工資扭曲、種群密度與企業(yè)成長(zhǎng):基于企業(yè)生命周期的動(dòng)態(tài)分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-03 03:42
本文關(guān)鍵詞:工資扭曲、種群密度與企業(yè)成長(zhǎng):基于企業(yè)生命周期的動(dòng)態(tài)分析 出處:《中國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年10期 論文類(lèi)型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 工資扭曲 種群密度 企業(yè)成長(zhǎng) 生命周期 生存分析
【摘要】:企業(yè)的大量涌現(xiàn)與快速衰退構(gòu)成了中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展背后的獨(dú)特圖景,與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型背景下的工資扭曲等制度特征緊密相關(guān)。在已有研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本文引入企業(yè)生命周期的動(dòng)態(tài)視角,探討了工資扭曲、種群密度與企業(yè)成長(zhǎng)之間的作用機(jī)制,并基于中國(guó)工業(yè)企業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)中的新創(chuàng)企業(yè)樣本,使用生存分析中的Cox PH模型和AFT模型對(duì)該機(jī)制進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):工資扭曲對(duì)企業(yè)成長(zhǎng)同時(shí)具有促進(jìn)效應(yīng)和抑制效應(yīng),從初創(chuàng)期到成長(zhǎng)成熟期,工資扭曲緩解了新創(chuàng)企業(yè)生存資源短缺的困境,對(duì)企業(yè)成長(zhǎng)表現(xiàn)出較強(qiáng)的促進(jìn)效應(yīng),而同時(shí)期的抑制效應(yīng)卻比較弱,工資扭曲在整體上促進(jìn)了企業(yè)成長(zhǎng);進(jìn)入成長(zhǎng)成熟期后,工資扭曲對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的擠出效應(yīng)日益增強(qiáng),其產(chǎn)生的抑制效應(yīng)抵消了原有的促進(jìn)效應(yīng),工資扭曲對(duì)企業(yè)成長(zhǎng)的整體影響不再顯著;種群密度在工資扭曲對(duì)企業(yè)成長(zhǎng)的作用機(jī)制中具有負(fù)向調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng),但這種調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng)只在企業(yè)的初創(chuàng)期顯著。以上結(jié)論表明,工資扭曲可以提高初創(chuàng)期企業(yè)的生存概率,從而引致低種群密度條件下大量新創(chuàng)企業(yè)進(jìn)入;而工資扭曲對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的抑制效應(yīng)以及種群密度產(chǎn)生的負(fù)向調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng)卻加大了企業(yè)的退出風(fēng)險(xiǎn);工資扭曲和種群密度在一定程度上解釋了中國(guó)企業(yè)大量涌現(xiàn)與快速衰退的現(xiàn)象。
[Abstract]:The emergence of large numbers of enterprises and rapid recession constitute a unique picture behind the economic development of China, closely related to the system characteristics of wage distortion in the context of China's economic transformation. This paper introduces the dynamic perspective of enterprise life cycle, discusses the mechanism between wage distortion, population density and enterprise growth, and based on the new enterprise samples in the database of Chinese industrial enterprises. Cox PH model and AFT model in survival analysis are used to test the mechanism. It is found that wage distortion has both promotive and inhibitory effects on firm growth. From the initial period to the mature period, wage distortion alleviates the plight of the shortage of survival resources, and has a strong promoting effect on the growth of the enterprise, but the inhibition effect of the same period is relatively weak. The distortion of wages promotes the growth of enterprises as a whole; In the period of growth and maturity, the extrusion effect of wage distortion on technological innovation is increasing day by day, which counteracts the original promotion effect, and the overall effect of wage distortion on the growth of enterprises is no longer significant. The population density has negative regulation effect in the mechanism of wage distortion on firm growth, but this adjustment effect is significant only in the initial stage of enterprise. Wage distortion can increase the survival probability of the start-up enterprises, which leads to the entry of a large number of new enterprises under the condition of low population density. However, the inhibition effect of wage distortion on technological innovation and the negative adjustment effect of population density increase the exit risk of enterprises. Wage distortions and population density partly explain the emergence and rapid decline of Chinese firms.
【作者單位】: 武漢大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金面上項(xiàng)目“市場(chǎng)分割狀態(tài)下的中國(guó)民營(yíng)企業(yè)成長(zhǎng)機(jī)制:非正式制度與國(guó)際化的聯(lián)動(dòng)效應(yīng)”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)71273202)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F249.24;F425
【正文快照】: 一、問(wèn)題提出在經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型的時(shí)代背景下,中國(guó)企業(yè)的成長(zhǎng)呈現(xiàn)出“大量涌現(xiàn)與快速衰亡”的特征,即“新創(chuàng)企業(yè)大量涌現(xiàn)、原有企業(yè)快速衰亡”。據(jù)有關(guān)資料顯示(1),僅在2002—2012年中國(guó)內(nèi)資企業(yè)數(shù)量就增長(zhǎng)了近1倍,私營(yíng)企業(yè)數(shù)量增長(zhǎng)了4.1倍;但中國(guó)企業(yè)的平均生存時(shí)間僅為6.1年,民營(yíng)企,
本文編號(hào):1372237
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