政策體系不完整,績效評價與監(jiān)督機制缺失等問題存在。 本文在研究土地政策調(diào)控實踐歷史的基礎(chǔ)上,分析土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控過程中存在的問題。利用2011年國土資源部牽頭CLI中國土地市場指數(shù)(英文表述為CLI,China Land Index)對中國土地2004年以來的土地調(diào)控與宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)變量進(jìn)行回歸。在此基礎(chǔ)上對土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控的目標(biāo)體系,政策體系與評價監(jiān)督機制進(jìn)行比較系統(tǒng)的梳理。本文主要分為三個部分,第一部分主要論述了土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控的基本概念與關(guān)系分析,,土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控中外相關(guān)研究概述與其理論基礎(chǔ),簡單介紹CLI中國土地指數(shù)。第二部分主要論述了我國土地參與宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)控的歷史情況與不同階段的方向特點,分析土地參與宏觀調(diào)控過程之中存在的問題,并對CLI與宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)變量進(jìn)行實證研究。第三部分是本文的理論研究重點,在實證研究的基礎(chǔ)上,從土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控的目標(biāo)體系、政策體系與評價監(jiān)督四個方面系統(tǒng)論述。將CLI指數(shù)分指數(shù)所側(cè)重的方面與土地政策與宏觀調(diào)控的幾個重點方面聯(lián)系起來,使得這幾個方面的聯(lián)系更加緊密,更具有統(tǒng)一性。 CLI中國土地市場指數(shù)自2011年發(fā)布之后一直在修改完善的過程中,本文基于CLI中國土地市場指數(shù)與有限的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)變量的實證研究效果有效,更受制于作者的水平,在此基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)行的分析也有很多不完善之處。本文在土地政策參與宏觀調(diào)控的量化研究方面邁出了探索性的一步,探索讓政策體系、目標(biāo)體系和監(jiān)督與評價體系更加完整,更具有統(tǒng)一性與可操作性。
[Abstract]:In 2003, our government began to emphasize the important role of land policy in the economic process, and the academic circles began to carry out theoretical research activities of land policy and fiscal policy and monetary policy simultaneously. The use of land policy to participate in macro-control, especially the use of land policy to regulate the real estate market, has become a theoretical and practical innovation in the social and economic development of our country, and has achieved certain results in the process of practice. Especially in several economic fluctuations played an important role in economic stability. However, land policy participation in macro-control still exists in practice ahead of theory, with unclear control objectives and incomplete regulatory policy system. On the basis of studying the practical history of land policy regulation, this paper analyzes the problems existing in the process of land policy participation in macro-control. Land market index (CLI China Land Index) led by the Ministry of Land and Resources in 2011 is used to regress the land regulation and control and macroeconomic variables of Chinese land since 2004. On the basis of this, the paper systematically combs the target system, policy system and evaluation and supervision mechanism of land policy participating in macro-control. This paper is divided into three parts. The first part mainly discusses the basic concept and relationship analysis of land policy participation in macro-control, the summary of relevant research and its theoretical basis of land policy participation in macro-control at home and abroad. A brief introduction to CLI China Land Index. The second part mainly discusses the historical situation of land participation in macro-economic regulation and control in China and the characteristics of different stages, analyzes the problems existing in the process of land participation in macro-control, and makes an empirical study on CLI and macroeconomic variables. The third part is the theoretical focus of this paper, on the basis of empirical research, from the land policy to participate in the macro-control of the target system, policy system and evaluation and supervision of four aspects of a systematic discussion. By linking the aspects of the CLI sub-index with several key aspects of land policy and macroeconomic regulation and control, these aspects are more closely linked. CLI China Land Market Index (CLI) has been in the process of revision and improvement since its release in 2011. The empirical study based on CLI China Land Market Index and limited macroeconomic variables is effective and is subject to the author's level. On this basis, the analysis also has a lot of imperfections. This paper takes an exploratory step in the quantitative research of land policy participation in macro-control, and explores how to make the policy system, target system and supervision and evaluation system more complete, more unified and more operable.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F301.0;F123.16;F224
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