本文關鍵詞：空間相關性與我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長動態(tài)收斂的理論與實證分析——基于1953—2010年面板數(shù)據(jù)的經(jīng)驗證據(jù)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

空間相關性與我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長動態(tài)收斂的理論與實證分析——基于1953—2010年面板數(shù)據(jù)的經(jīng)驗證據(jù)

Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of Spatial Correlation and Dynamic Convergence of Regional Economic Growth in China： Evidence from the Panel Data from 1953 to 2010

[1] [2] [3]

HE Xiong-lang, ZHENG Chang-de ,YANG Xia （1. School of Economics, Southwestern University for Nationalities, Chengdu 610041, China; 2. School of Territorial Resources, China We

[1]西南民族大學經(jīng)濟學院,四川成都610041; [2]西華師范大學國土資源學院,四川南充637000

文章摘要：文章通過建立空間面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,將空間相關性納入分析框架,分析了我國1953-2010年地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長的絕對收斂性以及考慮財政政策與人力資本影響后的條件收斂性。實證分析表明,我國地區(qū)發(fā)展的空間相關性逐年增強,成為影響經(jīng)濟增長的重要因素;在整個研究期間內,我國經(jīng)濟增長不存在絕對收斂性,期初經(jīng)濟水平與經(jīng)濟增長率呈正相關關系;但在引入財政政策與人力資本兩個影響因子后,我國地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長存在條件收斂性。積極的財政政策與增加人力資本投資能夠促進落后地區(qū)經(jīng)濟跨越式發(fā)展,從而強化經(jīng)濟增長的條件收斂程度。

Abstr：By constructing a spatial panel data model, this paper intro- duces spatial correlation into the analytical framework, and analyzes the ab- solute convergence of regional economic growth and also conditional conver- gence in consideration of the effects of fiscal policy and human capital in China from 1953 to 2010. The empirical analysis shows that spatial correla- tion of regional development in China increases year by year and is an impor- tant factor affecting economic growth; during the sample period, there is no absolute convergence of economic growth in China, and initial economic level is positively correlated with economic growth rate; after the introduction of fiscal policy and human capital, there is conditional convergence of economic growth in China. Active fiscal policy and the increase in human capital investment can pro- mote the leaping economic development in backward areas, thus strengthening the degree of conditional convergence of economic growth.

文章關鍵詞：

Keyword：:spatial correlation absolute convergence conditional con- vergence regional economic growth

課題項目：國家社會科學基金項目（12BJL045）; 西南民族大學研究生學位點建設項目（2011XWD-S0202）的資助

  本文關鍵詞：空間相關性與我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長動態(tài)收斂的理論與實證分析——基于1953—2010年面板數(shù)據(jù)的經(jīng)驗證據(jù)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。