本文選題：建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)　切入點：產(chǎn)業(yè)安全評價　出處：《北京交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)是國民經(jīng)濟的重要基礎(chǔ)產(chǎn)業(yè),改革開放以來,借助我國大型基礎(chǔ)建設(shè)項目及房地產(chǎn)市場的繁榮,建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)得到了長足的發(fā)展,在國民經(jīng)濟中的支柱地位日益顯著。但由于缺乏科學(xué)的發(fā)展規(guī)劃,經(jīng)歷了前幾年的井噴式發(fā)展之后,建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)能布局不合理、生產(chǎn)工藝落后、能源消耗量大等矛盾日益突出,對產(chǎn)業(yè)安全構(gòu)成很大威脅。此外,在國家倡導(dǎo)節(jié)能減排、發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟的政策背景下,建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)因其高耗能、高污染的產(chǎn)業(yè)特性,也面臨著新的挑戰(zhàn)。本文以建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)為研究對象,利用歷年數(shù)據(jù)進行產(chǎn)業(yè)安全實證研究,方面有助于了解建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)目前的發(fā)展情況,另一方面也有利于確立下一步發(fā)展的目標和方向,確保建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)在新時期能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)安全有序發(fā)展。 本文基于產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟學(xué)、產(chǎn)業(yè)安全、統(tǒng)計學(xué)等基礎(chǔ)理論,采用定性與定量相結(jié)合的方法,對我國建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)安全進行實證研究。首先綜合介紹了產(chǎn)業(yè)安全領(lǐng)域及建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)的相關(guān)研究成果。在此基礎(chǔ)上,根據(jù)我國建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)的特點、實際發(fā)展情況和產(chǎn)業(yè)安全主要影響因素,結(jié)合現(xiàn)有的研究成果,構(gòu)建了我國建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)安全評價指標體系,對各指標設(shè)置了合理的警限范圍,并采用層次分析法計算出各級指標權(quán)重。然后基于2003～2010年的歷史數(shù)據(jù),運用灰色預(yù)測模型預(yù)測出建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)“十二五”期間的發(fā)展態(tài)勢,最后根據(jù)線性多屬性綜合評價模型對歷年的產(chǎn)業(yè)安全度進行了估算,得出我國建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)處于“基本安全”狀態(tài),但有進一步惡化趨勢的結(jié)論。針對建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)綜合安全狀況及各一級指標的發(fā)展態(tài)勢,結(jié)合新時期面臨的機遇和挑戰(zhàn),對我國建筑材料產(chǎn)業(yè)今后的發(fā)展提出了對策建議。
[Abstract]:The construction material industry is an important basic industry of the national economy. Since the reform and opening up, with the help of the prosperity of the large-scale infrastructure projects and the real estate market in China, the construction materials industry has been greatly developed. The pillar position in the national economy is becoming more and more prominent. However, due to the lack of scientific development plan, after the blowout development in the past few years, the production capacity distribution of the building materials industry is unreasonable, and the production process is backward. Contradictions such as large energy consumption are becoming increasingly prominent and pose a great threat to industrial safety. In addition, against the background of the national policy of promoting energy conservation and emission reduction and developing a low-carbon economy, the building materials industry is characterized by its high energy consumption and high pollution. This paper takes the building materials industry as the research object, uses the past years data to carry on the industrial safety demonstration research, in the aspect is helpful to understand the construction material industry present development situation, On the other hand, it also helps to establish the goal and direction of the next development, and to ensure the safe and orderly development of the building material industry in the new period. Based on the basic theories of industrial economics, industrial safety and statistics, this paper adopts a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. First of all, the paper introduces the related research achievements in the field of industrial safety and the industry of building materials. On this basis, according to the characteristics of the construction materials industry in China, Based on the actual development situation and the main influencing factors of industrial safety, combined with the existing research results, the evaluation index system of building materials industry safety in China is constructed, and the reasonable warning limits are set up for each index. Then based on the historical data from 2003 to 2010, the grey prediction model is used to predict the development trend of the building materials industry during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Finally, according to the linear multi-attribute comprehensive evaluation model, the industrial safety degree of the past years is estimated, and it is concluded that the construction materials industry in our country is in the state of "basic safety". According to the comprehensive safety situation of the building material industry and the development trend of each grade index, combined with the opportunities and challenges faced in the new period, the countermeasures and suggestions for the future development of the building material industry in China are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.92

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