中國(guó)商品住宅市場(chǎng)的投資性需求分析
本文關(guān)鍵詞:中國(guó)商品住宅市場(chǎng)的投資性需求分析 出處:《上海交通大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 投資品屬性 商品住宅價(jià)格 投資性需求 有消費(fèi)能力的剛需
【摘要】:自上世紀(jì)90年代末住房制度改革以來(lái),中國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)得以蓬勃發(fā)展。特別是2004年以后,商品住宅價(jià)格持續(xù)快速飆升,盡管國(guó)家出臺(tái)了多輪次、力度不斷升級(jí)的房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策和稅收政策,但房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)依然長(zhǎng)期處于一個(gè)“價(jià)漲量增”的態(tài)勢(shì)。房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的欣欣向榮,對(duì)于拉動(dòng)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)揮了舉足輕重的作用。然而,住房作為一種具有強(qiáng)烈投資品屬性的特殊消費(fèi)品,近年來(lái),特別是在中國(guó)的一、二線城市,其所形成的投資性需求已經(jīng)超過(guò)消費(fèi)性需求,成為房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)總需求的主導(dǎo)因素,也成為房?jī)r(jià)持續(xù)高漲的重要推手。 房?jī)r(jià)上漲過(guò)快,會(huì)對(duì)居民生活消費(fèi)形成“擠出效應(yīng)”,嚴(yán)重影響社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的和諧穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。還會(huì)誘導(dǎo)社會(huì)資金大量涌入房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng),形成房地產(chǎn)泡沫,損害其他實(shí)體行業(yè)的發(fā)展。因此,在中共中央全面實(shí)施“十二五”房地產(chǎn)規(guī)劃的階段,,抑制投資性需求,調(diào)整住房需求結(jié)構(gòu)的同時(shí),促進(jìn)房?jī)r(jià)合理回歸成為當(dāng)前住房規(guī)劃的首要任務(wù)。本文擬從人口因素的角度出發(fā),結(jié)合普通居民的傳統(tǒng)儲(chǔ)蓄習(xí)慣,通過(guò)研究城鎮(zhèn)居民對(duì)住房的消費(fèi)性需求,來(lái)間接的估算過(guò)去十年中國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)上存在的投資性需求,以期對(duì)房地產(chǎn)金融業(yè)務(wù)實(shí)踐提供理論和數(shù)據(jù)支持。
[Abstract]:Since the reform of housing system at the end of -10s, China's real estate market has been booming. Especially since 2004, commodity housing prices have continued to surge rapidly, despite the introduction of multiple rounds. But the real estate market is still in a "price increase" situation for a long time, and the real estate market is booming. However, housing as a special consumer goods with strong investment attributes, especially in China's first and second tier cities in recent years. The investment demand has exceeded the consumption demand, which has become the dominant factor of the total demand in the real estate market and an important driving force for the sustained rise of house prices. If the house price rises too fast, it will form the "crowding out effect" to the resident's life consumption, and will seriously affect the harmonious and stable development of the social economy. It will also induce the social funds to pour into the real estate market in large quantities, and form the real estate bubble. Therefore, in the period of the CPC Central Committee's comprehensive implementation of the "12th Five-Year Plan" real estate planning, to curb investment demand and adjust the structure of housing demand at the same time. To promote the reasonable return of housing prices has become the primary task of current housing planning. This paper, from the perspective of population factors, combined with the traditional savings habits of ordinary residents, through the study of urban residents' consumer demand for housing. To indirectly estimate the investment demand in China's real estate market in the past decade, in order to provide theoretical and data support for the real estate financial business practice.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F299.23
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