中美工業(yè)制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的實證研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-26 16:21
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易 切入點:工業(yè)制成品 出處:《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:中國和美國是全球最大的兩個經(jīng)濟體,雙方之間的貿(mào)易不但是各自發(fā)展本國經(jīng)濟的強勁動力,對世界經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展也起著重要的作用。在不斷變化的世界經(jīng)濟環(huán)境與中國改革開放的大背景下,外貿(mào)結(jié)構(gòu)的改善使得中美之間的貿(mào)易模式也發(fā)生了變化,工業(yè)制成品已成為中美雙邊貿(mào)易中最重要的產(chǎn)品,因產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易又是工業(yè)制成品貿(mào)易的重要內(nèi)容,因此對中美兩國之間工業(yè)制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的全面、深入分析對進一步發(fā)展中美雙邊貿(mào)易有一定的參考價值。本文采用的是理論研究與實證分析相互結(jié)合的方式。首先,闡明產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易相關(guān)理論及其計量指標;其次,分析中美工業(yè)制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,采用G-L指數(shù)測度其水平,并通過加權(quán)平均法得到中美工業(yè)制成品總體產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平,與其他修正指數(shù)等進行對比分析,采用GHM指數(shù)的劃分方法,確定兩國的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易類型;然后,在參考以往研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,將中美人均GDP差距、中國研發(fā)水平、中國實際利用美國外資、中國工業(yè)規(guī)模經(jīng)濟、貿(mào)易不平衡等5個變量納入回歸模型,分析對中美工業(yè)制成品總體產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平的影響。最后針對現(xiàn)狀與實證分析的結(jié)果,提出深入發(fā)展中美兩國工業(yè)制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的應(yīng)對措施。本文結(jié)論:加權(quán)法測度的中美兩國工業(yè)制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平偏低,但從修正的G-L指數(shù)與阿奎諾指數(shù)值來看,中美工業(yè)制成品表現(xiàn)出較高產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易特征,GHM指數(shù)值則表明中美之間是垂直型的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易,實證結(jié)果表明:中國實際利用美國外商直接投資對中美工業(yè)制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易影響不顯著,中美人均收入差距、中國研發(fā)水平對其存在正效應(yīng),中美貿(mào)易不平衡、中國工業(yè)規(guī)模經(jīng)濟則對其存在負效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:China and the United States are the two largest economies in the world, and trade between them is not only the driving force behind their own economies, It also plays an important role in the development of the world economy. Under the background of the ever-changing world economic environment and China's reform and opening up, the improvement of the foreign trade structure has also changed the trade pattern between China and the United States. Manufactured goods have become the most important products in the bilateral trade between China and the United States. Since intra-industry trade is also an important part of trade in manufactured goods, the intra-industry trade in manufactured goods between China and the United States is comprehensive. The in-depth analysis has certain reference value for the further development of bilateral trade between China and the United States. This paper adopts a combination of theoretical research and empirical analysis. First, it clarifies the intra-industry trade related theory and its measurement index; secondly, This paper analyzes the present situation of intra-industry trade in manufactured goods between China and the United States, measures its level with G-L index, and obtains the overall intra-industry trade level of manufactured goods between China and the United States by weighted average method, and makes a comparative analysis with other revised indices. The classification method of GHM index is used to determine the type of intra-industry trade between the two countries. Then, based on the previous research results, the gap between China and the United States per capita GDP, the level of China's R & D, China's actual utilization of US foreign investment, and China's industrial economies of scale are discussed. Five variables, such as trade imbalance, are incorporated into the regression model to analyze the impact on the overall intra-industry trade level of manufactured goods between China and the United States. This paper concludes that the intra-industry trade level of manufactured goods between China and the United States measured by weighted method is on the low side, but in terms of the revised G-L index and Aquino index, Sino-American manufactured products show higher intra-industry trade characteristics. The GHM index value indicates that the intra-industry trade between China and the United States is vertical. The empirical results show that China's actual use of US foreign direct investment has no significant impact on intra-industry trade in manufactured goods between China and the United States, the gap in per capita income between China and the United States, the positive effect of China's R & D level on it, and the trade imbalance between China and the United States. China's industrial scale economy has a negative effect on it.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F424;F752.7
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