本文關(guān)鍵詞： 就業(yè)效應(yīng) 對(duì)外貿(mào)易 廣西　出處：《廣西大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立與發(fā)展以及“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的推進(jìn),廣西憑借優(yōu)越的地理位置和得天獨(dú)厚的資源優(yōu)勢(shì),經(jīng)濟(jì)呈現(xiàn)跨越式大發(fā)展,特別是對(duì)外貿(mào)易發(fā)展迅速。廣西勞動(dòng)力眾多,且以非熟練勞動(dòng)力為主,勞動(dòng)力質(zhì)量不高,就業(yè)問(wèn)題嚴(yán)重。在這種背景下,研究廣西對(duì)外貿(mào)易就業(yè)效應(yīng)對(duì)緩解廣西就業(yè)問(wèn)題具有現(xiàn)實(shí)的重要意義。本文詳細(xì)系統(tǒng)的梳理了國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者關(guān)于對(duì)外貿(mào)易就業(yè)效應(yīng)的文獻(xiàn),歸納了國(guó)際貿(mào)易中關(guān)于就業(yè)的理論,主要包括比較優(yōu)勢(shì)理論、H-O-S理論和對(duì)外貿(mào)易乘數(shù)理論。其次,分析了對(duì)外貿(mào)易影響就業(yè)的機(jī)理,主要包括對(duì)外貿(mào)易通過(guò)擴(kuò)大需求影響就業(yè)數(shù)量、通過(guò)技術(shù)進(jìn)步影響就業(yè)質(zhì)量以及通過(guò)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)三種路徑。然后,文章分析了廣西對(duì)外貿(mào)易規(guī)模、對(duì)外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、對(duì)外貿(mào)易方式以及對(duì)外貿(mào)易主要國(guó)別市場(chǎng)等一系列現(xiàn)狀,探討了廣西就業(yè)規(guī)模、就業(yè)質(zhì)量和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)。在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了廣西對(duì)外貿(mào)易和就業(yè)中存在的主要問(wèn)題。運(yùn)用stata軟件通過(guò)建立時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)模型實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)2001-2015年廣西對(duì)外貿(mào)易對(duì)就業(yè)數(shù)量、就業(yè)質(zhì)量和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示,進(jìn)口的增加對(duì)就業(yè)數(shù)量的增長(zhǎng)具有抑制作用,出口增加對(duì)就業(yè)數(shù)量具有明顯的拉動(dòng)作用;進(jìn)口增加對(duì)就業(yè)質(zhì)量的提高具有正向的促進(jìn)作用,出口增加對(duì)就業(yè)質(zhì)量的影響不顯著;進(jìn)口對(duì)就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響不顯著,出口對(duì)就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響具有正向的拉動(dòng)作用。最后,在理論和實(shí)證結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上,本文提出了具有針對(duì)性的建議,包括擴(kuò)大貿(mào)易規(guī)模、開辟新的貿(mào)易增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)、優(yōu)化出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)、正確認(rèn)識(shí)進(jìn)口,促進(jìn)進(jìn)口適度增長(zhǎng)、提高勞動(dòng)力素質(zhì),增加勞動(dòng)力穩(wěn)定性以及平衡就業(yè)質(zhì)量和就業(yè)數(shù)量之間的關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:With the establishment and development of China-ASEAN Free Trade area and the promotion of "Belt and Road" strategy, Guangxi's economy has developed by leaps and bounds with its superior geographical position and unique natural resources advantage. Especially the rapid development of foreign trade. Guangxi has a large number of labor forces, mainly unskilled labor, the quality of labor force is not high, and the employment problem is serious. Under this background, It is of practical significance to study the employment effect of foreign trade in Guangxi. This paper systematically combs the literature of domestic and foreign scholars on the employment effect of foreign trade, and sums up the theory of employment in international trade. It mainly includes the theory of comparative advantage and the theory of foreign trade multiplier. Secondly, it analyzes the mechanism of foreign trade influencing employment, mainly including the influence of foreign trade on the quantity of employment through expanding demand. There are three ways to influence the quality of employment through technological progress and the structure of employment through industrial structure. Then, the paper analyzes the scale and structure of Guangxi's foreign trade. The mode of foreign trade and the main national markets of foreign trade are a series of current situations, and the scale of employment in Guangxi is discussed. On this basis, the main problems in Guangxi's foreign trade and employment are put forward. Using stata software, the author empirically tests the amount of Guangxi's foreign trade to employment from 2001 to 2015 by establishing a time series data model. The effect of employment quality and employment structure. The empirical results show that the increase of import has a restraining effect on the growth of employment quantity, and the increase of export has a significant pulling effect on the quantity of employment. The increase of import has a positive effect on the quality of employment, while the increase of export has no significant effect on the quality of employment; the influence of import on the structure of employment is not significant, and the effect of export on the structure of employment has a positive pulling effect. Finally, On the basis of theoretical and empirical results, this paper puts forward some specific suggestions, including expanding the scale of trade, opening up new trade growth points, optimizing export trade structure, promoting employment growth, and correctly understanding imports. To promote the moderate increase of imports, improve the quality of labor force, increase the stability of labor force and balance the relationship between the quality of employment and the quantity of employment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F752.8;F249.27

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