發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-19 01:32

  本文選題：勞動(dòng)力回流 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)趨同　； 參考：《經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題探索》2017年11期

【摘要】：針對(duì)我國(guó)新時(shí)期省際經(jīng)濟(jì)嚴(yán)重分化的現(xiàn)狀,本文運(yùn)用面板固定效應(yīng)模型、面板分位數(shù)模型從勞動(dòng)力回流機(jī)制、回流框架下的資本要素投入機(jī)制、總產(chǎn)出與人均產(chǎn)出維度下的經(jīng)濟(jì)趨同機(jī)制三個(gè)方面分時(shí)段、分區(qū)域探究了工業(yè)勞動(dòng)力回流能否推動(dòng)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)省際趨同與工業(yè)勞動(dòng)力回流對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)省際趨同的作用機(jī)制。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明,勞動(dòng)力回流顯著加速了資本要素投入。相對(duì)于流出省份,資本要素更傾向于投入回流省份。相較于流出省份總產(chǎn)出、人均產(chǎn)出增速顯著放緩、甚至總量萎縮,勞動(dòng)力回流及其改變的資本要素投入顯著扭轉(zhuǎn)了工業(yè)總產(chǎn)出與人均產(chǎn)出的下滑趨勢(shì)。雖然存在要素邊際產(chǎn)出遞減,但勞動(dòng)力回流在一定程度上避免了產(chǎn)出彈性的顯著下滑。如果勞動(dòng)力回流規(guī)模足夠充裕,省際經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模必將顯著擴(kuò)大。勞動(dòng)力回流改變的資本、勞動(dòng)要素供給與配置最終推動(dòng)了工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)省際趨同。
[Abstract]:In view of the present situation of the serious economic differentiation between provinces in the new period, this paper applies the panel fixed effect model, the panel quantile model from the labor force reflux mechanism, the capital factor input mechanism under the backflow frame.In this paper, the mechanism of economic convergence under the dimension of total output and per capita output is divided into three parts, and the mechanism of whether the return of industrial labor force can promote the inter-provincial convergence of industrial economy and the mechanism of industrial labor reflux to economic convergence between provinces is explored in different regions.The empirical results show that the return of labor force accelerates the capital factor investment significantly.Capital factors tend to flow back into provinces rather than out provinces.Compared with the total output of the outflow provinces, the growth rate of per capita output slowed significantly, or even the total output shrank, and the labor reflux and its changing capital factor investment significantly reversed the decline of the total industrial output and the per capita output.Although there is a decline in marginal output of elements, labor reflux to some extent avoids a significant decline in output elasticity.If labor reflux scale is abundant enough, the scale of interprovincial economy is bound to expand significantly.The capital, labor factor supply and distribution of labor reflux finally promote the convergence of industrial economy.
【作者單位】： 吉林大學(xué)數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)研究中心;吉林大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】：基金項(xiàng)目:教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)重點(diǎn)研究基地重大項(xiàng)目“新常態(tài)下中國(guó)制造業(yè)投資與產(chǎn)能的配置機(jī)制與政策選擇”(15JJD790010),項(xiàng)目負(fù)責(zé)人:孫巍
【分類號(hào)】：F249.27;F427

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