發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-13 16:19

  本文選題：工業(yè)化　切入點(diǎn)：城鎮(zhèn)化　出處：《財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年09期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：本文從理論與實(shí)證兩個(gè)方面分析工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的邏輯關(guān)系。首先通過理論分析指出了三者的內(nèi)在區(qū)別,并基于1960年以來(lái)OECD國(guó)家以及發(fā)展中國(guó)家的數(shù)據(jù)和面板向量自回歸(PVAR)模型分析了城鎮(zhèn)化、工業(yè)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的邏輯關(guān)系。實(shí)證研究的結(jié)論顯示,三者在不同類型國(guó)家呈現(xiàn)出不同的特征。對(duì)于OECD國(guó)家而言,由于城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)入相對(duì)飽和階段,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、工業(yè)化都不對(duì)其構(gòu)成顯著影響;其城鎮(zhèn)化更多顯示出結(jié)構(gòu)性變化特征。相比之下,工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系在發(fā)展中國(guó)家更為緊密,三者關(guān)系呈現(xiàn)出工業(yè)化帶動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)加速城鎮(zhèn)化的特征,且城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)于工業(yè)化也存在反作用。加入政府支出和國(guó)際貿(mào)易變量后,上述結(jié)論仍然成立,尤其對(duì)于發(fā)展中國(guó)家而言,工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)都伴隨著政府支出與貿(mào)易規(guī)模的增長(zhǎng),這與OECD國(guó)家形成鮮明對(duì)比。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the logical relationship between industrialization, urbanization and economic growth from both theoretical and empirical aspects. Based on the data and panel vector autoregressive model of OECD countries and developing countries since 1960, this paper analyzes the logical relationship between urbanization, industrialization and economic growth. For the OECD countries, the urbanization has entered the stage of relative saturation, and the economic growth, industrialization has no significant effect on it. In contrast, industrialization, urbanization and economic growth are more closely related in developing countries. Economic growth accelerates urbanization, and urbanization has a counterproductive effect on industrialization. With the addition of government spending and international trade variables, the above conclusions still hold true, especially for developing countries. Urbanization and economic growth are accompanied by government spending and the scale of trade, which is in sharp contrast to OECD countries.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院財(cái)經(jīng)戰(zhàn)略研究院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目“內(nèi)生匯率傳遞下國(guó)際沖擊對(duì)中國(guó)通貨膨脹的動(dòng)態(tài)影響”(71303256) 國(guó)家社科基金重大項(xiàng)目招標(biāo)課題“外部沖擊和結(jié)構(gòu)性轉(zhuǎn)換下的中高速增長(zhǎng)和中高端發(fā)展研究”(15ZDC010)
【分類號(hào)】：F113;F299.1;F414

【相似文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 ;不能增加就業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)沒有價(jià)值[J];中國(guó)改革;2000年05期

2 ;經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)不自動(dòng)導(dǎo)致最大化就業(yè)[J];政工研究動(dòng)態(tài);2003年20期

3 宣文;為什么經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)沒有帶來(lái)顯性就業(yè)?[J];電子科技大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社科版);2004年04期

4 王少國(guó);我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)不能有效拉動(dòng)城鎮(zhèn)就業(yè)的原因分析[J];環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)w，

本文編號(hào)：1607159