本文關(guān)鍵詞：籃球球隊(duì)風(fēng)格量化評(píng)價(jià)模型的建立和應(yīng)用研究　出處：《太原理工大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：本文通過(guò)對(duì)籃球球隊(duì)風(fēng)格模型的量化為目標(biāo),從目前關(guān)于籃球球隊(duì)風(fēng)格的存在的問(wèn)題入手,以第十四屆CUBA男子十六強(qiáng)比賽數(shù)據(jù)為研究對(duì)象。運(yùn)用文獻(xiàn)資料法、專家訪談法等研究方法,確定模型體系的理論基礎(chǔ),同時(shí)借助統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)中的因子分析構(gòu)建量化評(píng)價(jià)球隊(duì)風(fēng)格模型、并以球隊(duì)為樣本建立與比賽勝負(fù)相關(guān)的logistic回歸進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,實(shí)現(xiàn)以不同球隊(duì)為著眼點(diǎn)風(fēng)格模型的定性與定量評(píng)價(jià),為全面的了解一支球隊(duì)提供了一種全新的視角。主要結(jié)論如下： 1、通過(guò)探索性因子分析法建立指標(biāo)體系。結(jié)果顯示：籃球球隊(duì)風(fēng)格量化評(píng)價(jià)可以從F1(進(jìn)攻實(shí)力)、F2(進(jìn)攻節(jié)奏)、F3(防守效果)、F4(防守質(zhì)量)、F5(進(jìn)攻選擇)五個(gè)維度進(jìn)行分析。 2、通過(guò)logical回歸模型分析,在模型的擬合優(yōu)度的檢驗(yàn)中,太原理工大學(xué)球隊(duì)五個(gè)緯度對(duì)于球隊(duì)勝負(fù)貢獻(xiàn)度為：F1(1.3131)F3(0.9407)F4(0.8840)F2(0.2788)F5(0.1813),浙江大學(xué)的貢獻(xiàn)度為：F1(0.9157)F3(0.8991)F4(0.8211)F5(0.3351)F2(0.0428)。在模型的擬合優(yōu)度的檢驗(yàn)中,太原理工大學(xué)和浙江大學(xué)的檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果分別為：Likelihood Ratio的為17.14、14.8898,P值為0.()()42、0.0211均小于0.05。表示所選因素指標(biāo)能夠很好的解釋變量。 3、將模型5個(gè)維度因素對(duì)球隊(duì)勝利的影響程度進(jìn)行公式處理,量化的指標(biāo)的雷達(dá)圖比較顯示：兩支球隊(duì)風(fēng)格模型存在差異,進(jìn)一步通過(guò)數(shù)據(jù)比較的深入研究可知,在F1、F3、F5維度上差異明顯,F2、F4維度差異較小。 4、文獻(xiàn)理論研究中，，影響球隊(duì)形成的因素有：運(yùn)動(dòng)員的特質(zhì)、明星球員的作用、教練員的作用、球隊(duì)管理特點(diǎn)、賽制的相對(duì)變化、球隊(duì)的相互競(jìng)爭(zhēng)、籃球發(fā)展的趨勢(shì)等七個(gè)方面。
[Abstract]:This article through the basketball team style model quantification as the goal, starts with the present existence question about the basketball team style. Taking the data of the 14th CUBA men's 16 strong competition as the object of study, the theoretical basis of the model system is determined by using the methods of literature, expert interview and other research methods. At the same time, using factor analysis in statistics to build a quantitative evaluation of team style model, and take the team as a sample to establish a logistic regression related to the game to conduct empirical research. The qualitative and quantitative evaluation of different teams' style models provides a new perspective for a comprehensive understanding of a team. The main conclusions are as follows: 1. The index system was established by exploratory factor analysis. The results showed that the quantitative evaluation of basketball team style could be made from F1 (offensive strength) (offensive rhythm / F3). The five dimensions of F 4 (defensive quality) and F 5 (attack selection) were analyzed. 2, through the logical regression model analysis, in the model goodness of fit test. The contribution of the five latitudes of Taiyuan University of Technology to the team's victory and loss is 1: F1, 1.3131, F3, 0.9407, F4, 0.8840, F2, 0.2788, F5 (. 0.1813). The contribution of Zhejiang University is as follows: F1: 0. 9157, F3: 0. 899 1, F4, 0. 8211, F5, 0. 3351, F2, 0. 0428). In the test of the goodness of fit of the model. The test results of Taiyuan University of Science and Technology and Zhejiang University were 17.14 ~ 14.8898P = 17.14 ~ 14.889 ~ (8) ~ (42), respectively. 0.0211 is less than 0.05, indicating that the selected factor indicators can explain the variables well. 3. The influence degree of the five dimension factors of the model on the victory of the team is dealt with by formula. The comparison of the radar images of the quantitative indexes shows that there are differences between the two teams' style models. Through the further study of data comparison, we can see that the difference in F1F3F5 dimension is obvious and F2F4 dimension is smaller. 4. In the research of literature theory, the factors that influence the formation of the team are: the characteristics of players, the role of star players, the role of coaches, the characteristics of team management, the relative changes of competition system, and the competition between teams. Basketball development trend and other seven aspects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：太原理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：G841

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