基于錢(qián)納里模型的中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)實(shí)證分析
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整 切入點(diǎn):錢(qián)納里模型 出處:《東北師范大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文
【摘要】:改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)歷了高速增長(zhǎng)時(shí)期。在經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長(zhǎng)的過(guò)程中累積的一些結(jié)構(gòu)性問(wèn)題逐步顯現(xiàn)出來(lái),特別是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡問(wèn)題,其造成的效率損失和福利損失抑制了中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),因此協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),將是保持中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的重要途徑。本文基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論與錢(qián)納里經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型思想,細(xì)致地剖析了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過(guò)程中發(fā)生的各方面經(jīng)濟(jì)變化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響機(jī)制,為產(chǎn)業(yè)政策提供理論參考。目前,關(guān)于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的研究中大多以錢(qián)納里標(biāo)準(zhǔn)作為測(cè)度產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡的標(biāo)準(zhǔn),但錢(qián)納里標(biāo)準(zhǔn)是基于1950-1970年的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)得出的,對(duì)于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的衡量的準(zhǔn)確性有所降低。因此本文以錢(qián)納里模型為基礎(chǔ),選取17個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)大國(guó)在1995-2014年間的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù),重新估計(jì)錢(qián)納里模型的參數(shù);并基于錢(qián)納里模型分析中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整問(wèn)題;最后結(jié)合中國(guó)實(shí)際國(guó)情提出促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has experienced a period of rapid growth. Some structural problems accumulated in the process of rapid economic growth have gradually emerged, especially the imbalance of industrial structure. The loss of efficiency and welfare has restrained the sustained growth of China's economy, so the coordinated development of industrial structure will be an important way to maintain the sustained growth of China's economy. The influence mechanism of various aspects of economic changes on industrial structure in the process of economic growth is analyzed in detail, which provides a theoretical reference for industrial policy. Most of the researches on industrial structure use the Chanari standard as the criterion to measure the imbalance of industrial structure, but the Chanari standard is based on the economic data from 1950 to 1970. The accuracy of the measurement of industrial structure has been reduced. Therefore, based on the Chanari model, this paper selects the economic data of 17 major economic countries from 1995 to 2014, and reestimates the parameters of the Chenari model. The paper also analyzes the adjustment of China's industrial structure based on Chenari model, and finally puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the adjustment of industrial structure according to the actual situation of China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2016
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F121.3
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 李曉華;;中國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化與工業(yè)化的協(xié)調(diào)關(guān)系研究:基于國(guó)際比較的視角[J];中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院研究生院學(xué)報(bào);2015年01期
2 陳夢(mèng)根;;關(guān)于投資與消費(fèi)最優(yōu)結(jié)構(gòu)問(wèn)題的探討[J];財(cái)貿(mào)研究;2014年02期
3 中國(guó)人民大學(xué)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)分析與預(yù)測(cè)課題組;劉鳳良;閻衍;于澤;易信;;我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的新取向:市場(chǎng)驅(qū)動(dòng)與激勵(lì)相容[J];改革;2013年10期
4 陳明星;唐志鵬;白永平;;城市化與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系模式——對(duì)錢(qián)納里模型的參數(shù)重估[J];地理學(xué)報(bào);2013年06期
5 王健;李佳;;人力資本推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí):我國(guó)二次人口紅利獲取之解[J];現(xiàn)代財(cái)經(jīng)(天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào));2013年06期
6 孫曉華;王昀;;對(duì)外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)帶動(dòng)了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)嗎?——基于半對(duì)數(shù)模型和結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)的實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2013年01期
7 姜麗;;國(guó)際貿(mào)易對(duì)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的影響分析[J];遼寧師范大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2012年04期
8 李鋼;廖建輝;向奕霓;;中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的方向與路徑——中國(guó)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)占GDP的比例過(guò)高了嗎[J];中國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2011年10期
9 張國(guó)強(qiáng);溫軍;湯向俊;;中國(guó)人力資本、人力資本結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)[J];中國(guó)人口.資源與環(huán)境;2011年10期
10 方福前;詹新宇;;我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)的熨平效應(yīng)分析[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)理論與經(jīng)濟(jì)管理;2011年09期
,本文編號(hào):1675226
本文鏈接:http://www.sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/chanyejingjilunwen/1675226.html