【摘要】：近二十年來(lái)，氣候變暖給人類造成了巨大的傷害，成為全球關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)問題。國(guó)際排放貿(mào)易機(jī)制、聯(lián)合履行機(jī)制和清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制是《京都議定書》下國(guó)際減排合作的三大協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制，旨在幫助各締約國(guó)以靈活的方式完成減排目標(biāo)。 在清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制下，中國(guó)是最大的核證減排量供給國(guó)但無(wú)完善的碳交易機(jī)制和市場(chǎng)，交易價(jià)格一直由發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家主導(dǎo)，核證減排量國(guó)內(nèi)一級(jí)市場(chǎng)和國(guó)際二級(jí)市場(chǎng)價(jià)格長(zhǎng)期存在大幅差額。在這種情況下，對(duì)一二級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)價(jià)格關(guān)系進(jìn)行分析，可以明晰一二級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)反映供求狀況的能力；在此基礎(chǔ)上，探究核證減排量市場(chǎng)價(jià)格影響因素，可以更深入具體的了解現(xiàn)階段我國(guó)碳交易價(jià)格形成機(jī)制，具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 基于此，本文采取理論分析與實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方法，對(duì)一二級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格關(guān)系進(jìn)行考察，并系統(tǒng)分析核證減排量市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的影響因素，進(jìn)一步提出完善碳交易的策略。論文主體首先考察了二級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、二級(jí)市場(chǎng)價(jià)格波動(dòng)狀況及其影響因素；接著以國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)為對(duì)象，，對(duì)一級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)價(jià)格進(jìn)行了分析。借助于協(xié)整分析和誤差修正模型等方法，實(shí)證分析一二級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)價(jià)格關(guān)系，在此基礎(chǔ)上，系統(tǒng)分析影響一級(jí)核證減排量市場(chǎng)價(jià)格的因素。最后基于實(shí)證分析的結(jié)論，提出提高一級(jí)核證減排量供給質(zhì)量、建立完善的市場(chǎng)交易機(jī)制、優(yōu)化政府調(diào)控方式、培育本土中介和注重碳交易人才培養(yǎng)等發(fā)展完善我國(guó)碳交易市場(chǎng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the past two decades, global warming has caused great harm to human beings and become the focus of global attention. The international emission trading mechanism, the joint implementation mechanism and the clean development mechanism are the three major coordination mechanisms of the international emission reduction cooperation under the Kyoto Protocol, which aims to help the parties to achieve their emission reduction targets in a flexible manner. Under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), China is the largest supplier of CERs but does not have a sound carbon trading mechanism and market, with prices always dominated by developed countries. There is a large difference between the domestic primary market and the international secondary market price. In this case, an analysis of the market price relationship between the first and second levels of CERs could clarify the ability of the market for CERs to reflect the supply and demand situation; On this basis, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to explore the factors affecting the market price of CERs and to understand the price formation mechanism of carbon trading in China at this stage. Based on this, this paper adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to investigate the price relationship of the first and second level CERs market, and systematically analyzes the influencing factors of CER market price. Further put forward to improve the strategy of carbon trading. Firstly, the paper reviews the current situation of the second level CER market, the price fluctuation of the secondary market and its influencing factors, and then analyzes the market price of the first CER market with the domestic market as the object. With the help of cointegration analysis and error correction model, this paper empirically analyzes the market price relationship between the first and second levels of CERs. On this basis, the factors affecting the market price of CERs are systematically analyzed. Finally, based on the conclusion of empirical analysis, the paper proposes to improve the supply quality of CERs, to establish a perfect market trading mechanism, and to optimize government regulation and control. To develop and perfect China's carbon trading market, such as cultivating local intermediaries and paying attention to the training of carbon trading personnel.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F205;F832.51

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