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國(guó)際工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱性與政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的相關(guān)性研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-02-28 00:08

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 脆弱性 政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 國(guó)際工程 承包商 出處:《北京理工大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版)》2017年04期  論文類型:期刊論文


【摘要】:在分析國(guó)際工程政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)形成機(jī)理的基礎(chǔ)上,通過(guò)文獻(xiàn)綜述法識(shí)別22個(gè)國(guó)際工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱性影響因素,并采用因子分析法建立國(guó)際工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱性評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo);通過(guò)問(wèn)卷調(diào)查法獲得134個(gè)國(guó)際工程項(xiàng)目的信息和政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)損失,并采用TOPSIS法測(cè)量其工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱性,分析兩者的相關(guān)性。結(jié)果表明:政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是工程項(xiàng)目外部干擾和系統(tǒng)脆弱性相互耦合的結(jié)果,在相同干擾度下,國(guó)際工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱性與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)損失存在顯著正相關(guān)。國(guó)際承包商可以依據(jù)工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)以及脆弱性與政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的關(guān)系,不斷改善和降低工程項(xiàng)目的脆弱性,從而更好地應(yīng)對(duì)政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn),并形成自身的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of the formation mechanism of international engineering political risks, the factors affecting the vulnerability of 22 international engineering projects are identified by literature review method, and the vulnerability evaluation indexes of international engineering projects are established by factor analysis method. The information and political risk loss of 134 international engineering projects were obtained by questionnaire, and the vulnerability of their projects was measured by TOPSIS method. The results show that the political risk is the result of mutual coupling between the external interference and the system vulnerability of the project, and under the same degree of interference, There is a significant positive correlation between the vulnerability of the international engineering project and the risk loss. According to the vulnerability evaluation index of the project and the relationship between the vulnerability and the political risk, the international contractor can continuously improve and reduce the vulnerability of the project. In order to better deal with political risks and form their own competitive advantage.
【作者單位】: 東南大學(xué)土木工程學(xué)院;廣州地鐵設(shè)計(jì)研究院;
【基金】:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金面上項(xiàng)目資助“國(guó)際工程中政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的集成度量及智能決策研究:理論、實(shí)證及應(yīng)用”(71372199)
【分類號(hào)】:D0;F283

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